Enjoy your dry Monday, but don't get too used to the non-rainy weather we're experiencing across the Bay Area. Forecasters far and wide and their mathematical models expect the coming week to range from wet to inundated, depending on where you live.
The latest thinking from National Weather Service forecasters is that the next round of rain will begin across most of the region, from the coastal hills of Sonoma to the Santa Cruz Mountains, by sometime Tuesday afternoon.
The storm will be a two-round event. The first round, lasting until late Wednesday night, ought to be characterized by relatively light rain, with inland totals forecast to range from about 1.5 inches in northern Sonoma County to just over .10 in San Jose, according to one NWS analysis.
That's just the prelude to a windy, intense Round 2 forecast to begin late Wednesday and continue through early Friday, with nearly 2 inches of rain projected to fall over northern Sonoma County to as much as an inch in San Jose. Wind gusts are forecast throughout the region, topping 50 mph in the Diablo Range east and south of San Jose and in the coastal mountains south of Monterey.
Workweek rainfall totals could reach 7 inches or more in the hills of western Sonoma and 5 inches in the Santa Cruz Mountains.