The Future of California's Seniors: More Diverse, But More Disabled Too
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Diverse, But More Disabled Too","publishDate":1480454975,"format":"standard","headTitle":"State of Health | KQED News","labelTerm":{"site":"stateofhealth"},"content":"\u003cp>The number of seniors in California is expected to more than double by 2060, from roughly 5 million to 12 million. A new report from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.lao.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">Legislative Analyst's Office \u003c/a>says this future senior population will be more racially diverse than seniors in the U.S. as a whole: the state's elderly population is projected to become majority nonwhite as soon as 2030.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The proportion of these future seniors who are disabled will also increase. That's because nonwhite populations have higher disability rates. Seniors are also expected to live longer, and seniors over age 85 experience higher disability rates as well.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eventually, this will present new and difficult challenges for California in providing long-term care for these seniors, the report concludes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report explains that:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Seniors are now about 13 percent of the state population. By 2060, they will be 24 percent.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>California's Medicaid program, \u003ca href=\"http://www.coveredca.com/medi-cal/\" target=\"_blank\">Medi-Cal\u003c/a>, already spends $14 billion a year on disability services (for all ages). The federal government picks up about half of this cost.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Education matters: More educated seniors experience less disability as they age, and educational levels among California seniors are projected to increase over time, which will somewhat offset the impact of other disabling factors.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Unpaid caregivers will be crucial: There will be fewer working-age adults per senior in California in the future, so non-disabled seniors may be tapped to do more to care for their disabled counterparts.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The report merely lays out the problem -- there's no conjecture on what the financial impact will be for Medi-Cal or the state. \"Such projections are not available at this time,\" the report's author, \u003ca href=\"http://www.lao.ca.gov/staff/AssignmentDetail/11\" target=\"_blank\">Mac Taylor\u003c/a>, concludes, although he might look into it someday, \"subject to available data.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[scribd id=332689844 key=key-6N5mtis3iWAZmjsZ12Le mode=scroll]\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Almost a quarter of Californians will be seniors by 2060; a state report warns of rising disability rates. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1480464663,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":8,"wordCount":301},"headData":{"title":"The Future of California's Seniors: More Diverse, But More Disabled Too | KQED","description":"Almost a quarter of Californians will be seniors by 2060; a state report warns of rising disability rates. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"The Future of California's Seniors: More Diverse, But More Disabled Too","datePublished":"2016-11-29T21:29:35.000Z","dateModified":"2016-11-30T00:11:03.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"disqusIdentifier":"265458 http://ww2.kqed.org/stateofhealth/?p=265458","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/stateofhealth/2016/11/29/the-future-of-californias-seniors-more-diverse-but-more-disabled-too/","disqusTitle":"The Future of California's Seniors: More Diverse, But More Disabled Too","nprByline":"Carrie Feibel","path":"/stateofhealth/265458/the-future-of-californias-seniors-more-diverse-but-more-disabled-too","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The number of seniors in California is expected to more than double by 2060, from roughly 5 million to 12 million. A new report from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.lao.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">Legislative Analyst's Office \u003c/a>says this future senior population will be more racially diverse than seniors in the U.S. as a whole: the state's elderly population is projected to become majority nonwhite as soon as 2030.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The proportion of these future seniors who are disabled will also increase. That's because nonwhite populations have higher disability rates. Seniors are also expected to live longer, and seniors over age 85 experience higher disability rates as well.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eventually, this will present new and difficult challenges for California in providing long-term care for these seniors, the report concludes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report explains that:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Seniors are now about 13 percent of the state population. By 2060, they will be 24 percent.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>California's Medicaid program, \u003ca href=\"http://www.coveredca.com/medi-cal/\" target=\"_blank\">Medi-Cal\u003c/a>, already spends $14 billion a year on disability services (for all ages). The federal government picks up about half of this cost.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Education matters: More educated seniors experience less disability as they age, and educational levels among California seniors are projected to increase over time, which will somewhat offset the impact of other disabling factors.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Unpaid caregivers will be crucial: There will be fewer working-age adults per senior in California in the future, so non-disabled seniors may be tapped to do more to care for their disabled counterparts.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The report merely lays out the problem -- there's no conjecture on what the financial impact will be for Medi-Cal or the state. \"Such projections are not available at this time,\" the report's author, \u003ca href=\"http://www.lao.ca.gov/staff/AssignmentDetail/11\" target=\"_blank\">Mac Taylor\u003c/a>, concludes, although he might look into it someday, \"subject to available data.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003ciframe\n class=\"scribd_iframe_embed\"\n src=\"//www.scribd.com/embeds/332689844/content?start_page=1&view_mode=&access_key=key-6N5mtis3iWAZmjsZ12Le\"\n title=\"http://www.scribd.com/doc/332689844\"\n data-auto-height=\"true\" scrolling=\"no\" id=\"scribd_332689844\"\n width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n \u003ca class=\"utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__scribdShortcode__scribd_footer\"\n href=\"http://www.scribd.com/doc/332689844\"\n target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">View this document on Scribd\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/stateofhealth/265458/the-future-of-californias-seniors-more-diverse-but-more-disabled-too","authors":["byline_stateofhealth_265458"],"categories":["stateofhealth_11","stateofhealth_14","stateofhealth_2746"],"tags":["stateofhealth_3004","stateofhealth_2808","stateofhealth_2519","stateofhealth_2929"],"featImg":"stateofhealth_265459","label":"stateofhealth"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. 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You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Mindshift-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"KQED MindShift: How We Will Learn","officialWebsiteLink":"/mindshift/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"2"},"link":"/podcasts/mindshift","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mindshift-podcast/id1078765985","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vS1FJTkM1NzY0NjAwNDI5","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/464615685/mind-shift-podcast","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqed/stories-teachers-share","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/0MxSpNYZKNprFLCl7eEtyx"}},"morning-edition":{"id":"morning-edition","title":"Morning Edition","info":"\u003cem>Morning Edition\u003c/em> takes listeners around the country and the world with multi-faceted stories and commentaries every weekday. 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On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. 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