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The cause? An atmospheric river in February of last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was kind of an ironic moment to be thwarted by the very thing I’m trying to understand,” said Knight, a USGS research geographer who studies paleoclimatology — the effects of weather on Earth in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By looking 3,200 years into the past, Knight extended atmospheric river knowledge significantly: twice in three millennia, atmospheric river activity exceeded anything in modern instrumental record keeping, deluging the state with widespread rainfall beyond what current Californians have ever experienced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The 32 massive storms that drenched California last year pale in comparison to some of the storms in the state’s past. Climate scientists argue Knight’s data established a new baseline for understanding intensifying storms in today’s warming world because of human-caused climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Understanding what happened when we didn’t have this additional layer of climate change is important to consider as a baseline for what to expect,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992499\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1500px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992499\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"Three women wearing puffy jackets hold a clear tube full of dark soil and brownish clear water above it.\" width=\"1500\" height=\"2000\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg 1500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-1020x1360.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-160x213.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-768x1024.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-1152x1536.jpg 1152w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. Geological Survey Scientists Clarke Knight, Lysanna Anderson, Marie Champagne hold an extracted sediment core. They later analyzed the cores to determine past atmospheric river activity.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Knight and her colleagues extracted around 15-foot-deep sediment samples from the bottom of Leonard Lake, an almost entirely undisturbed lake in Mendocino County. Atmospheric rivers often hit the lake, causing sediment layers to settle on the lake floor, cementing things like titanium and silica into place. Using radiocarbon dating to determine the age of those organic materials, Knight compared that signal with current records. Once unearthed, the cores provided a more precise long-term history of atmospheric rivers in California.[aside postID=\"science_1991123,science_1991417,science_1985890\" label=\"Related Stories\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have provided some of the first direct physical evidence of atmospheric storms in California’s history that had not been previously known,” she said. “[It is] about 20 times longer than the information we had previously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>‘It sets the baseline’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Widespread meteorology records in California began in the late 1940s, and for the longest time, historians viewed the wettest and most disastrous rain event in California as the Great Flood of 1862 — which killed at least 4,000 people and cost more than $3 billion in today’s dollars.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://scripps.ucsd.edu/profiles/cpoulsen\">Cody Poulsen\u003c/a>, who studies atmospheric rivers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, said Knight’s findings are one missing puzzle piece in our understanding of future weather patterns in a warming climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It sets the baseline in the sense that it provides a logical connection regarding the importance of atmospheric rivers,” he said. “This study creates a sobering result that the things that we think are extreme, amplified via global warming and climate change, could be more extreme.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992500\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2406px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992500\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A small glassy lake with hills, fog and trees reflect upon the surface of the lake. A small square wooden dock leads into the lake connected to a small aluminum boat and kayaks.\" width=\"2406\" height=\"1604\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg 2406w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2406px) 100vw, 2406px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Clarke Knight studied Leonard Lake in Mendocino County because it sits relatively untouched and because atmospheric rivers often hit the body of water.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Knight’s study does have limitations. First, it focused only on one lake. Poulsen said that samples from lakes across the state are needed to have a more comprehensive view of atmospheric rivers’ effect on California in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is just the tip of the spear,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also, the study doesn’t resolve individual storms or water years. Instead, each data point holds around 10 years of information, “which in our field is extremely high resolution,” Knight said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://geography.berkeley.edu/professor-john-chiang\">John Chiang\u003c/a>, a UC Berkeley professor who studies atmospheric science, said Knight’s new record doesn’t accurately predict future storms in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That being said, it does set a baseline in that this is a first of its kind to reconstruct the atmospheric activity in the past,” he said. “This data doesn’t corroborate the exact physics of what we think will happen in a future climate. Those variations occurred in the past when we didn’t have humanity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>‘The findings bolster our current efforts’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Knight also selected Leonard Lake because water managers operate large regional reservoirs. More \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/CW3E_RussianRiverDroughtReadinessReport.pdf\">than half of the water delivered to that watershed along the Russian River comes from atmospheric rivers\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knight hopes to expand her work to similar lakes across the coastal range and said learning from history “sets us up for a better conversation about risks.” She also would like her study to cause the state and water managers to “reassess the ability of existing infrastructure to handle these events.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992501\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1500px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992501\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A light wood surface with two columns of layered black and grey soil. A pink colored hand with a wrist full of beaded bracelets sits next to them for scale.\" width=\"1500\" height=\"2000\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg 1500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-1020x1360.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-160x213.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-768x1024.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-1152x1536.jpg 1152w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">USGS research geologist Lysanna Anderson compares sediment samples from Leonard Lake in Mendocino County to her hand. Each layer of soil represents years of sediment deposited onto the lake floor.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-anderson-a24a6310/\">Michael Anderson\u003c/a>, the state’s climatologist, is excited about the study because it takes computer model projections of future weather and turns them into “tangible” observations showing what happened in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That creates a stronger motivation to keep up the work we’re doing,” he said. “Our system is built to manage floods up to a certain size. Beyond that, the system can be overwhelmed.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said the study is helpful in understanding “what makes extreme storms happen,” but more data is needed as the state prepares its reservoirs and waterways for extreme storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Along the Russian River in Sonoma and Mendocino counties, water managers track atmospheric rivers using radar units dispersed across mountaintops, flights during storms and the release of water from reservoirs when a big storm approaches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think the findings bolster our current efforts to plan for the extremes that we’ve already been doing,” said \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-welcomes-chris-delaney/\">Chris Delaney\u003c/a>, principal engineer at Sonoma Water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the agency might use Knight’s study in future planning because the new information means extreme events could extend beyond what the agency can handle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What we think is a 100-year event or a 500-year event now is probably not accurate if you were to look at the much longer period of climate like this study has done,” Delaney said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nathan Baskett, a hydrogeologist for Sonoma Water, said that having this new historical information about atmospheric rivers allows the agency to prepare for what could happen in the coming decades as the world continues to warm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s nice to see that they have actual physical evidence of it,” he said. “From where I’m sitting, the more data, the better because I think that having that kind of data helps us project for the future.”\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"New research sets a new baseline for the intensity of atmospheric rivers in California and provides clues into storms the state will face as the world warms. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1714778622,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":29,"wordCount":1152},"headData":{"title":"Atmospheric Rivers in California’s Ancient Past Exceeded Modern Storms | KQED","description":"New research sets a new baseline for the intensity of atmospheric rivers in California and provides clues into storms the state will face as the world warms. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Atmospheric Rivers in California’s Ancient Past Exceeded Modern Storms","datePublished":"2024-05-01T11:00:29.000Z","dateModified":"2024-05-03T23:23:42.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"nprStoryId":"kqed-1992513","excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1992513/atmospheric-rivers-in-californias-ancient-past-exceeded-modern-storms","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Clarke Knight studies just how far back in history, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">massive atmospheric river storms\u003c/a> wreaked havoc on California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As \u003ca href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01357-z\">she reviewed her recent findings\u003c/a> on a computer at her then-home in Menlo Park, the power went out. The cause? An atmospheric river in February of last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was kind of an ironic moment to be thwarted by the very thing I’m trying to understand,” said Knight, a USGS research geographer who studies paleoclimatology — the effects of weather on Earth in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By looking 3,200 years into the past, Knight extended atmospheric river knowledge significantly: twice in three millennia, atmospheric river activity exceeded anything in modern instrumental record keeping, deluging the state with widespread rainfall beyond what current Californians have ever experienced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The 32 massive storms that drenched California last year pale in comparison to some of the storms in the state’s past. Climate scientists argue Knight’s data established a new baseline for understanding intensifying storms in today’s warming world because of human-caused climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Understanding what happened when we didn’t have this additional layer of climate change is important to consider as a baseline for what to expect,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992499\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1500px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992499\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"Three women wearing puffy jackets hold a clear tube full of dark soil and brownish clear water above it.\" width=\"1500\" height=\"2000\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED.jpg 1500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-1020x1360.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-160x213.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-768x1024.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/DRILLINGCORE-KQED-1152x1536.jpg 1152w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. Geological Survey Scientists Clarke Knight, Lysanna Anderson, Marie Champagne hold an extracted sediment core. They later analyzed the cores to determine past atmospheric river activity.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Knight and her colleagues extracted around 15-foot-deep sediment samples from the bottom of Leonard Lake, an almost entirely undisturbed lake in Mendocino County. Atmospheric rivers often hit the lake, causing sediment layers to settle on the lake floor, cementing things like titanium and silica into place. Using radiocarbon dating to determine the age of those organic materials, Knight compared that signal with current records. Once unearthed, the cores provided a more precise long-term history of atmospheric rivers in California.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1991123,science_1991417,science_1985890","label":"Related Stories "},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have provided some of the first direct physical evidence of atmospheric storms in California’s history that had not been previously known,” she said. “[It is] about 20 times longer than the information we had previously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>‘It sets the baseline’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Widespread meteorology records in California began in the late 1940s, and for the longest time, historians viewed the wettest and most disastrous rain event in California as the Great Flood of 1862 — which killed at least 4,000 people and cost more than $3 billion in today’s dollars.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://scripps.ucsd.edu/profiles/cpoulsen\">Cody Poulsen\u003c/a>, who studies atmospheric rivers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, said Knight’s findings are one missing puzzle piece in our understanding of future weather patterns in a warming climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It sets the baseline in the sense that it provides a logical connection regarding the importance of atmospheric rivers,” he said. “This study creates a sobering result that the things that we think are extreme, amplified via global warming and climate change, could be more extreme.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992500\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2406px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992500\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A small glassy lake with hills, fog and trees reflect upon the surface of the lake. A small square wooden dock leads into the lake connected to a small aluminum boat and kayaks.\" width=\"2406\" height=\"1604\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED.jpg 2406w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/LeonardLake_NatureComms-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2406px) 100vw, 2406px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Clarke Knight studied Leonard Lake in Mendocino County because it sits relatively untouched and because atmospheric rivers often hit the body of water.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Knight’s study does have limitations. First, it focused only on one lake. Poulsen said that samples from lakes across the state are needed to have a more comprehensive view of atmospheric rivers’ effect on California in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is just the tip of the spear,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also, the study doesn’t resolve individual storms or water years. Instead, each data point holds around 10 years of information, “which in our field is extremely high resolution,” Knight said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://geography.berkeley.edu/professor-john-chiang\">John Chiang\u003c/a>, a UC Berkeley professor who studies atmospheric science, said Knight’s new record doesn’t accurately predict future storms in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That being said, it does set a baseline in that this is a first of its kind to reconstruct the atmospheric activity in the past,” he said. “This data doesn’t corroborate the exact physics of what we think will happen in a future climate. Those variations occurred in the past when we didn’t have humanity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>‘The findings bolster our current efforts’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Knight also selected Leonard Lake because water managers operate large regional reservoirs. More \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/CW3E_RussianRiverDroughtReadinessReport.pdf\">than half of the water delivered to that watershed along the Russian River comes from atmospheric rivers\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knight hopes to expand her work to similar lakes across the coastal range and said learning from history “sets us up for a better conversation about risks.” She also would like her study to cause the state and water managers to “reassess the ability of existing infrastructure to handle these events.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1992501\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1500px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1992501\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A light wood surface with two columns of layered black and grey soil. A pink colored hand with a wrist full of beaded bracelets sits next to them for scale.\" width=\"1500\" height=\"2000\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED.jpg 1500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-1020x1360.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-160x213.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-768x1024.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/04/WHATCLAYLAYERSLOOKLIKE-KQED-1152x1536.jpg 1152w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">USGS research geologist Lysanna Anderson compares sediment samples from Leonard Lake in Mendocino County to her hand. Each layer of soil represents years of sediment deposited onto the lake floor.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-anderson-a24a6310/\">Michael Anderson\u003c/a>, the state’s climatologist, is excited about the study because it takes computer model projections of future weather and turns them into “tangible” observations showing what happened in the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That creates a stronger motivation to keep up the work we’re doing,” he said. “Our system is built to manage floods up to a certain size. Beyond that, the system can be overwhelmed.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said the study is helpful in understanding “what makes extreme storms happen,” but more data is needed as the state prepares its reservoirs and waterways for extreme storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Along the Russian River in Sonoma and Mendocino counties, water managers track atmospheric rivers using radar units dispersed across mountaintops, flights during storms and the release of water from reservoirs when a big storm approaches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think the findings bolster our current efforts to plan for the extremes that we’ve already been doing,” said \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-welcomes-chris-delaney/\">Chris Delaney\u003c/a>, principal engineer at Sonoma Water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the agency might use Knight’s study in future planning because the new information means extreme events could extend beyond what the agency can handle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What we think is a 100-year event or a 500-year event now is probably not accurate if you were to look at the much longer period of climate like this study has done,” Delaney said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nathan Baskett, a hydrogeologist for Sonoma Water, said that having this new historical information about atmospheric rivers allows the agency to prepare for what could happen in the coming decades as the world continues to warm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s nice to see that they have actual physical evidence of it,” he said. “From where I’m sitting, the more data, the better because I think that having that kind of data helps us project for the future.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1992513/atmospheric-rivers-in-californias-ancient-past-exceeded-modern-storms","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_2227","science_4417","science_4414","science_5295","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1992516","label":"science"},"science_1991522":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991522","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991522","score":null,"sort":[1708646831000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","title":"February's Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather","publishDate":1708646831,"format":"standard","headTitle":"February’s Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>At the start of the year, the California snowpack sat at an abysmal 25% of average, but after a series of storms, the Sierra is glittering white — over the last week, storms added up to 4 feet of snow to the range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in pretty, pretty bad circumstances earlier this year, and we’ve come a long way,” said Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist with the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab. “We’ve kind of clawed our way back into being a decent year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Statewide, the snowpack is now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">86% of normal for this time of year. And 70% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the end of the water year and the typical height of the state’s frozen reservoir. Storms over the last month more than doubled the size of the snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1760404780353196466?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At his lab north of Lake Tahoe, over the past week, more than 3 1/2 feet of snow fell during three February storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1760343198524912012?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Chasing average\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All of these storms — and more potentially on their way in March — put California in a good position to have an average water year. The last time that happened was 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s exceedingly rare that we ever really hit average in California,” he said. “To be around average is kind of nice for once because we’re not worrying about our water resources and our water allocations. But we’re also not worrying so much about [so much] snow that roofs collapse and businesses shut down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An average water year can be good for ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe. Big storms can prevent people from accessing resorts, like last winter when 46 atmospheric rivers landed over the West Coast and 32 pummeled Northern California. The storms lifted most of the state from drought conditions, and the sheer volume of water caused catastrophic flooding, bursting levees and reawakening a ghost in the form of Tulare Lake, which had been dry earth in the San Joaquin Valley for over a century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is such a thing as too much snow, where the resort can’t even open sometimes because there is that much snow,” said Patrick Lacey, public relations manager for the resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said this month’s storms piled snow on the mountains around the resort without overwhelming it and nearby communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has really helped out with our snow totals,” Lacey said. “We are currently sitting at 225 inches for the season. Obviously, that’s not last year’s numbers, but we’re sitting pretty right now, especially in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacey said the additional 3 1/2 feet of snow arrived just in time for the \u003ca href=\"https://usskiandsnowboard.org/events/stifel-palisades-tahoe-cup\">Stifel Palisades Tahoe Cup\u003c/a> this weekend, where more than a hundred athletes from 28 countries will compete. The ski competition is part of the Audi FIS Ski World Cup circuit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s skiing really good out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The future is looking average — and snowy\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The next potential for rain and snow is early next week, which UC Berkeley’s Schwartz said may help the state to finally climb out of the “deficit we incurred early in the year” with a dry start to the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s still far out to make promises, but it looks like it will be a stormy start to March, which should further help us out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Katrina Hand, a National Weather Service Meteorologist in Sacramento, said the agency expects another storm system to move over the Sierra early next week. While the storm may not be as strong as the last several, it could still create travel issues along mountain passes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looking at the current forecast, we do have anywhere from a few inches locally up to a foot in terms of the total snow over that time frame,” she said. “It is still a few days away, so we are fine-tuning those details. But at the very least, I would encourage people to plan for some wintry weather over that late Sunday through Tuesday time frame in the Sierra.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1760402440598216833\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the recent snow is great, Michael Anderson, the state’s official climatologist, said the storms did not evenly distribute snow across the Sierra. The Northern Sierra is aglow in white; the Central and Southern Sierra received less snow and may stay that way if storms shift north as spring gets closer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It doesn’t mean there won’t still be that opportunity in March for those storms to sag a little bit further south, but we are starting to see that seasonal progression that [typically] moves the storms back north,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, Anderson said reservoir levels are in good shape at 118% of the historical average but could benefit from a more extensive snowpack. The California Department of Water Resources reports storms from the start of January to Feb. 20 have provided enough water to supply 4.8 million people or 1.5 million households with water for an entire year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Michael Anderson, state climatologist, California Department of Water Resources\"]‘Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot.’[/pullquote]“Because we had such a big water year last year, it does dent that impact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS Climate Prediction Center suggests that moderate to heavy rain and snow could be in the forecast for late February into early March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said El Niño will likely dissipate in spring, and the possibility of a La Niña year follows. A La Niña year can mean dry conditions, especially in Southern California, but it doesn’t always — as California learned last winter when storm after storm drenched the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to pay real close attention to that and look and see what the seasonal forecasters can tell us, but right now, we have to be ready for anything,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Climate change imprints even an average year\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For the most part, this year’s storms have not been extreme or even close to the flooding scenarios scientists predict California will experience in a warming world. But Lawrence Berkeley National Lab atmospheric scientist Alan Rhoades said a series of false starts the state experienced over the past few years — where meteorological conditions delayed the rainy season — is due, in part, to the changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"science_1985965,science_1991290,science_1983097\"]Rhoades notes that the atmospheric rivers hovered over California over the last few years, resulting in lots of rain and snow all at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re getting a lot of the rain, but then maybe not always getting the average kind of water year totals you would expect,” he said. “Our future might be more of a whiplash between drys and wets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rhoades said it’s also important to remember that there’s another threat to the snowpack partly caused by anthropogenic climate change. Even if the snowpack grows, just one heat wave could melt a large portion. The state relies on its snowpack to supply a vast agricultural industry and millions of Californians with water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He recalled a 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that \u003ca href=\"https://www.seattlepi.com/weather/article/mount-rainier-snow-melt-off-heat-wave-16340241.php\">melted 30% of the Mount Rainier in about a week\u003c/a>. Last April, climate scientists warned the public that a heat wave could trigger rapid snowmelt, causing flooding in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s strong evidence that human-caused climate change has decreased snowpacks throughout the Western United States for the last 50 to 70 years. He said that is partly due to more snow falling as rain during storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might have these average years like we’re experiencing in California, but heading into the future, there’s just going to be less opportunity,” he said. “Warming amplifies that natural cycle that we already experience in extremes that we get, and then concentrates storms that we do get into a select number of months in the mid-winter.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The recent storms have more than doubled the California snowpack, and meteorologists forecast that March could be a wet month. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1708648855,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":33,"wordCount":1477},"headData":{"title":"February's Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather | KQED","description":"The recent storms have more than doubled the California snowpack, and meteorologists forecast that March could be a wet month. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"February's Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather","datePublished":"2024-02-23T00:07:11.000Z","dateModified":"2024-02-23T00:40:55.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991522/februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>At the start of the year, the California snowpack sat at an abysmal 25% of average, but after a series of storms, the Sierra is glittering white — over the last week, storms added up to 4 feet of snow to the range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in pretty, pretty bad circumstances earlier this year, and we’ve come a long way,” said Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist with the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab. “We’ve kind of clawed our way back into being a decent year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Statewide, the snowpack is now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">86% of normal for this time of year. And 70% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the end of the water year and the typical height of the state’s frozen reservoir. Storms over the last month more than doubled the size of the snowpack.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760404780353196466"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>At his lab north of Lake Tahoe, over the past week, more than 3 1/2 feet of snow fell during three February storms.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760343198524912012"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>Chasing average\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All of these storms — and more potentially on their way in March — put California in a good position to have an average water year. The last time that happened was 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s exceedingly rare that we ever really hit average in California,” he said. “To be around average is kind of nice for once because we’re not worrying about our water resources and our water allocations. But we’re also not worrying so much about [so much] snow that roofs collapse and businesses shut down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An average water year can be good for ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe. Big storms can prevent people from accessing resorts, like last winter when 46 atmospheric rivers landed over the West Coast and 32 pummeled Northern California. The storms lifted most of the state from drought conditions, and the sheer volume of water caused catastrophic flooding, bursting levees and reawakening a ghost in the form of Tulare Lake, which had been dry earth in the San Joaquin Valley for over a century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is such a thing as too much snow, where the resort can’t even open sometimes because there is that much snow,” said Patrick Lacey, public relations manager for the resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said this month’s storms piled snow on the mountains around the resort without overwhelming it and nearby communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has really helped out with our snow totals,” Lacey said. “We are currently sitting at 225 inches for the season. Obviously, that’s not last year’s numbers, but we’re sitting pretty right now, especially in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacey said the additional 3 1/2 feet of snow arrived just in time for the \u003ca href=\"https://usskiandsnowboard.org/events/stifel-palisades-tahoe-cup\">Stifel Palisades Tahoe Cup\u003c/a> this weekend, where more than a hundred athletes from 28 countries will compete. The ski competition is part of the Audi FIS Ski World Cup circuit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s skiing really good out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The future is looking average — and snowy\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The next potential for rain and snow is early next week, which UC Berkeley’s Schwartz said may help the state to finally climb out of the “deficit we incurred early in the year” with a dry start to the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s still far out to make promises, but it looks like it will be a stormy start to March, which should further help us out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Katrina Hand, a National Weather Service Meteorologist in Sacramento, said the agency expects another storm system to move over the Sierra early next week. While the storm may not be as strong as the last several, it could still create travel issues along mountain passes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looking at the current forecast, we do have anywhere from a few inches locally up to a foot in terms of the total snow over that time frame,” she said. “It is still a few days away, so we are fine-tuning those details. But at the very least, I would encourage people to plan for some wintry weather over that late Sunday through Tuesday time frame in the Sierra.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760402440598216833"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>While the recent snow is great, Michael Anderson, the state’s official climatologist, said the storms did not evenly distribute snow across the Sierra. The Northern Sierra is aglow in white; the Central and Southern Sierra received less snow and may stay that way if storms shift north as spring gets closer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It doesn’t mean there won’t still be that opportunity in March for those storms to sag a little bit further south, but we are starting to see that seasonal progression that [typically] moves the storms back north,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, Anderson said reservoir levels are in good shape at 118% of the historical average but could benefit from a more extensive snowpack. The California Department of Water Resources reports storms from the start of January to Feb. 20 have provided enough water to supply 4.8 million people or 1.5 million households with water for an entire year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Michael Anderson, state climatologist, California Department of Water Resources","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Because we had such a big water year last year, it does dent that impact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS Climate Prediction Center suggests that moderate to heavy rain and snow could be in the forecast for late February into early March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said El Niño will likely dissipate in spring, and the possibility of a La Niña year follows. A La Niña year can mean dry conditions, especially in Southern California, but it doesn’t always — as California learned last winter when storm after storm drenched the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to pay real close attention to that and look and see what the seasonal forecasters can tell us, but right now, we have to be ready for anything,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Climate change imprints even an average year\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For the most part, this year’s storms have not been extreme or even close to the flooding scenarios scientists predict California will experience in a warming world. But Lawrence Berkeley National Lab atmospheric scientist Alan Rhoades said a series of false starts the state experienced over the past few years — where meteorological conditions delayed the rainy season — is due, in part, to the changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Stories ","postid":"science_1985965,science_1991290,science_1983097"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Rhoades notes that the atmospheric rivers hovered over California over the last few years, resulting in lots of rain and snow all at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re getting a lot of the rain, but then maybe not always getting the average kind of water year totals you would expect,” he said. “Our future might be more of a whiplash between drys and wets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rhoades said it’s also important to remember that there’s another threat to the snowpack partly caused by anthropogenic climate change. Even if the snowpack grows, just one heat wave could melt a large portion. The state relies on its snowpack to supply a vast agricultural industry and millions of Californians with water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He recalled a 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that \u003ca href=\"https://www.seattlepi.com/weather/article/mount-rainier-snow-melt-off-heat-wave-16340241.php\">melted 30% of the Mount Rainier in about a week\u003c/a>. Last April, climate scientists warned the public that a heat wave could trigger rapid snowmelt, causing flooding in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s strong evidence that human-caused climate change has decreased snowpacks throughout the Western United States for the last 50 to 70 years. He said that is partly due to more snow falling as rain during storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might have these average years like we’re experiencing in California, but heading into the future, there’s just going to be less opportunity,” he said. “Warming amplifies that natural cycle that we already experience in extremes that we get, and then concentrates storms that we do get into a select number of months in the mid-winter.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991522/februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_4450"],"tags":["science_572","science_4417","science_4414","science_1127","science_2878","science_201"],"featImg":"science_1991524","label":"science"},"science_1991417":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991417","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991417","score":null,"sort":[1708129041000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","title":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area","publishDate":1708129041,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Sunday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A strong storm with heavy rain is expected to hit the Bay Area around midday and continue through the night. According to the National Weather Service, strong winds that could knock down trees, a high surf, thunderstorms and potential flooding will last through Monday with conditions improving to lingering showers on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The atmospheric river could bring two to five inches of rain to some Bay Area cities on Sunday afternoon and a flood watch will be in effect until Wednesday morning. In anticipation of potential landslides and other storm hazards, some parks in San Mateo County including Memorial Park have closed on Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1759301577851211845\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Saturday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the first of two moderate atmospheric rivers begin to roll over the region, the National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for the Bay Area and the Central Coast from Sunday through Wednesday morning. The advisory includes concerns about rising creeks, rivers and streams and the increased risk of shallow landslides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">high surf advisory \u003c/a>has been issued by the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office for all West-facing beaches from Sonoma County down to Monterey County. The high surf advisory will be in effect from 10 a.m. Saturday through 4 p.m. Sunday, with large breaking waves of 18 to 22 feet expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1758558171214537121\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said Saturday’s storm is “priming the pump” for potential flooding later in the weekend and into early next week. He said most parts of the Bay Area should expect between 1 and 3 inches of rain, and 6 to 8 inches could fall in coastal mountain ranges near Santa Cruz and Marin counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to help the soils get closer to saturation if they’re not already, and we will likely be dealing with numerous shallow landslides and minor urban flooding,” he said. “I would expect some trees down and power outages due to the wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said Saturday’s storm could contain wind gusts of up to 30 mph, and Sunday’s storm could have gusts of up to 35 mph along the coast and higher elevations. However, stronger lowland winds are possible in the Santa Clara and Salinas valleys.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said he is most concerned about the Russian River near Guerneville because meteorologists forecast the North Bay to receive more rain than most places in the region. He said the Russian River has a 20% chance of reaching a lower flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said the Bay Area “could be under the gun for a good 24 to 48 hours.” He is concerned that either storm could stall over an already saturated area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you get those embedded heavy rain bands that stay over the same spot for a long time, that relatively modest storm by other means can potentially produce significant flooding,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CW3E_Scripps/status/1758616085035888784\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 2 p.m. Thursday: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists are now forecasting two moderate atmospheric river storms will move over the Bay Area and into the Sierra Nevada over President’s Day Weekend, beginning with a weaker storm late Friday night. The first deluge could drop an inch of rain in populated areas of the region and up to 3 inches in the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The second one is coming on the heels of the first one,” said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you compound these storms, you tend to get a more exacerbated hydrologic response. Things like the ground saturated and heavy winds toppling trees.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hecht said the first storm would last about 24 hours and is forecasted to land in Northern California before working down the central coast. Forecasters expect Sunday’s storm to linger a few days and make landfall along the Central Coast, but Hecht said the Bay could still feel its effects because of the storm’s large size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office forecasts high surf Saturday and Sunday with waves of 12 feet or larger from Monterey County to the San Francisco peninsula to the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We could see locally higher breaking waves up to 28 feet,” NWS meteorologist Dalton Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The west and southwest-facing beaches are going to be the most impacted,” he said. “The typical hotspots like Mavericks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said both storms could bring wind gusts up to 40 mph along the coast and in more populated areas up to 35 mph. Behringer doesn’t expect extreme flooding since he forecasts the storms will occur over several days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to be looking at minor, shallow landslides for much of the area,” he said. “The good news is that rivers still have quite a bit of capacity to take the runoff.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the highest likelihood of any flooding issues due to streams or rivers rising is in the North Bay. But Hecht, with Scripps, said it is too early to tell where the worst storm effects will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for some rivers to rise above flood stage with these storms,” Hecht said. “The exact location of where the heaviest precipitation will fall or what rivers will flood is hard to nail down, but the potential is there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast as much as 3 feet of snow falling on the Sierra Nevada between storms. The worst of the wintery conditions could come Sunday through Tuesday morning, coinciding with President’s Day this weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1758242277581783100\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re planning on traveling Monday into Tuesday, we would advise against it because that’s when we are expecting heavy mountain snow,” said Chelsea Peters, an NWS Sacramento meteorologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original story, Feb. 13:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service forecasts three storms of varying intensities will roll through the Bay Area this week, starting with a relatively weak storm on Wednesday that could include some light rain, followed by a couple of stronger storms during the long President’s Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect three-quarters of an inch of rain across most of the region on Wednesday, with more than an inch expected to fall in the North Bay and Santa Cruz mountains. Over the weekend through early next week, NWS Bay Area meteorologist Roger Gass said as much as 6 inches of rain could fall along the coastal range. San Francisco could receive 2.5 inches of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Nathan Rick, meteorologist, NWS Sacramento\"]‘If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions.’[/pullquote]While those numbers seem high, Gass cautioned that “we’re talking about [over] the course of several days. So it’s not all going to come at one time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That could mean that the impact of the storm won’t be as extreme, although just how intense Sunday’s storm will be is still up in the air.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re still trying to fine-tune the details, but, again, it’s not expected to be as strong as the last system,” Gass said of the storm a week and a half ago that pounded the region with rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1757498765068607873?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The three storms combined could add several feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, and meteorologists advise holiday travelers to take extra precautions when visiting places like Tahoe or Yosemite National Park.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists expect significant snow to fall on the Sierra Saturday through Tuesday morning, with as much as 3 feet of snow at higher elevations. The storms coincide with the holiday weekend, and forecasters warn that getting out of the mountains on Monday could be a harrowing experience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"science_1991123,science_1985890,science_1991249\" label=\"Related Stories\"]“If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions,” said Nathan Rick, a meteorologist with NWS Sacramento. “Definitely have some alternative plans in place again if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms aren’t quite atmospheric rivers — which can dump multiple inches of rain over a short period — but have some characteristics of these storms, mainly that the storms could encompass much of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be probably more or less an equal opportunity event,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in a Monday briefing. “It’s going to affect most of the state simultaneously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said the weekend storms could produce “very wet conditions across most of the state.” He adds there’s a possibility of strong winds, “although almost certainly not as strong as what we saw last week in terms of wind” when gusts reached more than 90 mph in some places.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trio of storms could bring flooding and landslides, especially as each deluge intensifies into next week. Swain said there could be flood concerns in Northern California because recent storms saturated much of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The difference is this one is coming fairly close on the heels of the previous very wet storm cycle,” he said. “It is now wet enough that a big storm cycle is going to start to result in larger flood-related impacts and the higher risk of landslides because the soil column is starting to become saturated at a deeper level.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, meteorologists forecast nuisance flooding in local streams and drainages but not necessarily major rivers.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The National Weather Service forecasts intensifying rain over the Bay Area and snow in the Sierra during President’s Day weekend. A high surf advisory has been issued along the coast through Sunday evening.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1708290599,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":43,"wordCount":1681},"headData":{"title":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area | KQED","description":"The National Weather Service forecasts intensifying rain over the Bay Area and snow in the Sierra during President’s Day weekend. A high surf advisory has been issued along the coast through Sunday evening.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area","datePublished":"2024-02-17T00:17:21.000Z","dateModified":"2024-02-18T21:09:59.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991417/bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Sunday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A strong storm with heavy rain is expected to hit the Bay Area around midday and continue through the night. According to the National Weather Service, strong winds that could knock down trees, a high surf, thunderstorms and potential flooding will last through Monday with conditions improving to lingering showers on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The atmospheric river could bring two to five inches of rain to some Bay Area cities on Sunday afternoon and a flood watch will be in effect until Wednesday morning. In anticipation of potential landslides and other storm hazards, some parks in San Mateo County including Memorial Park have closed on Sunday.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1759301577851211845"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Saturday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the first of two moderate atmospheric rivers begin to roll over the region, the National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for the Bay Area and the Central Coast from Sunday through Wednesday morning. The advisory includes concerns about rising creeks, rivers and streams and the increased risk of shallow landslides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">high surf advisory \u003c/a>has been issued by the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office for all West-facing beaches from Sonoma County down to Monterey County. The high surf advisory will be in effect from 10 a.m. Saturday through 4 p.m. Sunday, with large breaking waves of 18 to 22 feet expected.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758558171214537121"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said Saturday’s storm is “priming the pump” for potential flooding later in the weekend and into early next week. He said most parts of the Bay Area should expect between 1 and 3 inches of rain, and 6 to 8 inches could fall in coastal mountain ranges near Santa Cruz and Marin counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to help the soils get closer to saturation if they’re not already, and we will likely be dealing with numerous shallow landslides and minor urban flooding,” he said. “I would expect some trees down and power outages due to the wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said Saturday’s storm could contain wind gusts of up to 30 mph, and Sunday’s storm could have gusts of up to 35 mph along the coast and higher elevations. However, stronger lowland winds are possible in the Santa Clara and Salinas valleys.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said he is most concerned about the Russian River near Guerneville because meteorologists forecast the North Bay to receive more rain than most places in the region. He said the Russian River has a 20% chance of reaching a lower flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said the Bay Area “could be under the gun for a good 24 to 48 hours.” He is concerned that either storm could stall over an already saturated area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you get those embedded heavy rain bands that stay over the same spot for a long time, that relatively modest storm by other means can potentially produce significant flooding,” he said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758616085035888784"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 2 p.m. Thursday: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists are now forecasting two moderate atmospheric river storms will move over the Bay Area and into the Sierra Nevada over President’s Day Weekend, beginning with a weaker storm late Friday night. The first deluge could drop an inch of rain in populated areas of the region and up to 3 inches in the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The second one is coming on the heels of the first one,” said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you compound these storms, you tend to get a more exacerbated hydrologic response. Things like the ground saturated and heavy winds toppling trees.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hecht said the first storm would last about 24 hours and is forecasted to land in Northern California before working down the central coast. Forecasters expect Sunday’s storm to linger a few days and make landfall along the Central Coast, but Hecht said the Bay could still feel its effects because of the storm’s large size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office forecasts high surf Saturday and Sunday with waves of 12 feet or larger from Monterey County to the San Francisco peninsula to the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We could see locally higher breaking waves up to 28 feet,” NWS meteorologist Dalton Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The west and southwest-facing beaches are going to be the most impacted,” he said. “The typical hotspots like Mavericks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said both storms could bring wind gusts up to 40 mph along the coast and in more populated areas up to 35 mph. Behringer doesn’t expect extreme flooding since he forecasts the storms will occur over several days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to be looking at minor, shallow landslides for much of the area,” he said. “The good news is that rivers still have quite a bit of capacity to take the runoff.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the highest likelihood of any flooding issues due to streams or rivers rising is in the North Bay. But Hecht, with Scripps, said it is too early to tell where the worst storm effects will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for some rivers to rise above flood stage with these storms,” Hecht said. “The exact location of where the heaviest precipitation will fall or what rivers will flood is hard to nail down, but the potential is there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast as much as 3 feet of snow falling on the Sierra Nevada between storms. The worst of the wintery conditions could come Sunday through Tuesday morning, coinciding with President’s Day this weekend.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758242277581783100"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“If you’re planning on traveling Monday into Tuesday, we would advise against it because that’s when we are expecting heavy mountain snow,” said Chelsea Peters, an NWS Sacramento meteorologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original story, Feb. 13:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service forecasts three storms of varying intensities will roll through the Bay Area this week, starting with a relatively weak storm on Wednesday that could include some light rain, followed by a couple of stronger storms during the long President’s Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect three-quarters of an inch of rain across most of the region on Wednesday, with more than an inch expected to fall in the North Bay and Santa Cruz mountains. Over the weekend through early next week, NWS Bay Area meteorologist Roger Gass said as much as 6 inches of rain could fall along the coastal range. San Francisco could receive 2.5 inches of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Nathan Rick, meteorologist, NWS Sacramento","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>While those numbers seem high, Gass cautioned that “we’re talking about [over] the course of several days. So it’s not all going to come at one time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That could mean that the impact of the storm won’t be as extreme, although just how intense Sunday’s storm will be is still up in the air.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re still trying to fine-tune the details, but, again, it’s not expected to be as strong as the last system,” Gass said of the storm a week and a half ago that pounded the region with rain.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1757498765068607873"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The three storms combined could add several feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, and meteorologists advise holiday travelers to take extra precautions when visiting places like Tahoe or Yosemite National Park.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists expect significant snow to fall on the Sierra Saturday through Tuesday morning, with as much as 3 feet of snow at higher elevations. The storms coincide with the holiday weekend, and forecasters warn that getting out of the mountains on Monday could be a harrowing experience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1991123,science_1985890,science_1991249","label":"Related Stories "},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions,” said Nathan Rick, a meteorologist with NWS Sacramento. “Definitely have some alternative plans in place again if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms aren’t quite atmospheric rivers — which can dump multiple inches of rain over a short period — but have some characteristics of these storms, mainly that the storms could encompass much of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be probably more or less an equal opportunity event,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in a Monday briefing. “It’s going to affect most of the state simultaneously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said the weekend storms could produce “very wet conditions across most of the state.” He adds there’s a possibility of strong winds, “although almost certainly not as strong as what we saw last week in terms of wind” when gusts reached more than 90 mph in some places.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trio of storms could bring flooding and landslides, especially as each deluge intensifies into next week. Swain said there could be flood concerns in Northern California because recent storms saturated much of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The difference is this one is coming fairly close on the heels of the previous very wet storm cycle,” he said. “It is now wet enough that a big storm cycle is going to start to result in larger flood-related impacts and the higher risk of landslides because the soil column is starting to become saturated at a deeper level.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, meteorologists forecast nuisance flooding in local streams and drainages but not necessarily major rivers.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991417/bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_35","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4417","science_1213","science_107","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1991292","label":"science"},"science_1991290":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991290","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991290","score":null,"sort":[1707079367000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"severe-bay-area-storm-brings-historic-winds-regional-flooding-and-power-outages","title":"Severe Bay Area Storm Brings Historic Winds, Regional Flooding and Power Outages","publishDate":1707079367,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Severe Bay Area Storm Brings Historic Winds, Regional Flooding and Power Outages | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 12 p.m. Tuesday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At least three people in Northern California were killed in the massive storm that slammed the region on Sunday and Monday before moving farther south, officials said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An 82-year-old man in Yuba City, north of Sacramento, was found crushed beneath a redwood tree in his yard on Monday, the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services confirmed. Investigators said the man, \u003ca href=\"https://www.abc10.com/article/news/local/82-year-old-man-killed-falling-tree-yuba-city/103-eeb5e2aa-0a08-4193-b1ef-5a2f5b57a1b1\">identified as David Gomes\u003c/a>, appeared to be using a ladder in an attempt to clear the damaged tree away from his home when it fell on him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also on Monday, a 45-year-old man in Boulder Creek, in the Santa Cruz mountains, was killed when a tree fell on his home, officials confirmed. The man, Robert Brainard III, was pronounced dead at the scene, \u003ca href=\"https://www.santacruzsentinel.com/2024/02/05/boulder-creek-man-dies-after-tree-falls-into-home/\">the \u003cem>Santa Cruz Sentinel\u003c/em>\u003c/a> reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And on Sunday, Chad Ensey, a 41-year-old man in the Sacramento suburb of Carmichael, also died after a tree fell on him in his backyard, the \u003cem>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/storm-pge-outages-atmospheric-river-18649070.php\">San Francisco Chronicle\u003c/a> \u003c/em>reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The intense atmospheric river-fueled storm that pummeled the region with heavy rainfall and hurricane-force winds — \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1754593798448111748\">nearing or topping 100 mph\u003c/a> in a handful of mountainous Bay Area locations — left hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses without power on Sunday and into Monday. As of 10 a.m. Tuesday, more than 63,000 homes in the Bay Area — including upward of 27,000 in the North Bay — were still in the dark, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.pgecurrents.com/articles/3918-pg-e-responding-atmospheric-river-storm-outages\">PG&E.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the storm expected to wreak even more havoc in already-saturated Southern California, Gov. Gavin Newsom on Saturday \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2024/02/04/governor-newsom-proclaims-state-of-emergency-in-southern-california-as-powerful-storm-makes-landfall/\">declared a state of emergency\u003c/a> for Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara and Ventura counties, which allows the state to mobilize the National Guard for emergency response if necessary. The Office of Emergency Services activated its operations center and positioned thousands of personnel and equipment in areas throughout the region most at risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 7:50 p.m. Sunday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a massive storm continues to roll over the region, the National Weather Service said thunderstorms, lightning and hail are still impacting the Bay Area Sunday evening, with power outages impacting more than 700,000 customers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scattered thunderstorms and showers will last through the night until most of the rain has passed by Monday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There still could be some residual flooding on the roadways with the soils being saturated,” said NWS meteorologist Sarah McCorkle. “We could still see some downed trees, but overall, things should calm down by tomorrow morning.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to the state Office of Emergency Services, in the last few hours, Santa Clara County has seen the number of customers in the dark more than quadruple, to nearly 109,000. Close to 80,000 customers are without power across the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Mateo power outages have more than tripled in that time frame to over 74,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve got hundreds of crews out there responding to these outages, and it’s all storm-related,” said Jeff Smith with PG&E. “You know there’s a lot of heavy winds, and winds can knock power lines together and sometimes cause trees and branches to get into power lines.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High wind warnings and wind advisories remain in effect through Sunday at 10 p.m. as wind speeds diminish this evening except at higher peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The NWS Storm Prediction Center in northern Oklahoma, usually the place that issues severe thunderstorm and tornado watches, just highlighted this region as having at least a slight chance of generating tornadic thunderstorms in the next one to two hours,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said on Sunday, pointing out that the extreme rain and intense winds stretched from Santa Cruz to San Jose.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists with the NWS Bay Area office explained there’s a 5% chance they’ll issue a tornado watch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1754275921971060738?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water officials in the South Bay said the worst of today’s storms have passed — without flooding along the Guadalupe River in San Jose, which city officials thought could overflow. Water levels reached above seven feet around noon but have since declined. That’s short of the 9-and-a-half feet the National Weather Service defines as flood stage for the river.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valley Water spokesman Matt Keller says that’s good news for nearby residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You know, if the forecast would have delivered what it was, they would have seen flooding in that area,” he said. “But because, you know, Mother Nature could do what Mother Nature does, it’s as much as we like to forecast, it can still be unpredictable. And, we did not see the impacts that we were expecting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The city of San José remains under a wind advisory with gusts expected up to 60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 4:30 p.m. Sunday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A community center in San José will remain open today for unhoused residents seeking shelter from the wet weather. The Roosevelt Community Center on Santa Clara Street will accept walk-ins today — with space for 90 individuals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Saturday, the city ordered an evacuation for unhoused residents living along the banks of the Guadalupe River, which ultimately avoided flooding. San José Mayor Matt Mahan says city police broadcast a message over a loudspeaker warning people to leave the river banks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the most efficient tool we have for letting homeless residents living along the waterways know that there’s a risk and that they need to relocate,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After Saturday’s evacuation order, more than 40 people stayed at the Roosevelt Community Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, it’s just the wind that I’m keeping an eye on because we could have more trees and power lines down and more power outages,” Mahan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Oakland on Sunday, Eugene Jacobs, who has been unhoused since 2017, tied a tarp over his tent under the 980 overpass at Sycamore St. The Oakland native said he lives in a tent just a few hundred feet away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My whole front door and back door have been torn off,’ he said. “It’s been hard to deal with, but as long as you stay under this underpass right here when you’re homeless, you stay dry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the Bay Area is still experiencing the lingering wind and rain, much of the effects have yet to hit Southern California, but Swain says that will change as the day continues with flash flood warnings from Santa Barbara south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re in Los Angeles and San Diego, you’re still saying ‘what storm?’ because it is essentially raining lightly on the west side of LA with partly cloudy conditions or sunny conditions relatively warm, east and south of that, but just wait, it is coming,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11936674\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/08/pexels-dids-1986996-1-1020x680-1.jpg\"]The Bay Area is preparing for extreme weather conditions, flooding, massive waves, downed trees and power outages as an atmospheric river-boosted storm sweeps across the region. The National Weather Service expects the storm to last through Monday and could be stronger and more intense than any storm this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS meteorologists said Sunday up to three inches of rain could fall on the Santa Clara area, which could be the hardest hit this afternoon and evening. NWS expects up to five inches of rain on the coastal side of the Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The heavier rain is expected this afternoon when there’ll be heavier downpours and thunderstorms,” said NWS meteorologist Sarah McCorkle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991292\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1620px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991292\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg\" alt=\"Several people wearing rain ponchos walk outside as the wind blows.\" width=\"1620\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg 1620w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1620px) 100vw, 1620px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A group of tourists walk through Alamo Square Park during a storm in San Francisco on Feb. 4, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>San José has issued a mandatory evacuation along four creeks — the Coyote, Los Gatos, Penitencia and Ross Creeks — and the Guadalupe River. The city has alerted unhoused residents that the waterways are likely to rise. The \u003ca href=\"https://cnrfc.noaa.gov/obsRiver_hc.php?id=GUDC1\">river forecast center with NWS\u003c/a> now predicts the Guadalupe River will peak at 2 p.m. today above the flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Please do not be anywhere near the waterway and be aware while driving or parked vehicles,” said San José Mayor Matt Mahan in a Saturday press conference.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/RobMayeda/status/1754157436460822690?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Power outages and flight delays\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://poweroutage.us/area/state/california\">More than 120,000 customers from Sonoma to Monterrey Counties are without power\u003c/a>, according to the PowerOutage site, including residences from Rohnert Park, Tiburon, San Francisco, Pacifica, Newark, and San José.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The greatest concentration of power outages in the region is in the South Bay. Around 23,000 PG&E customers are without power in the San José, Cupertino and Sunnyvale areas. In the North Bay, there are around 12,000 PG&E customers without power. PG&E has hundreds of crews responding to storm-related outages across the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area airports are seeing a rise in delays and cancellations as heavy wind and rain move through the region. The San Francisco Chronicle \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfchronicle.com/weather/article/bay-area-california-storm-18647684.php\">reported\u003c/a> San Francisco International Airport temporarily delayed landings this morning and rerouted two flights to Oakland airport.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kaley Skantz, public information officer at Oakland International Airport, said the airport has had 18 departure delays and two cancellations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We do recommend checking flight status with your airline before coming to the airport just to ensure that you have the most recent information about your travel itinerary,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Jose, officials with Minetta International Airport said they had 57 delays and two cancellations so far today, which a spokesperson says is higher than normal, but not out of the ordinary for a stormy day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Along the San Mateo coastline, waves crashing on the shore are 25 feet tall, according to San Mateo County Supervisor Ray Mueller.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, Highway 1 is completely closed south of Pescadero due to downed powerlines in roads,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991300\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1469px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991300\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg\" alt=\"A tree blocks part of a street in a city.\" width=\"1469\" height=\"979\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg 1469w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1469px) 100vw, 1469px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A tree blocks Market Street at 18th during a storm in San Francisco on Feb. 4, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Strong winds\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm, lasting through Monday, is also expected to bring 30-80 miles per hour of winds across the region as well as nuisance flooding. Weather officials expect hurricane-force winds off the Monterey Coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/nwsbayarea/status/1754219146794111130?s=46&t=8L9OHVE58oUXKjH2wCBDtA\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For the first time in their history, there’s a hurricane-force wind warning for the offshore waters of Monterey County and that does not mean that the storm itself is a true hurricane,” said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain. “In most places, the strongest winds haven’t occurred yet.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/RobMayeda/status/1754153339758301245?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said the storm, with its tail reaching past Hawaii, is developing in place and the worst of the precipitation is yet to come. As the storm heads south, he said, water spouts or tornadoes are possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s far from over yet and in some respects, the storm won’t peak until this afternoon or evening,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1754196799676391903?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Potential flooding\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Regarding flooding, Swain said he doesn’t think the flood risk will be widespread in the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is not an epic flood event for Northern California because it isn’t in the right position for the storm to see high rainfall totals, but it could be for Southern California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After the storm sweeps over the Bay Area, Swain expects it to hit Southern California, where flash flooding could inundate the region and a few evacuation orders are already in place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is just going to increasingly align across Southern California for the next day and does bring for flooding risk later on across Southern California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the Sierra Nevada snowpack, Swan said this storm will likely give it a “kickstart” and could be the biggest snow event of the year so far.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Emergency services\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>According to San José’s\u003ca href=\"https://www.sanjoseca.gov/news-stories/news/emergency-notifications\"> official website\u003c/a>, Roosevelt Community Center (901 East Santa Clara Street) will serve as an extended Overnight Warming Location (OWL). Walk-ins will be accepted at the OWL today and Monday, and pets are welcome. Additional information about Santa Clara County’s warming locations can be found \u003ca href=\"https://emergencymanagement.sccgov.org/residents/cold-weather-safety?utm_campaign=preparescc-vanity-redirect&utm_medium=redirect&utm_source=vanity\">here\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Annelise Finney, Rachael Vasquez, Lakshmi Sarah and Beth LaBerge contributed reporting to this story. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":" The National Weather Service expects the storm to last through Monday and could be stronger and more intense than any storm this year.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1707260899,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":58,"wordCount":2151},"headData":{"title":"Severe Bay Area Storm Brings Historic Winds, Regional Flooding and Power Outages | KQED","description":" The National Weather Service expects the storm to last through Monday and could be stronger and more intense than any storm this year.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Severe Bay Area Storm Brings Historic Winds, Regional Flooding and Power Outages","datePublished":"2024-02-04T20:42:47.000Z","dateModified":"2024-02-06T23:08:19.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991290/severe-bay-area-storm-brings-historic-winds-regional-flooding-and-power-outages","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 12 p.m. Tuesday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At least three people in Northern California were killed in the massive storm that slammed the region on Sunday and Monday before moving farther south, officials said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An 82-year-old man in Yuba City, north of Sacramento, was found crushed beneath a redwood tree in his yard on Monday, the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services confirmed. Investigators said the man, \u003ca href=\"https://www.abc10.com/article/news/local/82-year-old-man-killed-falling-tree-yuba-city/103-eeb5e2aa-0a08-4193-b1ef-5a2f5b57a1b1\">identified as David Gomes\u003c/a>, appeared to be using a ladder in an attempt to clear the damaged tree away from his home when it fell on him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also on Monday, a 45-year-old man in Boulder Creek, in the Santa Cruz mountains, was killed when a tree fell on his home, officials confirmed. The man, Robert Brainard III, was pronounced dead at the scene, \u003ca href=\"https://www.santacruzsentinel.com/2024/02/05/boulder-creek-man-dies-after-tree-falls-into-home/\">the \u003cem>Santa Cruz Sentinel\u003c/em>\u003c/a> reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And on Sunday, Chad Ensey, a 41-year-old man in the Sacramento suburb of Carmichael, also died after a tree fell on him in his backyard, the \u003cem>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/storm-pge-outages-atmospheric-river-18649070.php\">San Francisco Chronicle\u003c/a> \u003c/em>reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The intense atmospheric river-fueled storm that pummeled the region with heavy rainfall and hurricane-force winds — \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1754593798448111748\">nearing or topping 100 mph\u003c/a> in a handful of mountainous Bay Area locations — left hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses without power on Sunday and into Monday. As of 10 a.m. Tuesday, more than 63,000 homes in the Bay Area — including upward of 27,000 in the North Bay — were still in the dark, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.pgecurrents.com/articles/3918-pg-e-responding-atmospheric-river-storm-outages\">PG&E.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the storm expected to wreak even more havoc in already-saturated Southern California, Gov. Gavin Newsom on Saturday \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2024/02/04/governor-newsom-proclaims-state-of-emergency-in-southern-california-as-powerful-storm-makes-landfall/\">declared a state of emergency\u003c/a> for Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara and Ventura counties, which allows the state to mobilize the National Guard for emergency response if necessary. The Office of Emergency Services activated its operations center and positioned thousands of personnel and equipment in areas throughout the region most at risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 7:50 p.m. Sunday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a massive storm continues to roll over the region, the National Weather Service said thunderstorms, lightning and hail are still impacting the Bay Area Sunday evening, with power outages impacting more than 700,000 customers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scattered thunderstorms and showers will last through the night until most of the rain has passed by Monday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There still could be some residual flooding on the roadways with the soils being saturated,” said NWS meteorologist Sarah McCorkle. “We could still see some downed trees, but overall, things should calm down by tomorrow morning.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to the state Office of Emergency Services, in the last few hours, Santa Clara County has seen the number of customers in the dark more than quadruple, to nearly 109,000. Close to 80,000 customers are without power across the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Mateo power outages have more than tripled in that time frame to over 74,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve got hundreds of crews out there responding to these outages, and it’s all storm-related,” said Jeff Smith with PG&E. “You know there’s a lot of heavy winds, and winds can knock power lines together and sometimes cause trees and branches to get into power lines.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High wind warnings and wind advisories remain in effect through Sunday at 10 p.m. as wind speeds diminish this evening except at higher peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The NWS Storm Prediction Center in northern Oklahoma, usually the place that issues severe thunderstorm and tornado watches, just highlighted this region as having at least a slight chance of generating tornadic thunderstorms in the next one to two hours,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said on Sunday, pointing out that the extreme rain and intense winds stretched from Santa Cruz to San Jose.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists with the NWS Bay Area office explained there’s a 5% chance they’ll issue a tornado watch.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1754275921971060738"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Water officials in the South Bay said the worst of today’s storms have passed — without flooding along the Guadalupe River in San Jose, which city officials thought could overflow. Water levels reached above seven feet around noon but have since declined. That’s short of the 9-and-a-half feet the National Weather Service defines as flood stage for the river.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valley Water spokesman Matt Keller says that’s good news for nearby residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You know, if the forecast would have delivered what it was, they would have seen flooding in that area,” he said. “But because, you know, Mother Nature could do what Mother Nature does, it’s as much as we like to forecast, it can still be unpredictable. And, we did not see the impacts that we were expecting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The city of San José remains under a wind advisory with gusts expected up to 60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 4:30 p.m. Sunday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A community center in San José will remain open today for unhoused residents seeking shelter from the wet weather. The Roosevelt Community Center on Santa Clara Street will accept walk-ins today — with space for 90 individuals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Saturday, the city ordered an evacuation for unhoused residents living along the banks of the Guadalupe River, which ultimately avoided flooding. San José Mayor Matt Mahan says city police broadcast a message over a loudspeaker warning people to leave the river banks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the most efficient tool we have for letting homeless residents living along the waterways know that there’s a risk and that they need to relocate,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After Saturday’s evacuation order, more than 40 people stayed at the Roosevelt Community Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, it’s just the wind that I’m keeping an eye on because we could have more trees and power lines down and more power outages,” Mahan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Oakland on Sunday, Eugene Jacobs, who has been unhoused since 2017, tied a tarp over his tent under the 980 overpass at Sycamore St. The Oakland native said he lives in a tent just a few hundred feet away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My whole front door and back door have been torn off,’ he said. “It’s been hard to deal with, but as long as you stay under this underpass right here when you’re homeless, you stay dry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the Bay Area is still experiencing the lingering wind and rain, much of the effects have yet to hit Southern California, but Swain says that will change as the day continues with flash flood warnings from Santa Barbara south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re in Los Angeles and San Diego, you’re still saying ‘what storm?’ because it is essentially raining lightly on the west side of LA with partly cloudy conditions or sunny conditions relatively warm, east and south of that, but just wait, it is coming,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11936674","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/08/pexels-dids-1986996-1-1020x680-1.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The Bay Area is preparing for extreme weather conditions, flooding, massive waves, downed trees and power outages as an atmospheric river-boosted storm sweeps across the region. The National Weather Service expects the storm to last through Monday and could be stronger and more intense than any storm this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS meteorologists said Sunday up to three inches of rain could fall on the Santa Clara area, which could be the hardest hit this afternoon and evening. NWS expects up to five inches of rain on the coastal side of the Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The heavier rain is expected this afternoon when there’ll be heavier downpours and thunderstorms,” said NWS meteorologist Sarah McCorkle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991292\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1620px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991292\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg\" alt=\"Several people wearing rain ponchos walk outside as the wind blows.\" width=\"1620\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298.jpg 1620w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/IMG_5298-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1620px) 100vw, 1620px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A group of tourists walk through Alamo Square Park during a storm in San Francisco on Feb. 4, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>San José has issued a mandatory evacuation along four creeks — the Coyote, Los Gatos, Penitencia and Ross Creeks — and the Guadalupe River. The city has alerted unhoused residents that the waterways are likely to rise. The \u003ca href=\"https://cnrfc.noaa.gov/obsRiver_hc.php?id=GUDC1\">river forecast center with NWS\u003c/a> now predicts the Guadalupe River will peak at 2 p.m. today above the flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Please do not be anywhere near the waterway and be aware while driving or parked vehicles,” said San José Mayor Matt Mahan in a Saturday press conference.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1754157436460822690"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>Power outages and flight delays\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://poweroutage.us/area/state/california\">More than 120,000 customers from Sonoma to Monterrey Counties are without power\u003c/a>, according to the PowerOutage site, including residences from Rohnert Park, Tiburon, San Francisco, Pacifica, Newark, and San José.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The greatest concentration of power outages in the region is in the South Bay. Around 23,000 PG&E customers are without power in the San José, Cupertino and Sunnyvale areas. In the North Bay, there are around 12,000 PG&E customers without power. PG&E has hundreds of crews responding to storm-related outages across the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area airports are seeing a rise in delays and cancellations as heavy wind and rain move through the region. The San Francisco Chronicle \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfchronicle.com/weather/article/bay-area-california-storm-18647684.php\">reported\u003c/a> San Francisco International Airport temporarily delayed landings this morning and rerouted two flights to Oakland airport.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kaley Skantz, public information officer at Oakland International Airport, said the airport has had 18 departure delays and two cancellations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We do recommend checking flight status with your airline before coming to the airport just to ensure that you have the most recent information about your travel itinerary,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Jose, officials with Minetta International Airport said they had 57 delays and two cancellations so far today, which a spokesperson says is higher than normal, but not out of the ordinary for a stormy day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Along the San Mateo coastline, waves crashing on the shore are 25 feet tall, according to San Mateo County Supervisor Ray Mueller.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, Highway 1 is completely closed south of Pescadero due to downed powerlines in roads,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991300\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1469px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991300\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg\" alt=\"A tree blocks part of a street in a city.\" width=\"1469\" height=\"979\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B.jpg 1469w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/02/8BE641FA-73E8-4D77-B53D-39E32AC9B80B-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1469px) 100vw, 1469px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A tree blocks Market Street at 18th during a storm in San Francisco on Feb. 4, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Strong winds\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm, lasting through Monday, is also expected to bring 30-80 miles per hour of winds across the region as well as nuisance flooding. Weather officials expect hurricane-force winds off the Monterey Coast.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1754219146794111130"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“For the first time in their history, there’s a hurricane-force wind warning for the offshore waters of Monterey County and that does not mean that the storm itself is a true hurricane,” said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain. “In most places, the strongest winds haven’t occurred yet.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1754153339758301245"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Swain said the storm, with its tail reaching past Hawaii, is developing in place and the worst of the precipitation is yet to come. As the storm heads south, he said, water spouts or tornadoes are possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s far from over yet and in some respects, the storm won’t peak until this afternoon or evening,” he said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1754196799676391903"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>Potential flooding\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Regarding flooding, Swain said he doesn’t think the flood risk will be widespread in the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is not an epic flood event for Northern California because it isn’t in the right position for the storm to see high rainfall totals, but it could be for Southern California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After the storm sweeps over the Bay Area, Swain expects it to hit Southern California, where flash flooding could inundate the region and a few evacuation orders are already in place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is just going to increasingly align across Southern California for the next day and does bring for flooding risk later on across Southern California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the Sierra Nevada snowpack, Swan said this storm will likely give it a “kickstart” and could be the biggest snow event of the year so far.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Emergency services\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>According to San José’s\u003ca href=\"https://www.sanjoseca.gov/news-stories/news/emergency-notifications\"> official website\u003c/a>, Roosevelt Community Center (901 East Santa Clara Street) will serve as an extended Overnight Warming Location (OWL). Walk-ins will be accepted at the OWL today and Monday, and pets are welcome. Additional information about Santa Clara County’s warming locations can be found \u003ca href=\"https://emergencymanagement.sccgov.org/residents/cold-weather-safety?utm_campaign=preparescc-vanity-redirect&utm_medium=redirect&utm_source=vanity\">here\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Annelise Finney, Rachael Vasquez, Lakshmi Sarah and Beth LaBerge contributed reporting to this story. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991290/severe-bay-area-storm-brings-historic-winds-regional-flooding-and-power-outages","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_2227","science_4417","science_4414","science_5235","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1991291","label":"science"},"science_1991249":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991249","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991249","score":null,"sort":[1706572828000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","title":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding","publishDate":1706572828,"format":"standard","headTitle":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Update 11:50 a.m. Tuesday\u003cbr>\n\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\nA major storm boosted by an atmospheric river remains on track to hit Northern California beginning early Wednesday morning and lasting through Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office has issued a flood watch for the region from 4 a.m. Wednesday through 4 a.m. Friday, as well as a wind advisory from 4 a.m. Wednesday until 4 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Cruz and Santa Lucia mountains are under a high wind warning during that same time period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1752310020627423738\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Weather Service also adjusted its forecast to reflect that the “likelihood of reaching flood stage at mainstem rivers across the North Bay has increased to a 30-50% chance at the Russian River at Guerneville, the Napa River at Saint Helena, and the Napa River at Napa.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also said that a “15-35% chance of reaching flood stage remains for the Russian River at Healdsburg in the North Bay and the San Lorenzo River at Big Trees in Santa Cruz County.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1751951669846577417\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story continues: \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, the main front of a storm will move through the Bay Area, bringing heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heaviest rain is expected between 10 a.m. and 10 p.m. Wednesday. Scattered showers will continue throughout the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service recently adjusted its forecast — and now predicts the storm system will move through the region slower than initially expected. The storm could drop between 4 and 6 inches on the coastal mountains on Wednesday and 2 and 4 elsewhere across the Bay. The city of San Francisco is expected to receive up to 3 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main stem of the Russian River at Guerneville has a 30% chance of rising above the minor flood stage between Thursday and Saturday. Some localized creeks and waterways, such as the Laguna de Santa Rosa at Stony Point Road in Cotati, may also rise above their banks. Other roadside flooding is likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1751951669846577417?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re also looking at some slight potential for landslides due to how saturated the soils are,” said Rachel Kennedy, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High winds may bring down trees and electrical lines, causing power outages. Wind-blown debris may clutter roadways. The Weather Service forecasts peak gusts throughout the Bay Area at 30–40 miles per hour and isolated gusts up to 50 miles per hour on the coast and ridges.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CW3E_Scripps/status/1751008081486758049?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra Nevada, the Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch between Wednesday morning and Friday morning. Snow may accumulate between 1 and 2 feet and up to 3 feet on mountain peaks. Winds may gust up to 50–60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Travel might be difficult, as chains could be needed or roads closed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Kevin Stark contributed to this report. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The North Bay can expect heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding as the main front of a storm moves through the Bay Area on Wednesday. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1706644071,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":17,"wordCount":522},"headData":{"title":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding | KQED","description":"The North Bay can expect heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding as the main front of a storm moves through the Bay Area on Wednesday. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding","datePublished":"2024-01-30T00:00:28.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-30T19:47:51.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991249/north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Update 11:50 a.m. Tuesday\u003cbr>\n\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\nA major storm boosted by an atmospheric river remains on track to hit Northern California beginning early Wednesday morning and lasting through Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office has issued a flood watch for the region from 4 a.m. Wednesday through 4 a.m. Friday, as well as a wind advisory from 4 a.m. Wednesday until 4 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Cruz and Santa Lucia mountains are under a high wind warning during that same time period.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1752310020627423738"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The Weather Service also adjusted its forecast to reflect that the “likelihood of reaching flood stage at mainstem rivers across the North Bay has increased to a 30-50% chance at the Russian River at Guerneville, the Napa River at Saint Helena, and the Napa River at Napa.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also said that a “15-35% chance of reaching flood stage remains for the Russian River at Healdsburg in the North Bay and the San Lorenzo River at Big Trees in Santa Cruz County.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751951669846577417"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story continues: \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, the main front of a storm will move through the Bay Area, bringing heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heaviest rain is expected between 10 a.m. and 10 p.m. Wednesday. Scattered showers will continue throughout the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service recently adjusted its forecast — and now predicts the storm system will move through the region slower than initially expected. The storm could drop between 4 and 6 inches on the coastal mountains on Wednesday and 2 and 4 elsewhere across the Bay. The city of San Francisco is expected to receive up to 3 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main stem of the Russian River at Guerneville has a 30% chance of rising above the minor flood stage between Thursday and Saturday. Some localized creeks and waterways, such as the Laguna de Santa Rosa at Stony Point Road in Cotati, may also rise above their banks. Other roadside flooding is likely.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751951669846577417"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“We’re also looking at some slight potential for landslides due to how saturated the soils are,” said Rachel Kennedy, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High winds may bring down trees and electrical lines, causing power outages. Wind-blown debris may clutter roadways. The Weather Service forecasts peak gusts throughout the Bay Area at 30–40 miles per hour and isolated gusts up to 50 miles per hour on the coast and ridges.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751008081486758049"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra Nevada, the Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch between Wednesday morning and Friday morning. Snow may accumulate between 1 and 2 feet and up to 3 feet on mountain peaks. Winds may gust up to 50–60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Travel might be difficult, as chains could be needed or roads closed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Kevin Stark contributed to this report. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991249/north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","authors":["11088"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_2227","science_4414","science_1213","science_107","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1991251","label":"science"},"science_1991123":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991123","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991123","score":null,"sort":[1705608041000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"how-giant-balloons-are-helping-california-prepare-for-intense-storms","title":"How Giant Balloons Are Helping California Prepare for Intense Storms","publishDate":1705608041,"format":"standard","headTitle":"How Giant Balloons Are Helping California Prepare for Intense Storms | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>Just before the rays of dawn on Jan. 12 paraded over the cliffs that separate Bodega Bay from the expanse of the Pacific Ocean, Adolfo Lopez Miranda and Jacob Morgan inflated a shapeless giant silicone balloon with helium.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The duo worked inside a wooden gray shed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A few minutes before seven, the two men hiked to a nearby hilltop, carrying the now bulging balloon, around 3 feet long and wide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They attached a tiny red parachute with a translucent cord, added an array of weather sensors, and released it like kids at a birthday party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991143\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991143\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person wearing a blue jacket holds a red parachute on a string. A person in a black jacket and blue LA Dodgers hat holds a large white balloon attached to the parachute.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan (left) and Adolfo Lopez Miranda inflate a weather balloon before launching it into an atmospheric river-fueled storm to help forecast precipitation levels and locations in the Bay Area at the UC Davis Coastal and Marine Sciences Institute’s Bodega Marine Laboratory in Bodega Bay on Jan. 12, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>They watched it lift over the dark ocean toward an incoming rainstorm forced over the Bay Area by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">an extended, narrow region in the sky transporting moisture called an atmospheric river\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lopez Miranda and Morgan, engineers with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, are attempting to better understand these rivers in the sky, which can dump an onslaught of precipitation \u003cstrong>—\u003c/strong> several inches of rain in less than an hour \u003cstrong>— \u003c/strong>and trigger catastrophic flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Jacob Morgan, engineer, Scripps Institution of Oceanography\"]‘It’s really helpful for getting a better understanding of water availability in California and how we can better manage the water that we have and when we should expect to receive a big load of precipitation.’[/pullquote]The duo flew up from San Diego to the UC Davis Coastal and Marine Sciences Institute’s Bodega Marine Laboratory for this storm. The weather balloon they launched directly into the atmospheric river will send back data on the storm’s course as it approaches the coast of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2022, a family of atmospheric rivers dumped so much rain over California that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1984643/reluctant-retreat-one-familys-fight-against-climate-induced-flooding\">multiple levees crumbled from the weight and intensity of the water, destroying hundreds of homes and disrupting life for thousands of people\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For each storm, the team launches a new balloon every few hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloons float higher and higher into the atmosphere, they expand. Attached is a small white styrofoam radiosonde, which collects data — temperature, location, wind speed, wind direction, humidity and pressure — and transmits it to a computer in the wooden shack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloon ascends, the atmospheric pressure decreases, and the balloon eventually swells to the size of a school bus. “When it’s that big, the latex is stretched so thin that eventually it pops,” Morgan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991144\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991144\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person wearing a black jacket and blue LA Dodgers hat holds a large white balloon while another person holds a red parachute on the end of a string attached to the balloon.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Adolfo Lopez Miranda (left) and Jacob Morgan prepare to launch a weather balloon into an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>According to Morgan, the balloon he released on the morning of Jan. 12 burst around 15 miles into the atmosphere and parachuted down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Unfortunately, they might land in a tree or mountain,” Lopez Miranda said. “We know where they are, but sometimes they’re miles away from here where we don’t have access to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"forum_2010101894135,science_1984737,science_19828220\"]All the information the device collects is vital to tell forecasters how fast the storm is approaching, where it’s headed, how warm it will be, and how much rain the storm will likely drop. Within a few hours, the data is uploaded to the university’s database and made available to the National Weather Service to incorporate into real-time forecasting models.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s really helpful for getting a better understanding of water availability in California and how we can better manage the water that we have and when we should expect to receive a big load of precipitation,” Morgan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloons float into the stratosphere, airplanes equipped with similar sensors fly over the storm and survey it from above to understand how the storm is progressing from that perspective above the cloudy mass. The information researchers collect from above and within the storm allows cities, counties and emergency officials to know how to prepare in real time. The information also helps reservoir operators make more informed decisions about how much water to keep in them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This gives us a better idea of the weather and our decision-making with water-related things,” Lopez Miranda said. “I feel like we’re making better decisions now with all the information we’re getting, so you don’t feel like you’re gambling anymore.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991147\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991147\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL.jpg\" alt=\"Five people look up toward an overcast sky with vehicles behind them.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan points upward at a weather balloon while Adolfo Lopez Miranda (right) and a group of docents look up to spot it in the clouds. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The Scripps balloon project has helped close the gap in knowledge of how a storm will progress, said Lopez-Miranda, who started as an intern with the group.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These real-time weather observations provide insights into the potential behavior of future storms made more intense by human-caused climate change, said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Centre for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of research that still needs to be done using this data, but what we are seeing is an exacerbation of that feast or famine hydroclimate in California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991150\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991150\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person looks at a computer screen with green, red, and blue lines on a graph.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan, an engineer with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, looks at a program that follows the location of the weather balloon launched into an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>With the pace of human-caused climate change speeding up, the frequency of storms could increase. A study from June 2022 by Bay Area scientists found that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1983299/san-franciscos-aging-infrastructure-isnt-ready-for-its-wetter-future\">these deluges from the sky could become up to 37% wetter by the end of the century\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our infrastructure is not designed for these big storms, and we’re never going to be able to design it to handle them,” said Kris May, founder of the Pathways Climate Institute, a San Francisco-based consulting firm behind the study. “We’re gonna see more areas that flood that have never flooded before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991146\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991146\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A white balloon with a string hanging from it floats in the sky with clouds behind it.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A weather balloon launched by Adolfo Lopez Miranda and Jacob Morgan heads toward an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hecht said data collected by these balloon launches and aircraft is only “scratching the surface” of the knowledge needed to understand future weather intensifying because of climate change. Still, in the immediate, the new precipitation information is helping forecasters better inform people and water managers how to prepare for storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“To optimize water operations, we need to have the best precipitation forecast as possible because we want to store as much water as possible, but we also don’t want to store too much that leads to flooding impacts,” he said. “We can better prepare, whether that’s going to be on the impactful or beneficial end.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"California scientists launch weather balloons into atmospheric river-fueled storms to better forecast where they will hit the Bay Area and how hard. The information is all the more important as climate change increases their frequency and intensity.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1705608525,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":26,"wordCount":1207},"headData":{"title":"How Giant Balloons Are Helping California Prepare for Intense Storms | KQED","description":"California scientists launch weather balloons into atmospheric river-fueled storms to better forecast where they will hit the Bay Area and how hard. The information is all the more important as climate change increases their frequency and intensity.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"How Giant Balloons Are Helping California Prepare for Intense Storms","datePublished":"2024-01-18T20:00:41.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-18T20:08:45.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991123/how-giant-balloons-are-helping-california-prepare-for-intense-storms","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Just before the rays of dawn on Jan. 12 paraded over the cliffs that separate Bodega Bay from the expanse of the Pacific Ocean, Adolfo Lopez Miranda and Jacob Morgan inflated a shapeless giant silicone balloon with helium.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The duo worked inside a wooden gray shed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A few minutes before seven, the two men hiked to a nearby hilltop, carrying the now bulging balloon, around 3 feet long and wide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They attached a tiny red parachute with a translucent cord, added an array of weather sensors, and released it like kids at a birthday party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991143\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991143\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person wearing a blue jacket holds a red parachute on a string. A person in a black jacket and blue LA Dodgers hat holds a large white balloon attached to the parachute.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-13-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan (left) and Adolfo Lopez Miranda inflate a weather balloon before launching it into an atmospheric river-fueled storm to help forecast precipitation levels and locations in the Bay Area at the UC Davis Coastal and Marine Sciences Institute’s Bodega Marine Laboratory in Bodega Bay on Jan. 12, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>They watched it lift over the dark ocean toward an incoming rainstorm forced over the Bay Area by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">an extended, narrow region in the sky transporting moisture called an atmospheric river\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lopez Miranda and Morgan, engineers with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, are attempting to better understand these rivers in the sky, which can dump an onslaught of precipitation \u003cstrong>—\u003c/strong> several inches of rain in less than an hour \u003cstrong>— \u003c/strong>and trigger catastrophic flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘It’s really helpful for getting a better understanding of water availability in California and how we can better manage the water that we have and when we should expect to receive a big load of precipitation.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Jacob Morgan, engineer, Scripps Institution of Oceanography","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The duo flew up from San Diego to the UC Davis Coastal and Marine Sciences Institute’s Bodega Marine Laboratory for this storm. The weather balloon they launched directly into the atmospheric river will send back data on the storm’s course as it approaches the coast of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2022, a family of atmospheric rivers dumped so much rain over California that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1984643/reluctant-retreat-one-familys-fight-against-climate-induced-flooding\">multiple levees crumbled from the weight and intensity of the water, destroying hundreds of homes and disrupting life for thousands of people\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For each storm, the team launches a new balloon every few hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloons float higher and higher into the atmosphere, they expand. Attached is a small white styrofoam radiosonde, which collects data — temperature, location, wind speed, wind direction, humidity and pressure — and transmits it to a computer in the wooden shack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloon ascends, the atmospheric pressure decreases, and the balloon eventually swells to the size of a school bus. “When it’s that big, the latex is stretched so thin that eventually it pops,” Morgan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991144\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991144\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person wearing a black jacket and blue LA Dodgers hat holds a large white balloon while another person holds a red parachute on the end of a string attached to the balloon.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-18-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Adolfo Lopez Miranda (left) and Jacob Morgan prepare to launch a weather balloon into an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>According to Morgan, the balloon he released on the morning of Jan. 12 burst around 15 miles into the atmosphere and parachuted down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Unfortunately, they might land in a tree or mountain,” Lopez Miranda said. “We know where they are, but sometimes they’re miles away from here where we don’t have access to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Stories ","postid":"forum_2010101894135,science_1984737,science_19828220"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>All the information the device collects is vital to tell forecasters how fast the storm is approaching, where it’s headed, how warm it will be, and how much rain the storm will likely drop. Within a few hours, the data is uploaded to the university’s database and made available to the National Weather Service to incorporate into real-time forecasting models.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s really helpful for getting a better understanding of water availability in California and how we can better manage the water that we have and when we should expect to receive a big load of precipitation,” Morgan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the balloons float into the stratosphere, airplanes equipped with similar sensors fly over the storm and survey it from above to understand how the storm is progressing from that perspective above the cloudy mass. The information researchers collect from above and within the storm allows cities, counties and emergency officials to know how to prepare in real time. The information also helps reservoir operators make more informed decisions about how much water to keep in them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This gives us a better idea of the weather and our decision-making with water-related things,” Lopez Miranda said. “I feel like we’re making better decisions now with all the information we’re getting, so you don’t feel like you’re gambling anymore.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991147\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991147\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL.jpg\" alt=\"Five people look up toward an overcast sky with vehicles behind them.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-30-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan points upward at a weather balloon while Adolfo Lopez Miranda (right) and a group of docents look up to spot it in the clouds. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The Scripps balloon project has helped close the gap in knowledge of how a storm will progress, said Lopez-Miranda, who started as an intern with the group.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These real-time weather observations provide insights into the potential behavior of future storms made more intense by human-caused climate change, said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Centre for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of research that still needs to be done using this data, but what we are seeing is an exacerbation of that feast or famine hydroclimate in California,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991150\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991150\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person looks at a computer screen with green, red, and blue lines on a graph.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-38-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jacob Morgan, an engineer with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, looks at a program that follows the location of the weather balloon launched into an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>With the pace of human-caused climate change speeding up, the frequency of storms could increase. A study from June 2022 by Bay Area scientists found that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1983299/san-franciscos-aging-infrastructure-isnt-ready-for-its-wetter-future\">these deluges from the sky could become up to 37% wetter by the end of the century\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our infrastructure is not designed for these big storms, and we’re never going to be able to design it to handle them,” said Kris May, founder of the Pathways Climate Institute, a San Francisco-based consulting firm behind the study. “We’re gonna see more areas that flood that have never flooded before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1991146\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1991146\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A white balloon with a string hanging from it floats in the sky with clouds behind it.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240112-ARBalloons-27-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A weather balloon launched by Adolfo Lopez Miranda and Jacob Morgan heads toward an atmospheric river-fueled storm. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hecht said data collected by these balloon launches and aircraft is only “scratching the surface” of the knowledge needed to understand future weather intensifying because of climate change. Still, in the immediate, the new precipitation information is helping forecasters better inform people and water managers how to prepare for storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“To optimize water operations, we need to have the best precipitation forecast as possible because we want to store as much water as possible, but we also don’t want to store too much that leads to flooding impacts,” he said. “We can better prepare, whether that’s going to be on the impactful or beneficial end.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991123/how-giant-balloons-are-helping-california-prepare-for-intense-storms","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450","science_98"],"tags":["science_2227","science_4417","science_4414","science_813","science_2878","science_365","science_5205"],"featImg":"science_1991145","label":"science"},"science_1981234":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1981234","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1981234","score":null,"sort":[1673379378000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"climate-change-makes-heat-waves-storms-and-droughts-worse-report-confirms","title":"Climate Change Makes Heat Waves, Storms and Droughts Worse, Report Confirms","publishDate":1673379378,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Climate Change Makes Heat Waves, Storms and Droughts Worse, Report Confirms | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>Climate change is causing the weather around the world to get more extreme, and scientists are increasingly able to pinpoint exactly how the weather is changing as the Earth heats up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A sweeping \u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/\">new report\u003c/a> by top climate scientists and meteorologists describes how climate change drove unprecedented heat waves, floods and droughts in recent years. The annual report from the American Meteorological Society (AMS) compiles the leading science about the role of climate change in extreme weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a reminder that the risk of extreme events is growing, and they’re affecting every corner of the world,” says Sarah Kapnick, the chief scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Earth is \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/11/07/1132796190/faq-whats-at-stake-at-the-cop27-global-climate-negotiations\">already about 2 degrees Fahrenheit hotter\u003c/a> than it was in the late 1800s, and scientists warn that humans must cut greenhouse gas emissions in half this decade to avoid catastrophic warming later this century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One way to understand and predict the effects of a hotter Earth is to look for the fingerprints of climate change on extreme weather events such as floods, heat waves and droughts. The last decade has seen huge leaps forward for the field known as extreme-event attribution science, which uses statistics and climate models to detect global warming’s impact on weather disasters. The extreme drought in California and Nevada in 2021, for example, was six times more likely because of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of the big takeaways from the new report is that heat waves that used to be virtually impossible are increasingly likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Extreme heat events are more extreme than ever,” says Stephanie Herring, one of the authors of the report and a scientist at NOAA. “Research is showing they’re likely to become the new normal in the not so distant future.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In October 2021 parts of South Korea experienced average temperatures that were 7 degrees Fahrenheit higher than average. In the past, that would have been an exceedingly rare heat wave – something that would never occur twice in a millennium, let alone in a person’s lifetime.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003ca href=\"https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/12/BAMS-D-22-0124.1.xml\">scientists found\u003c/a> that if humans do not dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions, such heat waves in South Korea will be the new norm by 2060.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The connection between \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/11/23/1136809782/climate-change-is-making-the-weather-more-severe-why-dont-most-forecasts-mention\">climate change and heat waves\u003c/a> is particularly well-understood and documented, in part because rising temperatures are relatively simple to measure and predict.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other types of weather are \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/07/07/1107814440/researchers-can-now-explain-how-climate-change-is-affecting-your-weather\">more complex\u003c/a>. Climate change affects hurricanes, for instance, in many ways, from changing the temperature of the air and the water, to potentially affecting wind patterns and ocean currents. For that reason, scientists tend to focus on individual effects of a storm, such as coastal flooding from storm surge and sea level rise or inland flooding from abnormally heavy rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such floods are particularly dangerous when they occur at the same time. Hurricane Ian brought both extreme storm surge and extreme rain to Florida last year, which led to deadly and destructive flooding across a huge swath of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The AMS report highlights these so-called compound events, where climate change causes two extreme things to happen at the same time, because they can have such profound effects.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Compound events lead to exacerbated impacts,” explains Andrew Hoell, a scientist at NOAA who studies such disasters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The megadrought in the Western U.S. is a prime example, Hoell says. The drought was caused by simultaneous extreme heat and lack of precipitation. That, in turn, causes a cascade of other hazards, including more wildfire risk and ecological destruction.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Understanding how climate change will affect extreme weather in the future, and how common these types of disasters will become as the Earth continues to heat up, is crucial for elected officials and business leaders, says Kapnick, the chief scientist at NOAA.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She says scientists at her agency are prioritizing research that people can use to make long-term financial investments and infrastructure choices in a changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One way that such research \u003ca href=\"https://ametsoc.net/eee/2021_22/AcceptedMS_BAMS-D-22-0214.pdf\">can help people prepare\u003c/a> for a hotter future is by informing decisions about how to manage reservoirs, aquifers and other water resources in places that face increasingly frequent and severe droughts, the report notes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv class=\"fullattribution\">Copyright 2023 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://www.google-analytics.com/__utm.gif?utmac=UA-5828686-4&utmdt=Climate+change+makes+heat+waves%2C+storms+and+droughts+worse%2C+climate+report+confirms&utme=8(APIKey)9(MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004)\">\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv>\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/div>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The connection between weather and climate change has never been clearer. And simultaneous extremes, such as hot and dry weather together, are particularly dangerous.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704846118,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":19,"wordCount":719},"headData":{"title":"Climate Change Makes Heat Waves, Storms and Droughts Worse, Report Confirms | KQED","description":"The connection between weather and climate change has never been clearer. And simultaneous extremes, such as hot and dry weather together, are particularly dangerous.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Climate Change Makes Heat Waves, Storms and Droughts Worse, Report Confirms","datePublished":"2023-01-10T19:36:18.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T00:21:58.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"NPR","sticky":false,"nprImageCredit":"-","nprByline":"Rebecca Hersher\u003cbr> NPR","nprImageAgency":"AFP via Getty Images","nprStoryId":"1147805696","nprApiLink":"http://api.npr.org/query?id=1147805696&apiKey=MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004","nprHtmlLink":"https://www.npr.org/2023/01/09/1147805696/climate-change-makes-heat-waves-storms-and-droughts-worse-climate-report-confirm?ft=nprml&f=1147805696","nprRetrievedStory":"1","nprPubDate":"Mon, 09 Jan 2023 17:10:00 -0500","nprStoryDate":"Mon, 09 Jan 2023 17:10:08 -0500","nprLastModifiedDate":"Mon, 09 Jan 2023 17:10:08 -0500","excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","showOnAuthorArchivePages":"No","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1981234/climate-change-makes-heat-waves-storms-and-droughts-worse-report-confirms","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Climate change is causing the weather around the world to get more extreme, and scientists are increasingly able to pinpoint exactly how the weather is changing as the Earth heats up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A sweeping \u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/\">new report\u003c/a> by top climate scientists and meteorologists describes how climate change drove unprecedented heat waves, floods and droughts in recent years. The annual report from the American Meteorological Society (AMS) compiles the leading science about the role of climate change in extreme weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a reminder that the risk of extreme events is growing, and they’re affecting every corner of the world,” says Sarah Kapnick, the chief scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Earth is \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/11/07/1132796190/faq-whats-at-stake-at-the-cop27-global-climate-negotiations\">already about 2 degrees Fahrenheit hotter\u003c/a> than it was in the late 1800s, and scientists warn that humans must cut greenhouse gas emissions in half this decade to avoid catastrophic warming later this century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One way to understand and predict the effects of a hotter Earth is to look for the fingerprints of climate change on extreme weather events such as floods, heat waves and droughts. The last decade has seen huge leaps forward for the field known as extreme-event attribution science, which uses statistics and climate models to detect global warming’s impact on weather disasters. The extreme drought in California and Nevada in 2021, for example, was six times more likely because of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of the big takeaways from the new report is that heat waves that used to be virtually impossible are increasingly likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Extreme heat events are more extreme than ever,” says Stephanie Herring, one of the authors of the report and a scientist at NOAA. “Research is showing they’re likely to become the new normal in the not so distant future.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In October 2021 parts of South Korea experienced average temperatures that were 7 degrees Fahrenheit higher than average. In the past, that would have been an exceedingly rare heat wave – something that would never occur twice in a millennium, let alone in a person’s lifetime.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003ca href=\"https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/103/12/BAMS-D-22-0124.1.xml\">scientists found\u003c/a> that if humans do not dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions, such heat waves in South Korea will be the new norm by 2060.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The connection between \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/11/23/1136809782/climate-change-is-making-the-weather-more-severe-why-dont-most-forecasts-mention\">climate change and heat waves\u003c/a> is particularly well-understood and documented, in part because rising temperatures are relatively simple to measure and predict.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other types of weather are \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/07/07/1107814440/researchers-can-now-explain-how-climate-change-is-affecting-your-weather\">more complex\u003c/a>. Climate change affects hurricanes, for instance, in many ways, from changing the temperature of the air and the water, to potentially affecting wind patterns and ocean currents. For that reason, scientists tend to focus on individual effects of a storm, such as coastal flooding from storm surge and sea level rise or inland flooding from abnormally heavy rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such floods are particularly dangerous when they occur at the same time. Hurricane Ian brought both extreme storm surge and extreme rain to Florida last year, which led to deadly and destructive flooding across a huge swath of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The AMS report highlights these so-called compound events, where climate change causes two extreme things to happen at the same time, because they can have such profound effects.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Compound events lead to exacerbated impacts,” explains Andrew Hoell, a scientist at NOAA who studies such disasters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The megadrought in the Western U.S. is a prime example, Hoell says. The drought was caused by simultaneous extreme heat and lack of precipitation. That, in turn, causes a cascade of other hazards, including more wildfire risk and ecological destruction.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Understanding how climate change will affect extreme weather in the future, and how common these types of disasters will become as the Earth continues to heat up, is crucial for elected officials and business leaders, says Kapnick, the chief scientist at NOAA.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She says scientists at her agency are prioritizing research that people can use to make long-term financial investments and infrastructure choices in a changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One way that such research \u003ca href=\"https://ametsoc.net/eee/2021_22/AcceptedMS_BAMS-D-22-0214.pdf\">can help people prepare\u003c/a> for a hotter future is by informing decisions about how to manage reservoirs, aquifers and other water resources in places that face increasingly frequent and severe droughts, the report notes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv class=\"fullattribution\">Copyright 2023 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://www.google-analytics.com/__utm.gif?utmac=UA-5828686-4&utmdt=Climate+change+makes+heat+waves%2C+storms+and+droughts+worse%2C+climate+report+confirms&utme=8(APIKey)9(MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004)\">\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv>\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/div>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1981234/climate-change-makes-heat-waves-storms-and-droughts-worse-report-confirms","authors":["byline_science_1981234"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_182","science_194","science_572","science_4414","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1981235","label":"source_science_1981234"},"science_1951430":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1951430","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1951430","score":null,"sort":[1575935243000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"climate-change-contributing-to-weather-catastrophes-right-now","title":"Climate Change Contributing to Weather Catastrophes 'Right Now'","publishDate":1575935243,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Climate Change Contributing to Weather Catastrophes ‘Right Now’ | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>Devastating wildfires in California. A sweltering drought in the American Southwest. Punishing heat waves in Europe and Asia. Record-low sea ice in the Bering Sea.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote citation=\"Stephanie Herring, NOAA\"]‘Climate change is impacting the weather we are experiencing today. It is not something we are talking about in the future. It is here now, and it is having real implications right now.’[/pullquote]Scientists detected the fingerprints of human-caused warming on each of these extreme weather events from 2018, according to the \u003cem>Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society\u003c/em>‘s latest \u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/\">report\u003c/a>, called “Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report’s editor, NOAA climate scientist Stephanie Herring, says researchers have found mounting evidence linking climate change to specific heat waves, droughts and other extreme weather events. She presented the findings at the American Geophysical Union’s annual conference in San Francisco Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Climate change is impacting the weather we are experiencing today,” Herring said. “It is not something we are talking about in the future. It is here now, and it is having real implications right now.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jeff Rosenfeld, the Bulletin’s editor-in-chief, says the science of determining the impact of climate on weather events, presented in research called attribution studies, has become increasingly powerful and reveals the stark reality of humanity’s contribution to extreme weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are living in a new climate,” he said. “We have made a new atmosphere and are playing out a new experiment.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1951453\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1951453 size-complete_open_graph\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1200x843.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1200x843.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-160x112.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-800x562.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-768x539.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1020x716.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stephanie Herring, a climate scientist with NOAA, presenting at the American Geophysical Union’s fall 2019 conference. \u003ccite>(Lindsey Moore/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In the last eight years, 73% of the 168 peer-reviewed studies the journal published on the influence of climate change on weather-related catastrophes found that climate played some role in those events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since 2016, researchers have identified some phenomena, like the rapidly warming waters in the Bering Sea, that would not have occurred without global warming.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everyone expected that we would get to this point someday,” Herring said. “We didn’t think it would happen so quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of the 21 peer-reviewed studies on the extreme events of 2018, only one did not implicate global warming.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Herring cautioned that scientists still need to study each extreme weather event closely to determine the exact role of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People cannot assume, for example, that every major wildfire in California is a result of global warming. The impacts of any \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1950703/climate-change-is-driving-californias-wildfires-the-kincade-fire-not-so-much\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">particular wildfire\u003c/a> are driven by an array of factors, including urban sprawl, wind and lack of precipitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An increasing number of studies could be detecting the impact of climate change, in part, because the scientific models have become more refined.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Herring is clear that warming is definitely impacting weather in new ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s now been 15 years since the publication of what is considered the first research on the role of climate change in extreme weather, and during that time the evidence that human-caused climate change is impacting weather events has only been increasing,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The science of attributing the role of climate change in extreme weather continues to improve, resulting in strong evidence that a warming planet is impacting heat waves, floods and other disasters. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704848044,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":17,"wordCount":532},"headData":{"title":"Climate Change Contributing to Weather Catastrophes 'Right Now' | KQED","description":"The science of attributing the role of climate change in extreme weather continues to improve, resulting in strong evidence that a warming planet is impacting heat waves, floods and other disasters. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Climate Change Contributing to Weather Catastrophes 'Right Now'","datePublished":"2019-12-09T23:47:23.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T00:54:04.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"Climate Change","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1951430/climate-change-contributing-to-weather-catastrophes-right-now","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Devastating wildfires in California. A sweltering drought in the American Southwest. Punishing heat waves in Europe and Asia. Record-low sea ice in the Bering Sea.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘Climate change is impacting the weather we are experiencing today. It is not something we are talking about in the future. It is here now, and it is having real implications right now.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"citation":"Stephanie Herring, NOAA","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Scientists detected the fingerprints of human-caused warming on each of these extreme weather events from 2018, according to the \u003cem>Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society\u003c/em>‘s latest \u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/\">report\u003c/a>, called “Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report’s editor, NOAA climate scientist Stephanie Herring, says researchers have found mounting evidence linking climate change to specific heat waves, droughts and other extreme weather events. She presented the findings at the American Geophysical Union’s annual conference in San Francisco Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Climate change is impacting the weather we are experiencing today,” Herring said. “It is not something we are talking about in the future. It is here now, and it is having real implications right now.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jeff Rosenfeld, the Bulletin’s editor-in-chief, says the science of determining the impact of climate on weather events, presented in research called attribution studies, has become increasingly powerful and reveals the stark reality of humanity’s contribution to extreme weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are living in a new climate,” he said. “We have made a new atmosphere and are playing out a new experiment.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1951453\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1951453 size-complete_open_graph\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1200x843.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1200x843.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-160x112.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-800x562.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-768x539.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003-1020x716.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/12/AGU_003.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stephanie Herring, a climate scientist with NOAA, presenting at the American Geophysical Union’s fall 2019 conference. \u003ccite>(Lindsey Moore/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In the last eight years, 73% of the 168 peer-reviewed studies the journal published on the influence of climate change on weather-related catastrophes found that climate played some role in those events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since 2016, researchers have identified some phenomena, like the rapidly warming waters in the Bering Sea, that would not have occurred without global warming.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everyone expected that we would get to this point someday,” Herring said. “We didn’t think it would happen so quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of the 21 peer-reviewed studies on the extreme events of 2018, only one did not implicate global warming.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Herring cautioned that scientists still need to study each extreme weather event closely to determine the exact role of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People cannot assume, for example, that every major wildfire in California is a result of global warming. The impacts of any \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1950703/climate-change-is-driving-californias-wildfires-the-kincade-fire-not-so-much\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">particular wildfire\u003c/a> are driven by an array of factors, including urban sprawl, wind and lack of precipitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An increasing number of studies could be detecting the impact of climate change, in part, because the scientific models have become more refined.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Herring is clear that warming is definitely impacting weather in new ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s now been 15 years since the publication of what is considered the first research on the role of climate change in extreme weather, and during that time the evidence that human-caused climate change is impacting weather events has only been increasing,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1951430/climate-change-contributing-to-weather-catastrophes-right-now","authors":["11608"],"categories":["science_33","science_35","science_40","science_3730"],"tags":["science_194","science_3840","science_3370","science_2184","science_5182","science_2878","science_113"],"featImg":"science_1942463","label":"source_science_1951430"},"science_1937133":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1937133","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1937133","score":null,"sort":[1548373402000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"580-billion-gallons-thats-how-much-water-recent-storms-added-to-california-reservoirs","title":"580 Billion Gallons. That's How Much Water Was Added to Reservoirs by Recent Storms","publishDate":1548373402,"format":"standard","headTitle":"580 Billion Gallons. That’s How Much Water Was Added to Reservoirs by Recent Storms | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>The round of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936853/here-comes-the-big-bay-area-storm-dangerous-blizzard-conditions-in-sierra-nevada\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">storms\u003c/a> that soaked California in recent weeks has brought a huge influx of water to the state. According to a \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/01/23/california-rainfall-reservoir-level-sierra-snow/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">new analysis\u003c/a> by The Mercury News, California reservoirs are now holding an additional 580 billion gallons compared to the start of the year. And the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/Sierra-snow-pack-size-percent-of-average-2019-13552288.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">snowpack\u003c/a> also got a big boost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report utilized data from 47 key reservoirs monitored by the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">state\u003c/a>. Mercury News reporter and KQED Science Managing Editor Paul Rogers reported the story, which was published Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rogers spoke with KQED Science Editor Danielle Venton about the analysis and what it means for the state’s water supply. Here are excerpts from that conversation edited for length and clarity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>580 billion gallons sounds like a lot of water. Is there a way to put that into context?\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The amount of water we’re talking about is enough for the needs of 9 million California residents for a year.\u003cstrong>\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What does this influx signal for the state’s water supply in 2019?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is really good news for California’s summer water outlook. The amount of water that we had stored in these reservoirs was below the historical average until the January storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We had kind of a lackluster November and December. Now with all this rain and snow, the the reservoir levels are brought up to normal [for this time of year].\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It also had a huge impact on the Sierra snowpack, which went from 69 percent of normal on New Year’s Day to 114 percent of normal today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>California’s three wettest months are December through February. Given it’s still January, how important are the current totals?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After the misery of the five-year drought we had recently, just getting anywhere near normal is cause for celebration for a lot of water managers and water agencies around the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Danielle Venton and Peter Arcuni contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The round of storms that soaked California in recent weeks has brought a huge influx of water to the state, according to a new analysis by The Mercury News.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704927183,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":14,"wordCount":333},"headData":{"title":"580 Billion Gallons. That's How Much Water Was Added to Reservoirs by Recent Storms | KQED","description":"The round of storms that soaked California in recent weeks has brought a huge influx of water to the state, according to a new analysis by The Mercury News.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"580 Billion Gallons. That's How Much Water Was Added to Reservoirs by Recent Storms","datePublished":"2019-01-24T23:43:22.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T22:53:03.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"Science","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1937133/580-billion-gallons-thats-how-much-water-recent-storms-added-to-california-reservoirs","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The round of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936853/here-comes-the-big-bay-area-storm-dangerous-blizzard-conditions-in-sierra-nevada\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">storms\u003c/a> that soaked California in recent weeks has brought a huge influx of water to the state. According to a \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/01/23/california-rainfall-reservoir-level-sierra-snow/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">new analysis\u003c/a> by The Mercury News, California reservoirs are now holding an additional 580 billion gallons compared to the start of the year. And the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/Sierra-snow-pack-size-percent-of-average-2019-13552288.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">snowpack\u003c/a> also got a big boost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report utilized data from 47 key reservoirs monitored by the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">state\u003c/a>. Mercury News reporter and KQED Science Managing Editor Paul Rogers reported the story, which was published Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rogers spoke with KQED Science Editor Danielle Venton about the analysis and what it means for the state’s water supply. Here are excerpts from that conversation edited for length and clarity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>580 billion gallons sounds like a lot of water. Is there a way to put that into context?\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The amount of water we’re talking about is enough for the needs of 9 million California residents for a year.\u003cstrong>\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What does this influx signal for the state’s water supply in 2019?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is really good news for California’s summer water outlook. The amount of water that we had stored in these reservoirs was below the historical average until the January storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We had kind of a lackluster November and December. Now with all this rain and snow, the the reservoir levels are brought up to normal [for this time of year].\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It also had a huge impact on the Sierra snowpack, which went from 69 percent of normal on New Year’s Day to 114 percent of normal today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>California’s three wettest months are December through February. Given it’s still January, how important are the current totals?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After the misery of the five-year drought we had recently, just getting anywhere near normal is cause for celebration for a lot of water managers and water agencies around the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Danielle Venton and Peter Arcuni contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1937133/580-billion-gallons-thats-how-much-water-recent-storms-added-to-california-reservoirs","authors":["6387"],"categories":["science_31","science_35","science_40","science_98"],"tags":["science_3841","science_3180","science_572","science_3370","science_3834","science_1213","science_1127","science_2878","science_365"],"featImg":"science_1934744","label":"source_science_1937133"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? 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You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Mindshift-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"KQED MindShift: How We Will Learn","officialWebsiteLink":"/mindshift/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"2"},"link":"/podcasts/mindshift","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mindshift-podcast/id1078765985","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vS1FJTkM1NzY0NjAwNDI5","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/464615685/mind-shift-podcast","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqed/stories-teachers-share","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/0MxSpNYZKNprFLCl7eEtyx"}},"morning-edition":{"id":"morning-edition","title":"Morning Edition","info":"\u003cem>Morning Edition\u003c/em> takes listeners around the country and the world with multi-faceted stories and commentaries every weekday. 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