{"id":12600,"date":"2011-05-05T12:50:12","date_gmt":"2011-05-05T19:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.kqed.org\/climatewatch\/?p=12600"},"modified":"2018-02-02T00:38:55","modified_gmt":"2018-02-02T00:38:55","slug":"report-climate-change-hits-home","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ww2.kqed.org\/climatewatch\/2011\/05\/05\/report-climate-change-hits-home\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: Climate Change Hits Home"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
Flooding along San Francisco’s Embarcadero during an extreme high tide in February. (Photo: Heidi Nutters\/Flickr)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Even if the world stopped emitting all greenhouse gases today, scientists say<\/a>, the climate would continue to change, perhaps for centuries, before it stabilized.\u00a0 Since a zero-emissions world is unlikely, to say the least, and considering that global carbon emissions are continuing on their upward trend<\/a>, finding ways to adapt to what many see as inevitable is getting more and more attention.<\/p>\n

The San Francisco Planning and Urban Research Association (SPUR), a local think tank focused on sustainable growth, has just released a 40-page report <\/a>that outlines the Bay Area’s biggest climate risks and lays out a road map for how communities can start preparing.<\/p>\n

The upshot?\u00a0 We’ve got a lot of work to do.
\n
\n\u201cWe need to beginning planning on many fronts because climate change is going to affect the way we do business. It\u2019s going to affect everything from people\u2019s health to property values on the shoreline,” said SPUR’s Laura Tam.<\/p>\n

The report finds that the climate change impacts most threatening to the Bay Area are more intense heat waves, water uncertainty (droughts, wildfires, extreme storms and flooding), and sea level rise. It lays out step-by-step instructions for addressing these risks, in terms of public safety and health, water supply, transportation infrastructure, biodiversity, and the region’s energy supply.<\/p>\n

Heat waves are a big focus of the report, which, if you live in San Francisco like me, may seem improbable.\u00a0 Yet, Tam says it’s exactly places like San Francisco that are most vulnerable to increased heat waves because we’re not prepared for them.\u00a0 (How many people here do you know with air conditioning?)<\/p>\n

The report says that by 2100, the Bay Area may experience between 74 and 90 days above 81 degrees Fahrenheit per year.\u00a0 Throughout the 20th century, the Bay Area averaged about 12.\u00a0 An increase like that means greater risk for heat-related illnesses and some infectious diseases, as well as poorer air quality.\u00a0 To address this, SPUR recommends communities identify vulnerable populations, reduce the “urban heat island effect”<\/a> by promoting white roofs and urban forestry, build communications and public warning systems, and develop robust “heat response plans” and air quality monitoring programs.<\/p>\n

Will Travis, the executive director of the San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC) and a SPUR board member, said that cash-strapped cities and towns have been “reticent” to deal with climate change adaptation because it can seem like a problem of the future.\u00a0\u00a0But, communities are going to have to act soon to avoid a crisis that’s both environmental and economic, he said.<\/p>\n

\u201cOur region is not going to be able to remain competitive and attract the capital we need to make our innovative economy grow if we don\u2019t address this problem right now,” said Travis.<\/p>\n

According to BCDC, the Bay Area may see 55 inches of sea level rise by 2100. The SPUR report says that means more than 186 miles of major roads (including I-80, I-880, U.S. 101, Highway 37, I-680, and Highway 12), more than 105 miles of regional rail track, and 93% of Oakland Airport and SFO property will be vulnerable to flooding.<\/p>\n

\u201cThat transportation infrastructure is the lifeblood of what makes our economy work,” said Travis. “We need that mobility, so we\u2019re going to have to be retrofitting those facilities to make sure that they don\u2019t go underwater.”<\/p>\n

The report recommends agencies conduct a comprehensive transportation vulnerability assessment, design resilient new transportation projects, and develop emergency transportation alternatives for cases of extreme weather events.<\/p>\n

The report is dense and detailed, and it’s a sobering look at exactly how much needs to be done to prepare for what many state and regional agencies agree is likely on its way. Odds are, none of this will be cheap. And yet, according to SPUR’s Laura Tam, beginning to deal with climate change impacts now could save money as well as lives.<\/p>\n

“If we don’t start planning ahead and preparing, we will end up dealing with crises that emerge as emergencies, and we don’t want to be in the position of having to respond to climate emergencies,” she said.\u00a0 “We want to know what to expect, and be prepared, so that the least amount of property is damaged and the least amount of people suffer.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new report outlines the Bay Area’s biggest climate risks and lays out a road map for how communities can start preparing. The gist? We’ve got a lot of work to do.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11413,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[14,39,276,290,448,502,548,607],"coauthors":[],"series":[],"affiliates":[],"programs":[],"collections":[],"interests":[],"class_list":["post-12600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-government-business","tag-adaptation","tag-bay-conservation-and-development-commission","tag-heat-waves","tag-impacts","tag-public-health","tag-sea-level-rise","tag-spur","tag-transit"],"acf":{"template_type":"standard","featured_image_type":"standard","is_audio_post":false},"yoast_head":"\nReport: Climate Change Hits Home | Climate Watch<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ww2.kqed.org\/climatewatch\/2011\/05\/05\/report-climate-change-hits-home\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Report: Climate Change Hits Home | Climate Watch\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new report outlines the Bay Area's biggest climate risks and lays out a road map for how communities can start preparing. 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