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Twitter: @1KatieOrr","avatar":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/41a40b25845adc78f50808670860449e?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twitter":"1katieorr","facebook":null,"instagram":null,"linkedin":null,"sites":[{"site":"news","roles":["subscriber"]},{"site":"stateofhealth","roles":["author"]},{"site":"forum","roles":["author"]}],"headData":{"title":"Katie Orr | KQED","description":"KQED Contributor","ogImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/41a40b25845adc78f50808670860449e?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/41a40b25845adc78f50808670860449e?s=600&d=blank&r=g"},"isLoading":false,"link":"/author/korr"}},"breakingNewsReducer":{},"campaignFinanceReducer":{},"firebase":{"requesting":{},"requested":{},"timestamps":{},"data":{},"ordered":{},"auth":{"isLoaded":false,"isEmpty":true},"authError":null,"profile":{"isLoaded":false,"isEmpty":true},"listeners":{"byId":{},"allIds":[]},"isInitializing":false,"errors":[]},"navBarReducer":{"navBarId":"news","fullView":true,"showPlayer":false},"navMenuReducer":{"menus":[{"key":"menu1","items":[{"name":"News","link":"/","type":"title"},{"name":"Politics","link":"/politics"},{"name":"Science","link":"/science"},{"name":"Education","link":"/educationnews"},{"name":"Housing","link":"/housing"},{"name":"Immigration","link":"/immigration"},{"name":"Criminal Justice","link":"/criminaljustice"},{"name":"Silicon Valley","link":"/siliconvalley"},{"name":"Forum","link":"/forum"},{"name":"The California Report","link":"/californiareport"}]},{"key":"menu2","items":[{"name":"Arts & Culture","link":"/arts","type":"title"},{"name":"Critics’ Picks","link":"/thedolist"},{"name":"Cultural Commentary","link":"/artscommentary"},{"name":"Food & Drink","link":"/food"},{"name":"Bay Area Hip-Hop","link":"/bayareahiphop"},{"name":"Rebel Girls","link":"/rebelgirls"},{"name":"Arts Video","link":"/artsvideos"}]},{"key":"menu3","items":[{"name":"Podcasts","link":"/podcasts","type":"title"},{"name":"Bay Curious","link":"/podcasts/baycurious"},{"name":"Rightnowish","link":"/podcasts/rightnowish"},{"name":"The Bay","link":"/podcasts/thebay"},{"name":"On Our Watch","link":"/podcasts/onourwatch"},{"name":"Mindshift","link":"/podcasts/mindshift"},{"name":"Consider This","link":"/podcasts/considerthis"},{"name":"Political Breakdown","link":"/podcasts/politicalbreakdown"}]},{"key":"menu4","items":[{"name":"Live Radio","link":"/radio","type":"title"},{"name":"TV","link":"/tv","type":"title"},{"name":"Events","link":"/events","type":"title"},{"name":"For Educators","link":"/education","type":"title"},{"name":"Support KQED","link":"/support","type":"title"},{"name":"About","link":"/about","type":"title"},{"name":"Help Center","link":"https://kqed-helpcenter.kqed.org/s","type":"title"}]}]},"pagesReducer":{},"postsReducer":{"stream_live":{"type":"live","id":"stream_live","audioUrl":"https://streams.kqed.org/kqedradio","title":"Live Stream","excerpt":"Live Stream information currently unavailable.","link":"/radio","featImg":"","label":{"name":"KQED Live","link":"/"}},"stream_kqedNewscast":{"type":"posts","id":"stream_kqedNewscast","audioUrl":"https://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/RDnews/newscast.mp3?_=1","title":"KQED Newscast","featImg":"","label":{"name":"88.5 FM","link":"/"}},"news_11982269":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11982269","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11982269","score":null,"sort":[1712660441000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"californias-inland-empire-district-to-choose-between-gop-latina-and-transgender-democrat-for-state-senate","title":"California's Inland Empire District to Choose Between GOP Latina and Transgender Democrat for State Senate","publishDate":1712660441,"format":"standard","headTitle":"California’s Inland Empire District to Choose Between GOP Latina and Transgender Democrat for State Senate | KQED","labelTerm":{"term":18481,"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>Soon after the March primary, state Senate candidate Lisa Middleton pitched her vision for Inland Empire transportation to the Pass Democratic Club in Beaumont.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve not built the roadways we need to serve the growing population,” she said, referring to chronic congestion on Interstate 10.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton, a Palm Springs City Council member and former mayor, won applause describing how she secured $50 million for a storm-damaged bridge in Palm Springs. If elected, she vowed to build bridges for traffic as well as “bridges to people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Lastly, I’m a very proud member of the LGBTQ community, and I am transgender,” Middleton, 71, concluded.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Thad Kousser, political science professor, UC San Diego\"]‘There have been so many people who have been groundbreaking in their identity that now they have the freedom just to be public servants.’[/pullquote]“If I’m elected, I’ll be the first transgender person in the state Legislature. That’s not a reason to vote for me. But in California, it is time that we stand up and say anyone can run. Everyone has a chance.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton does have a chance, although she has her work cut out for her. She earned 46.2% of the vote in the newly constituted \u003ca href=\"https://pp.electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/state-senate/district/19\">state Senate District 19\u003c/a>, against incumbent \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/legislators/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh-165450\">Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh\u003c/a>’s 53.8%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Middleton, Ochoa Bogh also knows something about breaking new ground in the Inland Empire. Since 2020, she has been the first Republican Latina lawmaker elected to the state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their personal stories appear primed for a culture wars clash, but neither candidate is choosing that route. Instead they are campaigning on bread-and-butter issues, such as jobs, infrastructure and public safety.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t do theater; I don’t do drama,” Ochoa Bogh, 51, told CalMatters. “I will support policies that I think are good for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With more than a dozen LGBTQ representatives in the state Legislature, sexual and gender identity may no longer be a key factor in California races.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That fits with where we are in California politics,” said Thad Kousser, a UC San Diego political science professor. “There have been so many people who have been groundbreaking in their identity that now they have the freedom just to be public servants.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Smart politics or culture clash?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If these candidates’ campaign strategies seem quaint in an era of partisan polarization, that may be smart politics for the district.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This district combines the liberal neighborhoods of Coachella Valley with conservative bedroom communities and industrial areas in San Bernardino County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This is the first time Inland Empire voters will cast ballots in this state Senate district, which was redrawn after the 2020 census. In a quirk of that process, it was designated a “deferred district,” with no elected senator since then.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh currently represents state Senate District 23, which partially overlaps with District 19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Voter registration in the new district has shifted from predominantly Republican in 2008 to a 1.5-point Democratic advantage, making for a competitive race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Bernardino County, Ochoa Bogh prevailed with about 63% of the vote, but in Riverside County Middleton led with 53%, according to \u003ca href=\"https://californiatargetbook.com/\">California Target Book\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not that every part of this district is purple; there’s blue and red mixed together,” Kousser said. “That makes political messaging really tricky. How do you come up with messages that work for commuter suburbs as well as Palm Springs?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a sense, Ochoa and Middleton’s messages aren’t that different. Both focus on quality of life, middle-class opportunity, and their life stories as examples of the American Dream.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982299\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982299\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg\" alt='A woman stands behind a podium that says \"Fix California\" on the front with people in the background.' width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">State Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh (R-Yucaipa) addresses reporters about the public school system, during a press conference outside the 3rd District Court of Appeal building in Sacramento, on Jan. 25, 2023. \u003ccite>(Rahul Lal/Sipa USA via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Both candidates tout their working-class backgrounds, Ochoa Bogh as the daughter of Mexican immigrant parents and Middleton as the granddaughter of Dust Bowl refugees who settled in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 id=\"h-incumbent-experienced-homelessness\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Incumbent experienced homelessness\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh’s childhood included moves to California, Hawaii, Florida and Mexico. Once she lived with her mother and sister in a single room of an apartment shared with another family, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we talk about homelessness, not having a place to live, I know what that’s like,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She earned an undergraduate degree from UC Santa Barbara in 1996, then worked as a teacher and later a real estate agent while raising her young children. Volunteer work at her children’s school led to a seat on the Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified School District Board and then election to state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I wasn’t very politically engaged, but I was very civically engaged,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Legislature offered a crash course in partisan politics. Shortly after her election she discovered the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article269771152.html\">California Latino Legislative Caucus\u003c/a>, but learned that Republicans weren’t welcome in the group.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the Legislature, there’s a lot of talk about diversity, inclusion,” Ochoa Bogh said, “but only if you think their way. If you think differently, you’re vilified.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In her first term, Ochoa Bogh has \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills?author%5B%5D=165450\">passed about a dozen bills,\u003c/a> but her proposals to notify criminal defendants of possible murder charges for \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb44\">fentanyl-related deaths\u003c/a> and to increase penalties for \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb316\">shoplifters\u003c/a> failed to pass. This session she’s revisiting fentanyl addiction with bipartisan bills to \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1468?slug=CA_202320240SB1468\">expedite drug treatment\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1442\">provide fentanyl tests\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s very thoughtful, and does the very best job she can to represent the entire district, and make sure she listens to all of her constituents,” said Brian Jones, the Republican state Senate minority leader from San Diego.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Challenger grew up in union household\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Middleton grew up in the city of Bell Gardens, in Los Angeles County, where she said her blue-collar parents entered the middle class through union jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982290\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982290\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg\" alt=\"A white woman wearing glasses and a blue jacket sits down with books in the background.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Lisa Middleton, Palm Springs City Council member, at the Four Seasons in Beaumont on March 27, 2024. \u003ccite>(Elisa Ferrari/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>She earned a BA from UCLA, then a master’s in public administration from the University of Southern California, she said. During a 36-year career with the State Compensation Insurance Fund, which administers workers’ compensation, she served as an auditor, claims officer and executive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You don’t get what you pay for; you get what you audit,” she told the Pass Democratic Club members.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton made her gender transition in 1995 and said her biggest cheerleaders were her two children from a previous marriage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was a lifelong struggle that I finally accepted myself as who I was,” she said, “and I have been very fortunate in coming out to have been one of those folks who continued to have opportunities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those opportunities expanded after she left her state job, moved to the desert and swapped what she expected to be a quiet retirement for a planning commission position. She later became a council member and mayor of Palm Springs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She ticks off her accomplishments in that role: boosting salaries for Palm Springs police and fire departments, expanding the city’s financial reserves, and supporting the renovation of restaurants and small businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton is “literally one of the best elected officials I have worked with” over 40 years of policing, said Palm Springs Police Chief Andrew Mills. He credits her with helping improve retention and morale in the department, which led to the local police association endorsing her.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The officers as well have a lot of confidence in her as an elected official, and that’s kind of rare,” he said. “But she’s that calming voice that tries to bring people together, rather than find the extremes and push people apart.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Senate candidates clash on environment\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For all their emphasis on the political middle ground, Ochoa and Middleton offer some sharp contrasts on environmental and social issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To Middleton, renewable energy projects such as wind and solar are win-win solutions that fight climate change and help union workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Building out those industries is an opportunity for us to have well-paying jobs,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not so fast, said Ochoa Bogh, who argues that there’s a downside to renewable energy projects that raise the price of energy or require adoption of costly electric fleets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982298\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982298\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg\" alt=\"A woman wearing all black holds a microphone and stands behind a podium.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1353\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-800x541.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1020x690.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-160x108.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1536x1039.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1920x1299.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California State Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh speaks during the opening for Rep. Ken Calvert’s office in Palm Desert, on Jan. 13, 2024. \u003ccite>(Andy Abeyta/The Desert Sun via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Who doesn’t want to be green?” she asked. “But all of those goals have a huge financial impact on working Californians, and nobody talks about that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton also points to differences in their positions on abortion, noting she supports California’s stance as a haven for reproductive freedom, including abortion rights.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh did not state her position on abortion, but she has \u003ca href=\"https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/188758/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh?categoryId=2&type=V,S,R,E,F,P\">opposed bills aimed at reinforcing abortion rights\u003c/a> in California and has received a 0% rating from Planned Parenthood and a 100% rating from the California Pro-Life Council.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both candidates identified \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletters/whatmatters/2023/08/parental-rights-california/\">parental rights\u003c/a> as key to their campaigns, but they appear to diverge on what that means.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For activists and lawmakers on the right, parental rights has focused on shielding students from what they consider to be inappropriate or sexually explicit materials, and notifying parents of changes to their children’s sexual or gender identities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many on the left believe parental rights includes the ability to honor their children’s choices and expose them to diverse educational material.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Although she didn’t elaborate on her position, Ochoa Bogh \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1435\">authored a bill\u003c/a> that would ban elementary and middle schools and libraries from offering what the bill defines as obscene material. Last year she also \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240ab1078?slug=CA_202320240AB1078\">voted against\u003c/a> the new law that requires a supermajority of school board members to ban books and provides a process for parents to appeal those decisions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton argues that parents of transgender and LGBTQ children are being disenfranchised in other states by laws restricting their options for care and treatment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Parents are being told ‘you cannot make decisions for your child,’” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Who can motivate Inland Empire voters?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the closely divided district, the race will hinge not only on whose message resonates, but also who can turn out their party base.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The opportunities are with us, doing the canvassing, texting, phone-banking and just having the boots on the ground,” said Jim Mercado, president of the Pass Democratic Club.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh says she doesn’t stop with her own base but knocks on doors of Democratic and No Party Preference voters as well.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I have no problem reaching out to them, because to me it’s about discussing ideas,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a Republican, Ochoa Bogh maintains she can provide a counterweight to the Democratic supermajority, while also finding common ground.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s done a very good job advocating for the conservative principles that she believes in, while also being effective at building relationships across the aisle,” Jones said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the Democratic Club meeting, Beaumont City Councilmember Julio Martinez agreed that Ochoa Bogh has worked well with local governments, but he worried that minority party members are at a disadvantage in state budget talks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For our region, how do we get our fair share of the money the state gives out?” he asked. “How much influence can a Republican have in this state?”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Cash, demographics and identity\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For now, Ochoa Bogh has an overwhelming campaign cash advantage with $605,677 and has raised more than \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/legislators/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh-165450#financials\">double the average\u003c/a> for state legislators, based on her most recent campaign finance report. Meanwhile Middleton’s campaign reported a cash balance of $53,053.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It remains to be seen how the candidates’ identities will intersect with the district’s demographics. About 38% of the electorate is Latino, and Ochoa Bogh believes her focus on education and business appeals to them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think I have a pretty strong hold on the Latino vote,” she said. “But I don’t take that for granted, which is why I knock on the doors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If elected, Middleton would not only be the first transgender state legislator in California, but she’d be among only a handful in the country, said Sean Meloy, vice president of political programs for the Victory Fund, which helps elect LGBTQ politicians nationwide and is supporting her campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first was \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/1094870343/danica-roems-new-book-shares-her-journey-from-closet-case-trans-girl-to-legislat\">Danica Roem\u003c/a>, sworn in to the Virginia House of Delegates in 2018, followed by \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2023/06/26/1184291582/sarah-mcbride-transgender-congress\">Sarah McBride\u003c/a>, a Delaware state senator now running for Congress.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meloy expects voters in Coachella Valley’s substantial LGBTQ community will be galvanized by Middleton’s historic race for state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think in a place like Palm Springs there is a higher amount of LGBTQ people, and they’re yearning for some representation in the state Legislature,” he said. “And Lisa is a community leader with proven results who offers that opportunity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982289\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982289\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg\" alt=\"A group of people seated inside a building.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Members of the Pass Democratic Club during a meeting at the Four Seasons in Beaumont on March 27, 2024. \u003ccite>(Elisa Ferrari/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>She also enjoys the synergy of campaigning alongside other LGBTQ Democratic candidates in the region, including Will Rollins, a former federal prosecutor challenging incumbent Rep. Ken Calvert for the 41st Congressional District, and Palm Springs Mayor Christy Holstedge, who is running for the 47th Assembly District.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far Meloy said Middleton has not been subjected to attacks on her gender identity, adding he hopes that civility continues as the race heats up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton said she and her opponent have agreed to run “honestly and respectfully,” focusing on policy differences. For her part, Ochoa Bogh says that anti-LGBTQ rhetoric will play no part in her campaign strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I can win this without vilifying my opponent,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>For the record: The story was updated to reflect that Middleton, if elected, would be among only a handful of state legislators in the country who is transgender. The source quoted in the story originally said Middleton would be one of three, but information obtained later indicates there may be more.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The two candidates seeking to become state senator for a new Inland Empire district say they’re avoiding culture war clashes to focus on bread-and-butter issues.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1712685932,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":72,"wordCount":2461},"headData":{"title":"California's Inland Empire District to Choose Between GOP Latina and Transgender Democrat for State Senate | KQED","description":"The two candidates seeking to become state senator for a new Inland Empire district say they’re avoiding culture war clashes to focus on bread-and-butter issues.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"sticky":false,"nprByline":"\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/author/deborah-brennan/\">Deborah Brennan\u003c/a>","excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","showOnAuthorArchivePages":"No","articleAge":"0","path":"/news/11982269/californias-inland-empire-district-to-choose-between-gop-latina-and-transgender-democrat-for-state-senate","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Soon after the March primary, state Senate candidate Lisa Middleton pitched her vision for Inland Empire transportation to the Pass Democratic Club in Beaumont.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve not built the roadways we need to serve the growing population,” she said, referring to chronic congestion on Interstate 10.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton, a Palm Springs City Council member and former mayor, won applause describing how she secured $50 million for a storm-damaged bridge in Palm Springs. If elected, she vowed to build bridges for traffic as well as “bridges to people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Lastly, I’m a very proud member of the LGBTQ community, and I am transgender,” Middleton, 71, concluded.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘There have been so many people who have been groundbreaking in their identity that now they have the freedom just to be public servants.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Thad Kousser, political science professor, UC San Diego","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“If I’m elected, I’ll be the first transgender person in the state Legislature. That’s not a reason to vote for me. But in California, it is time that we stand up and say anyone can run. Everyone has a chance.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton does have a chance, although she has her work cut out for her. She earned 46.2% of the vote in the newly constituted \u003ca href=\"https://pp.electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/state-senate/district/19\">state Senate District 19\u003c/a>, against incumbent \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/legislators/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh-165450\">Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh\u003c/a>’s 53.8%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Middleton, Ochoa Bogh also knows something about breaking new ground in the Inland Empire. Since 2020, she has been the first Republican Latina lawmaker elected to the state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their personal stories appear primed for a culture wars clash, but neither candidate is choosing that route. Instead they are campaigning on bread-and-butter issues, such as jobs, infrastructure and public safety.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t do theater; I don’t do drama,” Ochoa Bogh, 51, told CalMatters. “I will support policies that I think are good for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With more than a dozen LGBTQ representatives in the state Legislature, sexual and gender identity may no longer be a key factor in California races.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That fits with where we are in California politics,” said Thad Kousser, a UC San Diego political science professor. “There have been so many people who have been groundbreaking in their identity that now they have the freedom just to be public servants.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Smart politics or culture clash?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If these candidates’ campaign strategies seem quaint in an era of partisan polarization, that may be smart politics for the district.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This district combines the liberal neighborhoods of Coachella Valley with conservative bedroom communities and industrial areas in San Bernardino County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This is the first time Inland Empire voters will cast ballots in this state Senate district, which was redrawn after the 2020 census. In a quirk of that process, it was designated a “deferred district,” with no elected senator since then.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh currently represents state Senate District 23, which partially overlaps with District 19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Voter registration in the new district has shifted from predominantly Republican in 2008 to a 1.5-point Democratic advantage, making for a competitive race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Bernardino County, Ochoa Bogh prevailed with about 63% of the vote, but in Riverside County Middleton led with 53%, according to \u003ca href=\"https://californiatargetbook.com/\">California Target Book\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not that every part of this district is purple; there’s blue and red mixed together,” Kousser said. “That makes political messaging really tricky. How do you come up with messages that work for commuter suburbs as well as Palm Springs?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a sense, Ochoa and Middleton’s messages aren’t that different. Both focus on quality of life, middle-class opportunity, and their life stories as examples of the American Dream.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982299\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982299\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg\" alt='A woman stands behind a podium that says \"Fix California\" on the front with people in the background.' width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/012523-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">State Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh (R-Yucaipa) addresses reporters about the public school system, during a press conference outside the 3rd District Court of Appeal building in Sacramento, on Jan. 25, 2023. \u003ccite>(Rahul Lal/Sipa USA via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Both candidates tout their working-class backgrounds, Ochoa Bogh as the daughter of Mexican immigrant parents and Middleton as the granddaughter of Dust Bowl refugees who settled in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 id=\"h-incumbent-experienced-homelessness\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Incumbent experienced homelessness\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh’s childhood included moves to California, Hawaii, Florida and Mexico. Once she lived with her mother and sister in a single room of an apartment shared with another family, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we talk about homelessness, not having a place to live, I know what that’s like,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She earned an undergraduate degree from UC Santa Barbara in 1996, then worked as a teacher and later a real estate agent while raising her young children. Volunteer work at her children’s school led to a seat on the Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified School District Board and then election to state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I wasn’t very politically engaged, but I was very civically engaged,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Legislature offered a crash course in partisan politics. Shortly after her election she discovered the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article269771152.html\">California Latino Legislative Caucus\u003c/a>, but learned that Republicans weren’t welcome in the group.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the Legislature, there’s a lot of talk about diversity, inclusion,” Ochoa Bogh said, “but only if you think their way. If you think differently, you’re vilified.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In her first term, Ochoa Bogh has \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills?author%5B%5D=165450\">passed about a dozen bills,\u003c/a> but her proposals to notify criminal defendants of possible murder charges for \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb44\">fentanyl-related deaths\u003c/a> and to increase penalties for \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb316\">shoplifters\u003c/a> failed to pass. This session she’s revisiting fentanyl addiction with bipartisan bills to \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1468?slug=CA_202320240SB1468\">expedite drug treatment\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1442\">provide fentanyl tests\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s very thoughtful, and does the very best job she can to represent the entire district, and make sure she listens to all of her constituents,” said Brian Jones, the Republican state Senate minority leader from San Diego.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Challenger grew up in union household\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Middleton grew up in the city of Bell Gardens, in Los Angeles County, where she said her blue-collar parents entered the middle class through union jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982290\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982290\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg\" alt=\"A white woman wearing glasses and a blue jacket sits down with books in the background.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_20-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Lisa Middleton, Palm Springs City Council member, at the Four Seasons in Beaumont on March 27, 2024. \u003ccite>(Elisa Ferrari/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>She earned a BA from UCLA, then a master’s in public administration from the University of Southern California, she said. During a 36-year career with the State Compensation Insurance Fund, which administers workers’ compensation, she served as an auditor, claims officer and executive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You don’t get what you pay for; you get what you audit,” she told the Pass Democratic Club members.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton made her gender transition in 1995 and said her biggest cheerleaders were her two children from a previous marriage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was a lifelong struggle that I finally accepted myself as who I was,” she said, “and I have been very fortunate in coming out to have been one of those folks who continued to have opportunities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those opportunities expanded after she left her state job, moved to the desert and swapped what she expected to be a quiet retirement for a planning commission position. She later became a council member and mayor of Palm Springs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She ticks off her accomplishments in that role: boosting salaries for Palm Springs police and fire departments, expanding the city’s financial reserves, and supporting the renovation of restaurants and small businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton is “literally one of the best elected officials I have worked with” over 40 years of policing, said Palm Springs Police Chief Andrew Mills. He credits her with helping improve retention and morale in the department, which led to the local police association endorsing her.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The officers as well have a lot of confidence in her as an elected official, and that’s kind of rare,” he said. “But she’s that calming voice that tries to bring people together, rather than find the extremes and push people apart.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Senate candidates clash on environment\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For all their emphasis on the political middle ground, Ochoa and Middleton offer some sharp contrasts on environmental and social issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To Middleton, renewable energy projects such as wind and solar are win-win solutions that fight climate change and help union workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Building out those industries is an opportunity for us to have well-paying jobs,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not so fast, said Ochoa Bogh, who argues that there’s a downside to renewable energy projects that raise the price of energy or require adoption of costly electric fleets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982298\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982298\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg\" alt=\"A woman wearing all black holds a microphone and stands behind a podium.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1353\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-800x541.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1020x690.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-160x108.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1536x1039.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/011524-Rosilicie-Ochoa-Bogh-REUTERS-CM-01-1920x1299.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California State Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh speaks during the opening for Rep. Ken Calvert’s office in Palm Desert, on Jan. 13, 2024. \u003ccite>(Andy Abeyta/The Desert Sun via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Who doesn’t want to be green?” she asked. “But all of those goals have a huge financial impact on working Californians, and nobody talks about that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton also points to differences in their positions on abortion, noting she supports California’s stance as a haven for reproductive freedom, including abortion rights.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh did not state her position on abortion, but she has \u003ca href=\"https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/188758/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh?categoryId=2&type=V,S,R,E,F,P\">opposed bills aimed at reinforcing abortion rights\u003c/a> in California and has received a 0% rating from Planned Parenthood and a 100% rating from the California Pro-Life Council.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both candidates identified \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletters/whatmatters/2023/08/parental-rights-california/\">parental rights\u003c/a> as key to their campaigns, but they appear to diverge on what that means.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For activists and lawmakers on the right, parental rights has focused on shielding students from what they consider to be inappropriate or sexually explicit materials, and notifying parents of changes to their children’s sexual or gender identities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many on the left believe parental rights includes the ability to honor their children’s choices and expose them to diverse educational material.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Although she didn’t elaborate on her position, Ochoa Bogh \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240sb1435\">authored a bill\u003c/a> that would ban elementary and middle schools and libraries from offering what the bill defines as obscene material. Last year she also \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240ab1078?slug=CA_202320240AB1078\">voted against\u003c/a> the new law that requires a supermajority of school board members to ban books and provides a process for parents to appeal those decisions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton argues that parents of transgender and LGBTQ children are being disenfranchised in other states by laws restricting their options for care and treatment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Parents are being told ‘you cannot make decisions for your child,’” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Who can motivate Inland Empire voters?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the closely divided district, the race will hinge not only on whose message resonates, but also who can turn out their party base.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The opportunities are with us, doing the canvassing, texting, phone-banking and just having the boots on the ground,” said Jim Mercado, president of the Pass Democratic Club.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ochoa Bogh says she doesn’t stop with her own base but knocks on doors of Democratic and No Party Preference voters as well.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I have no problem reaching out to them, because to me it’s about discussing ideas,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a Republican, Ochoa Bogh maintains she can provide a counterweight to the Democratic supermajority, while also finding common ground.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s done a very good job advocating for the conservative principles that she believes in, while also being effective at building relationships across the aisle,” Jones said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the Democratic Club meeting, Beaumont City Councilmember Julio Martinez agreed that Ochoa Bogh has worked well with local governments, but he worried that minority party members are at a disadvantage in state budget talks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For our region, how do we get our fair share of the money the state gives out?” he asked. “How much influence can a Republican have in this state?”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Cash, demographics and identity\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For now, Ochoa Bogh has an overwhelming campaign cash advantage with $605,677 and has raised more than \u003ca href=\"https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/legislators/rosilicie-ochoa-bogh-165450#financials\">double the average\u003c/a> for state legislators, based on her most recent campaign finance report. Meanwhile Middleton’s campaign reported a cash balance of $53,053.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It remains to be seen how the candidates’ identities will intersect with the district’s demographics. About 38% of the electorate is Latino, and Ochoa Bogh believes her focus on education and business appeals to them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think I have a pretty strong hold on the Latino vote,” she said. “But I don’t take that for granted, which is why I knock on the doors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If elected, Middleton would not only be the first transgender state legislator in California, but she’d be among only a handful in the country, said Sean Meloy, vice president of political programs for the Victory Fund, which helps elect LGBTQ politicians nationwide and is supporting her campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first was \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/1094870343/danica-roems-new-book-shares-her-journey-from-closet-case-trans-girl-to-legislat\">Danica Roem\u003c/a>, sworn in to the Virginia House of Delegates in 2018, followed by \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2023/06/26/1184291582/sarah-mcbride-transgender-congress\">Sarah McBride\u003c/a>, a Delaware state senator now running for Congress.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meloy expects voters in Coachella Valley’s substantial LGBTQ community will be galvanized by Middleton’s historic race for state Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think in a place like Palm Springs there is a higher amount of LGBTQ people, and they’re yearning for some representation in the state Legislature,” he said. “And Lisa is a community leader with proven results who offers that opportunity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11982289\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11982289\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg\" alt=\"A group of people seated inside a building.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/04/032724_Inland-Empire-Election_EF_CM_02-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Members of the Pass Democratic Club during a meeting at the Four Seasons in Beaumont on March 27, 2024. \u003ccite>(Elisa Ferrari/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>She also enjoys the synergy of campaigning alongside other LGBTQ Democratic candidates in the region, including Will Rollins, a former federal prosecutor challenging incumbent Rep. Ken Calvert for the 41st Congressional District, and Palm Springs Mayor Christy Holstedge, who is running for the 47th Assembly District.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far Meloy said Middleton has not been subjected to attacks on her gender identity, adding he hopes that civility continues as the race heats up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Middleton said she and her opponent have agreed to run “honestly and respectfully,” focusing on policy differences. For her part, Ochoa Bogh says that anti-LGBTQ rhetoric will play no part in her campaign strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I can win this without vilifying my opponent,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>For the record: The story was updated to reflect that Middleton, if elected, would be among only a handful of state legislators in the country who is transgender. The source quoted in the story originally said Middleton would be one of three, but information obtained later indicates there may be more.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11982269/californias-inland-empire-district-to-choose-between-gop-latina-and-transgender-democrat-for-state-senate","authors":["byline_news_11982269"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_176","news_3037","news_20003","news_2486"],"affiliates":["news_18481"],"featImg":"news_11982288","label":"news_18481"},"news_11946577":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11946577","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11946577","score":null,"sort":[1681404825000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"feinsteins-prolonged-absence-frustrates-senate-democrats","title":"Feinstein's Prolonged Absence Frustrates Senate Democrats","publishDate":1681404825,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Feinstein’s Prolonged Absence Frustrates Senate Democrats | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>With a growing backlog of unconfirmed judicial nominees bottled up in the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11941047/sen-dianne-feinstein-wont-seek-reelection-ending-groundbreaking-political-career\">Sen. Dianne Feinstein\u003c/a> issued a statement Wednesday saying she’s asked Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to temporarily name another Democrat to the panel until she is able to return to work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When I was first diagnosed with shingles, I expected to return by the end of the March work period. Unfortunately, my return to Washington has been delayed due to continued complications related to my diagnosis,” the statement said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I understand that my absence could delay the important work of the Judiciary Committee, so I’ve asked Leader Schumer to ask the Senate to allow another Democratic senator to temporarily serve until I’m able to resume my committee work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But pressure on Feinstein to step aside more permanently is mounting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area Democrat Ro Khanna (D-Fremont) on Wednesday called on Feinstein to give up the seat she has held for more than 30 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna, who has endorsed East Bay U.S. Rep. Barbara Lee in the race to replace Feinstein after she leaves at the end of next year, called on Feinstein to resign to enable the Senate to confirm a backlog of judicial nominations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11946548\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-11946548 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut.jpg\" alt=\"An Indian man with dark hair and eyes wears a light blue business suit and busy orange and green tie sits on a wooden bench outside. He sits crossed-legged with his arms folded on his knee. He looks to the right of the camera. Crowds of people and children are pictured behind him.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">US Rep. Ro Khanna of California’s 17th District on Aug. 24, 2019. \u003ccite>(Sruti Mamidanna/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We need to put the country ahead of personal loyalty. While she has had a lifetime of public service, it is obvious she can no longer fulfill her duties,” Khanna said on Twitter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna noted the recent decision from a Trump-appointed judge to reverse the FDA’s 2000 approval of the drug mifepristone, which is used in medical abortions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The ruling by an extremist judge in Texas has made it clear that Democrats must act with speed and urgency to confirm judicial nominees who will protect the right to an abortion. Senator Feinstein is unable to fulfill her duties and for the good of the people, she should resign,” Khanna said.[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"US Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Fremont)\"]‘Senator Feinstein is unable to fulfill her duties and for the good of the people, she should resign.’[/pullquote]Even if Schumer appoints another Democrat to take Feinstein’s spot on the Judiciary Committee, it’s by no means certain that would fix the problem with confirming judges. Senate rules require unanimous consent from all senators to change a committee member.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with that is that any Republican can object to that,” said Khanna. “I anticipate they will object to that. And that is what is my concern. Now, what happens if they object to it and we have the same problem, that we don’t have our judges being confirmed?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without unanimous consent to replace Feinstein on the committee, Democrats would need to pursue another track, which would require 60 votes, meaning several Republicans would need to cooperate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna is often out of lockstep with his party. In 2021, he was the last Democrat in California’s congressional delegation to endorse U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla, who was up for election after being appointed to the job by Gov. Gavin Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Asked for her thoughts on Feinstein’s status and whether she should step aside, Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi pushed back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s interesting to me, I don’t know what political agendas are at work that are going after Senator Feinstein in that way,” Pelosi said in San Francisco Wednesday. “I’ve never seen them go after a man who was sick in the Senate in that way.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while Khanna is the first elected Democrat from California to openly call on Feinstein to step down, he is unlikely to be the last. Her absence from the evenly divided Senate Judiciary Committee blocks Democrats’ ability to move President Joe Biden’s nominations for the federal bench to a confirmation vote of the full Senate floor.[aside label='More on California' tag='california']Feinstein’s legacy as a groundbreaking Democrat — she was the first woman to serve on the Senate Judiciary Committee — has kept most Democrats from speaking out. But for more than a year, there have been \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11940460/long-before-feinstein-another-california-senator-faced-questions-about-mental-fitness\">whispers from her Senate colleagues\u003c/a> — mostly unnamed — that the 89-year-old senator has been losing her mental acuity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s been some deterioration in her mental acuity. Many senators, many of her colleagues, have mentioned that to me,” said congressional scholar Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You cannot force her to resign,” he added. “You cannot expel her. But what you can do is move her off the [Judiciary] committee. Replace her with another Democrat to get that necessary one-vote margin to begin to move these confirmations through.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Feinstein has missed most of the Senate votes this year, which includes more than two dozen for judicial nominations with some of those from California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It can be very, very difficult to fill those vacancies,” said Jessica Levinson of Loyola Law School in Los Angeles. “So for the Democrats, I think it makes every sense in the world to take the steps necessary to be able to move these judicial nominations,” especially given that “there’s this looming clock that just is starting to tick faster and faster and faster\u003ci>” \u003c/i>as the 2024 election approaches.[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Norman Ornstein, congressional scholar, American Enterprise Institute\"]‘We need to have judges confirmed so that we can recapture some of the balance of the federal judiciary. And right now, Dianne Feinstein, not because of her own choosing, nonetheless, is an obstacle.’[/pullquote]“We need to have judges confirmed so that we can recapture some of the balance of the federal judiciary,” Ornstein said. “And right now, Dianne Feinstein, not because of her own choosing, nonetheless, is an obstacle.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American Constitution Society (ACS) tracks vacancies in the federal judiciary and the progress of judicial nominations. According to the ACS, there are now 36 pending vacancies awaiting a vote by the Judiciary Committee and 18 awaiting a vote on the Senate floor. Six more nominees are waiting for a hearing by the Judiciary Committee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ongoing absences are impairing not only the Senate’s ability to confirm judges, but the Senate Judiciary Committee’s ability to advance nominations,” said ACS President Russ Feingold, a former U.S. senator from Wisconsin who served with Feinstein on the Judiciary Committee before he was defeated in 2010.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11946594\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-11946594 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684.jpg\" alt=\"An older white woman with light, brown hair and a blue business suit stands next to another man with gray hair and a gray suit. He holds a yellow folder and is showing the woman a document inside a government building.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) chats with a staffer as she leaves the Senate chamber following a vote at the US Capitol on Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2023, in Washington, DC. Feinstein, California’s longest-serving senator, announced she will not run for reelection next year, marking the end of one of the state’s most storied political careers. Despite ongoing health concerns, she plans to remain in office through the end of her term. \u003ccite>(Kent Nishimura/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If Senator Feinstein expects to be unable to participate in Judiciary Committee activities much longer, she could significantly help the situation by taking the necessary steps to enable another senator to take her seat on the Committee.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Feinstein is vowing to return to work in Washington, it’s by no means certain that she’ll be able to. If she decides to resign before her term ends, Newsom could choose someone to fill out her term. In 2021, Newsom said he would name a Black woman to the seat if he had the opportunity. At the time, Rep. Barbara Lee’s name was floated as a possible appointment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the 2024 Senate campaign now in full swing, however, and Lee one of three prominent Democrats running, along with Congressmembers Adam Schiff and Katie Porter, it’s unlikely Newsom would want to upend voters’ opportunity to choose a successor. But he could name a caretaker who promised not to run for a full six-year term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Senate will reconvene Monday, April 17, after a two-week recess, and if Schumer can move quickly to name another Democrat to the Judiciary Committee, it could name pending nominations as soon as Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story has been updated.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Sen. Dianne Feinstein issued a statement Wednesday that said she’s asked Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to temporarily name another Democrat to the US Senate Judiciary Committee until she is able to return to work.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1681513715,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":28,"wordCount":1435},"headData":{"title":"Feinstein's Prolonged Absence Frustrates Senate Democrats | KQED","description":"Sen. Dianne Feinstein issued a statement Wednesday that said she’s asked Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to temporarily name another Democrat to the US Senate Judiciary Committee until she is able to return to work.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/news/11946577/feinsteins-prolonged-absence-frustrates-senate-democrats","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>With a growing backlog of unconfirmed judicial nominees bottled up in the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11941047/sen-dianne-feinstein-wont-seek-reelection-ending-groundbreaking-political-career\">Sen. Dianne Feinstein\u003c/a> issued a statement Wednesday saying she’s asked Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to temporarily name another Democrat to the panel until she is able to return to work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When I was first diagnosed with shingles, I expected to return by the end of the March work period. Unfortunately, my return to Washington has been delayed due to continued complications related to my diagnosis,” the statement said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I understand that my absence could delay the important work of the Judiciary Committee, so I’ve asked Leader Schumer to ask the Senate to allow another Democratic senator to temporarily serve until I’m able to resume my committee work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But pressure on Feinstein to step aside more permanently is mounting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area Democrat Ro Khanna (D-Fremont) on Wednesday called on Feinstein to give up the seat she has held for more than 30 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna, who has endorsed East Bay U.S. Rep. Barbara Lee in the race to replace Feinstein after she leaves at the end of next year, called on Feinstein to resign to enable the Senate to confirm a backlog of judicial nominations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11946548\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-11946548 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut.jpg\" alt=\"An Indian man with dark hair and eyes wears a light blue business suit and busy orange and green tie sits on a wooden bench outside. He sits crossed-legged with his arms folded on his knee. He looks to the right of the camera. Crowds of people and children are pictured behind him.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/RS38646_IMG_0438-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">US Rep. Ro Khanna of California’s 17th District on Aug. 24, 2019. \u003ccite>(Sruti Mamidanna/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We need to put the country ahead of personal loyalty. While she has had a lifetime of public service, it is obvious she can no longer fulfill her duties,” Khanna said on Twitter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna noted the recent decision from a Trump-appointed judge to reverse the FDA’s 2000 approval of the drug mifepristone, which is used in medical abortions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The ruling by an extremist judge in Texas has made it clear that Democrats must act with speed and urgency to confirm judicial nominees who will protect the right to an abortion. Senator Feinstein is unable to fulfill her duties and for the good of the people, she should resign,” Khanna said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘Senator Feinstein is unable to fulfill her duties and for the good of the people, she should resign.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"US Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Fremont)","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Even if Schumer appoints another Democrat to take Feinstein’s spot on the Judiciary Committee, it’s by no means certain that would fix the problem with confirming judges. Senate rules require unanimous consent from all senators to change a committee member.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with that is that any Republican can object to that,” said Khanna. “I anticipate they will object to that. And that is what is my concern. Now, what happens if they object to it and we have the same problem, that we don’t have our judges being confirmed?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without unanimous consent to replace Feinstein on the committee, Democrats would need to pursue another track, which would require 60 votes, meaning several Republicans would need to cooperate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Khanna is often out of lockstep with his party. In 2021, he was the last Democrat in California’s congressional delegation to endorse U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla, who was up for election after being appointed to the job by Gov. Gavin Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Asked for her thoughts on Feinstein’s status and whether she should step aside, Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi pushed back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s interesting to me, I don’t know what political agendas are at work that are going after Senator Feinstein in that way,” Pelosi said in San Francisco Wednesday. “I’ve never seen them go after a man who was sick in the Senate in that way.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while Khanna is the first elected Democrat from California to openly call on Feinstein to step down, he is unlikely to be the last. Her absence from the evenly divided Senate Judiciary Committee blocks Democrats’ ability to move President Joe Biden’s nominations for the federal bench to a confirmation vote of the full Senate floor.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"More on California ","tag":"california"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Feinstein’s legacy as a groundbreaking Democrat — she was the first woman to serve on the Senate Judiciary Committee — has kept most Democrats from speaking out. But for more than a year, there have been \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11940460/long-before-feinstein-another-california-senator-faced-questions-about-mental-fitness\">whispers from her Senate colleagues\u003c/a> — mostly unnamed — that the 89-year-old senator has been losing her mental acuity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s been some deterioration in her mental acuity. Many senators, many of her colleagues, have mentioned that to me,” said congressional scholar Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You cannot force her to resign,” he added. “You cannot expel her. But what you can do is move her off the [Judiciary] committee. Replace her with another Democrat to get that necessary one-vote margin to begin to move these confirmations through.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Feinstein has missed most of the Senate votes this year, which includes more than two dozen for judicial nominations with some of those from California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It can be very, very difficult to fill those vacancies,” said Jessica Levinson of Loyola Law School in Los Angeles. “So for the Democrats, I think it makes every sense in the world to take the steps necessary to be able to move these judicial nominations,” especially given that “there’s this looming clock that just is starting to tick faster and faster and faster\u003ci>” \u003c/i>as the 2024 election approaches.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘We need to have judges confirmed so that we can recapture some of the balance of the federal judiciary. And right now, Dianne Feinstein, not because of her own choosing, nonetheless, is an obstacle.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Norman Ornstein, congressional scholar, American Enterprise Institute","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“We need to have judges confirmed so that we can recapture some of the balance of the federal judiciary,” Ornstein said. “And right now, Dianne Feinstein, not because of her own choosing, nonetheless, is an obstacle.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American Constitution Society (ACS) tracks vacancies in the federal judiciary and the progress of judicial nominations. According to the ACS, there are now 36 pending vacancies awaiting a vote by the Judiciary Committee and 18 awaiting a vote on the Senate floor. Six more nominees are waiting for a hearing by the Judiciary Committee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ongoing absences are impairing not only the Senate’s ability to confirm judges, but the Senate Judiciary Committee’s ability to advance nominations,” said ACS President Russ Feingold, a former U.S. senator from Wisconsin who served with Feinstein on the Judiciary Committee before he was defeated in 2010.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11946594\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-11946594 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684.jpg\" alt=\"An older white woman with light, brown hair and a blue business suit stands next to another man with gray hair and a gray suit. He holds a yellow folder and is showing the woman a document inside a government building.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/04/GettyImages-1247142684-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) chats with a staffer as she leaves the Senate chamber following a vote at the US Capitol on Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2023, in Washington, DC. Feinstein, California’s longest-serving senator, announced she will not run for reelection next year, marking the end of one of the state’s most storied political careers. Despite ongoing health concerns, she plans to remain in office through the end of her term. \u003ccite>(Kent Nishimura/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If Senator Feinstein expects to be unable to participate in Judiciary Committee activities much longer, she could significantly help the situation by taking the necessary steps to enable another senator to take her seat on the Committee.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Feinstein is vowing to return to work in Washington, it’s by no means certain that she’ll be able to. If she decides to resign before her term ends, Newsom could choose someone to fill out her term. In 2021, Newsom said he would name a Black woman to the seat if he had the opportunity. At the time, Rep. Barbara Lee’s name was floated as a possible appointment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the 2024 Senate campaign now in full swing, however, and Lee one of three prominent Democrats running, along with Congressmembers Adam Schiff and Katie Porter, it’s unlikely Newsom would want to upend voters’ opportunity to choose a successor. But he could name a caretaker who promised not to run for a full six-year term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Senate will reconvene Monday, April 17, after a two-week recess, and if Schumer can move quickly to name another Democrat to the Judiciary Committee, it could name pending nominations as soon as Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story has been updated.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11946577/feinsteins-prolonged-absence-frustrates-senate-democrats","authors":["255"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_18538","news_18012","news_21983","news_176","news_274","news_2582","news_32615","news_17968","news_6238","news_20573"],"featImg":"news_11946539","label":"news"},"news_11934453":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11934453","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11934453","score":null,"sort":[1670442996000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"its-a-world-of-difference-why-warnocks-senate-win-matters-for-democrats","title":"'It's a World of Difference': Why Warnock’s Senate Win Matters for Democrats","publishDate":1670442996,"format":"standard","headTitle":"NPR | KQED News","labelTerm":{"term":253,"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>Incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff could have far-reaching consequences legislatively and politically for Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The truth is it's not a 1% difference,\" Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said earlier this week. \"It's a world of difference.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Warnock's victory over former NFL and University of Georgia star Herschel Walker came after a shortened four-week runoff following a hotly contested election. Neither candidate got more than 50%, which pushed the race to a runoff.[aside postID=news_11934416 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/ap22339677222875_wide-0af19219ab41258231acabc15a5d4f6e572b6b96-1020x574.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the general election and the runoff, this race was the most expensive of the 2022 election cycle with some $425 million spent between the campaigns and outside groups supporting them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though the result only expands the Democratic majority by one, from 50-50 to 51-49, party leadership and interest groups spent the kind of money they did because they clearly saw it as critically important.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Warnock's win now gives Democrats firm control of the Senate and makes life easier for them in a number of ways. It gives them a cushion in trying to pass bills, assured committee control and eliminates procedural hurdles to carry on the business of the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here's how else that two-seat majority could make a big difference for Democrats in the Senate:\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Avoiding power-sharing negotiations\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For Schumer, Warnock's triumph means he does not have to again negotiate a power-sharing arrangement with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2020, Schumer and McConnell settled on an agreement to share power in the evenly split chamber after an early stalemate that stalled the confirmation of President Biden's cabinet nominees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the time, McConnell insisted that Democrats maintain the Senate filibuster requiring 60 members — instead of a simple majority — to end debate on the floor before moving to vote.[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"President Joe Biden\"]'It's always better with 51 ... It's just simply better. The bigger the numbers, the better.'[/pullquote]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>McConnell only dropped his demand after moderate Democrats Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona and Joe Manchin of West Virginia said they wouldn't vote to undercut the filibuster, leaving Schumer short of 51 votes needed to kill the minority party protection.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without McConnell's capitulation, the chamber would have been paralyzed, with Senate Democrats unable to take full control despite being in the majority.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>No one-senator 'veto' power\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Democrats now have enough wiggle room to lose one vote in their caucus and still move bills through the chamber without issue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only will Vice President Harris not likely have to be called in for as many tie-breaking votes, the extra seat has also changed how they factor Manchin into their political calculus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The West Virginia moderate often held his party hostage in the early years of Biden's term, leveraging Democrats' narrow majority to trim some of the president's legislative priorities on votes that needed complete Democratic unity to pass. Manchin often cites not being comfortable voting against the will of his constituents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"I have always said, 'If I can't go back home and explain it, I can't vote for it,'\" Manchin wrote in a 2021 statement explaining his opposition to Biden's Build Back Better Act as it was initially pitched.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though the bill eventually passed that November, Manchin forced negotiations that reduced its size, scope and cost.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Decisive committee makeup\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Because the current power-sharing agreement equally splits the Senate committees, tied votes must undergo an additional vote on the Senate floor to move ahead with bills or nominees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Warnock's win means Democrats will likely have an extra seat on every committee, clearing an open path to passage when senators ubiquitously break on party lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"With 51, we can go bolder and quicker — to show Americans what Democrats stand for,\" said Schumer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the next two years in Congress will likely look different than the last two. Republicans have captured the House majority and with it, waned Democrats' potential to pass major legislation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As such, the party will likely seek to confirm as many judges as it can before 2024, and a 51st seat makes that easier too. A rules change introduced in 2013 by the former Democratic Majority Leader Harry Reid allows just a simple majority for these confirmations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Speaking ahead of Warnock's election, Biden plainly forecasted what a 51st seat would mean for his party. \"It's always better with 51,\" he said, mostly weighing the potential for committee compositions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the committees aside, Warnock's win offers Democrats a clear path for action for the final years of Biden's term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And every one of those seats is going to matter if Democrats have any hope of holding onto the Senate beyond 2024. The party faces a difficult landscape to hold onto control of the chamber in two years with incumbent Senate Democrats up for reelection in places like West Virginia, Montana and Ohio, all Republican-leaning states.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>NPR senior political editor/correspondent Domenico Montanaro contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Sen. Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate, which gives the Democrats a 51–49 majority in the Senate, will have far-reaching consequences legislatively and politically for the Democratic Party.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1670443575,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":28,"wordCount":867},"headData":{"title":"'It's a World of Difference': Why Warnock’s Senate Win Matters for Democrats | KQED","description":"Sen. Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate, which gives the Democrats a 51–49 majority in the Senate, will have far-reaching consequences legislatively and politically for the Democratic Party.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"nprByline":"\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/people/1134107395/juma-sei\">Juma Sei\u003c/a>","excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","showOnAuthorArchivePages":"No","path":"/news/11934453/its-a-world-of-difference-why-warnocks-senate-win-matters-for-democrats","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff could have far-reaching consequences legislatively and politically for Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The truth is it's not a 1% difference,\" Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said earlier this week. \"It's a world of difference.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Warnock's victory over former NFL and University of Georgia star Herschel Walker came after a shortened four-week runoff following a hotly contested election. Neither candidate got more than 50%, which pushed the race to a runoff.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11934416","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/ap22339677222875_wide-0af19219ab41258231acabc15a5d4f6e572b6b96-1020x574.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the general election and the runoff, this race was the most expensive of the 2022 election cycle with some $425 million spent between the campaigns and outside groups supporting them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though the result only expands the Democratic majority by one, from 50-50 to 51-49, party leadership and interest groups spent the kind of money they did because they clearly saw it as critically important.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Warnock's win now gives Democrats firm control of the Senate and makes life easier for them in a number of ways. It gives them a cushion in trying to pass bills, assured committee control and eliminates procedural hurdles to carry on the business of the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here's how else that two-seat majority could make a big difference for Democrats in the Senate:\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Avoiding power-sharing negotiations\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For Schumer, Warnock's triumph means he does not have to again negotiate a power-sharing arrangement with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2020, Schumer and McConnell settled on an agreement to share power in the evenly split chamber after an early stalemate that stalled the confirmation of President Biden's cabinet nominees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the time, McConnell insisted that Democrats maintain the Senate filibuster requiring 60 members — instead of a simple majority — to end debate on the floor before moving to vote.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"'It's always better with 51 ... It's just simply better. The bigger the numbers, the better.'","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"President Joe Biden","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>McConnell only dropped his demand after moderate Democrats Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona and Joe Manchin of West Virginia said they wouldn't vote to undercut the filibuster, leaving Schumer short of 51 votes needed to kill the minority party protection.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without McConnell's capitulation, the chamber would have been paralyzed, with Senate Democrats unable to take full control despite being in the majority.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>No one-senator 'veto' power\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Democrats now have enough wiggle room to lose one vote in their caucus and still move bills through the chamber without issue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only will Vice President Harris not likely have to be called in for as many tie-breaking votes, the extra seat has also changed how they factor Manchin into their political calculus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The West Virginia moderate often held his party hostage in the early years of Biden's term, leveraging Democrats' narrow majority to trim some of the president's legislative priorities on votes that needed complete Democratic unity to pass. Manchin often cites not being comfortable voting against the will of his constituents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"I have always said, 'If I can't go back home and explain it, I can't vote for it,'\" Manchin wrote in a 2021 statement explaining his opposition to Biden's Build Back Better Act as it was initially pitched.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though the bill eventually passed that November, Manchin forced negotiations that reduced its size, scope and cost.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Decisive committee makeup\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Because the current power-sharing agreement equally splits the Senate committees, tied votes must undergo an additional vote on the Senate floor to move ahead with bills or nominees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Warnock's win means Democrats will likely have an extra seat on every committee, clearing an open path to passage when senators ubiquitously break on party lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"With 51, we can go bolder and quicker — to show Americans what Democrats stand for,\" said Schumer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the next two years in Congress will likely look different than the last two. Republicans have captured the House majority and with it, waned Democrats' potential to pass major legislation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As such, the party will likely seek to confirm as many judges as it can before 2024, and a 51st seat makes that easier too. A rules change introduced in 2013 by the former Democratic Majority Leader Harry Reid allows just a simple majority for these confirmations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Speaking ahead of Warnock's election, Biden plainly forecasted what a 51st seat would mean for his party. \"It's always better with 51,\" he said, mostly weighing the potential for committee compositions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the committees aside, Warnock's win offers Democrats a clear path for action for the final years of Biden's term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And every one of those seats is going to matter if Democrats have any hope of holding onto the Senate beyond 2024. The party faces a difficult landscape to hold onto control of the chamber in two years with incumbent Senate Democrats up for reelection in places like West Virginia, Montana and Ohio, all Republican-leaning states.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>NPR senior political editor/correspondent Domenico Montanaro contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11934453/its-a-world-of-difference-why-warnocks-senate-win-matters-for-democrats","authors":["byline_news_11934453"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_21983","news_176","news_32117","news_32114","news_29048"],"affiliates":["news_253"],"featImg":"news_11934454","label":"news_253"},"news_11900094":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11900094","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11900094","score":null,"sort":[1640218291000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"democrats-appear-to-gain-the-upper-hand-in-recasting-of-california-house-districts","title":"Democrats Appear to Gain the Upper Hand in Recasting of California House Districts","publishDate":1640218291,"format":"standard","headTitle":"KQED News","labelTerm":{"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>California Democrats appear to have come away with the advantage in a recasting of the state’s congressional districts, with boundaries that could strengthen their hold on the delegation and play into the fight for U.S. House control next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the new maps left a string of competitive seats that make California something of an outlier in a nation of deeply divided politics: Even though it’s a Democratic stronghold, the new maps suggest Republicans might pull off surprises.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats are defending a fragile eight-seat House majority in a midterm election, when the party that controls the White House typically loses seats in Congress and President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have been shaky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Redistricting fights have been playing out across the country, as Democrats and Republicans look for an edge in future elections. The Justice Department recently sued Texas over its new redistricting maps, saying the plans discriminate against Latinos and other minority voters.[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Hallie Balch, a Republican National Committee spokeswoman\"]'California’s redistricting committee has entirely lost track of the people who reside in the districts they have drawn.’[/pullquote]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California is losing one seat for the first time in its history because the population in other states is growing faster, Texas, Florida, Colorado and North Carolina are among the states gaining seats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An analysis by Sacramento research firm Redistricting Partners found that 44 of the new California House districts would have been carried by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom in his 2018 election, and 45 of the districts tilted to then-candidate Biden in the 2020 presidential race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s an encouraging sign for Democrats, who hope to gain ground in California in 2022 after surrendering four House seats to Republicans in 2020. Democrats hold 42 of the state’s 53-seat House delegation — the largest delegation by far in Congress.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The revised lines were endorsed Monday by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission, which was tasked with drawing new districts to account for shifts in population, a requirement that happens once a decade. Each district must represent 760,000 people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican National Committee spokeswoman Hallie Balch said the panel had created “cakewalk districts” for most Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California’s redistricting committee has entirely lost track of the people who reside in the districts they have drawn,” Balch said in a statement. “These lines are a disappointing end to a long-fought battle for representation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rep. Mike Garcia, a Republican who saw his district north of Los Angeles stripped of the Republican-rich community of Simi Valley, said, “The commission has shown they were not acting independently when they drew all the Democratic incumbents into safer seats while making five out of the 11 Republican districts more vulnerable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I know we will win in this new district regardless,” Garcia wrote on Twitter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First-term Democratic Rep. Sara Jacobs announced Tuesday that she will seek re-election in the new 51st District next year, while Rep. Darrell Issa, a Republican, said he’ll seek election in the new 48th District.[aside postID=\"news_11899971,news_11898480,news_11898329\" label=\"Related Posts\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The 51st District in San Diego County includes portions of both representatives’ current districts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The shuffling of the district borders already has resulted in changes in the delegation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Long-serving California Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard, the first Mexican-American woman elected to Congress, announced Monday she will not seek reelection in her Los Angeles-area district. The decision by the 80-year-old Democratic congresswoman came as her district was largely dismantled by the commission.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shifting district boundary lines appear to have played a role in other House departures. Among them: Republican Rep. Devin Nunes, who was one of former President Donald Trump’s most ardent loyalists in Congress, is leaving the House at the end of this year to join Trump’s fledgling media company, and Democratic Rep. Alan Lowenthal, who represents a district anchored in Long Beach, south of Los Angeles, announced he would retire at the end of his term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The ripple effects continue, and some candidates in key races could shift to nearby districts in search of a more favorable political climate. Republican U.S. Reps. Young Kim and Michelle Steel, who captured Democratic seats all or partly in Orange County in 2020, have yet to announce their plans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, the shifting lines had little effect on the state’s marquee names in the House. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s overwhelmingly Democratic district anchored in San Francisco remained overwhelmingly Democratic. House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy’s district, anchored in Bakersfield, became more solidly Republican in the new maps.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While most attention has focused on California’s loss of a congressional seat, analysts said the legislative maps drawn for 40 state senators and 80 state Assembly members mark big wins for Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The maps essentially lock in Democratic supermajorities for the next 10 years, said Rob Pyers, research director of the nonpartisan California Target Book, which closely tracks redistricting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republicans have been teetering on the brink of irrelevance in the heavily Democratic state for years, and Democrats control every statewide office and dominate the Legislature and congressional delegations. Republicans make up less than a quarter of registered voters, and have lost support in what used to be Republican-leaning suburbs, said Mitchell, of Redistricting Partners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new lines will have a “chilling effect” on Republican hopes of gaining ground in the Legislature, Mitchell said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new lines also recognize the state’s increasing diversity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mitchell said Latinos, the largest racial or ethnic group in California, now represent majorities in 16 House districts. Three districts group together areas with large Asian populations, and two do the same for communities with large numbers of Black residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The borders of Fresno area districts represented by Democratic Rep. Jim Costa and Republican Reps. David Valadao and Devin Nunes shifted significantly. Costa on Tuesday announced he would run in the new 21st District, anchored in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Associated Press Writer Don Thompson in Sacramento contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"California Democrats seemingly have the advantage in a recasting of the state’s congressional districts, with boundaries that could strengthen their hold on the delegation and play into the fight for U.S. House control next year.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1640222504,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":29,"wordCount":1036},"headData":{"title":"Democrats Appear to Gain the Upper Hand in Recasting of California House Districts | KQED","description":"California Democrats seemingly have the advantage in a recasting of the state’s congressional districts, with boundaries that could strengthen their hold on the delegation and play into the fight for U.S. House control next year.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11900094 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11900094","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2021/12/22/democrats-appear-to-gain-the-upper-hand-in-recasting-of-california-house-districts/","disqusTitle":"Democrats Appear to Gain the Upper Hand in Recasting of California House Districts","nprByline":"Michael R. Blood\u003cbr>The Associated Press","excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","showOnAuthorArchivePages":"No","path":"/news/11900094/democrats-appear-to-gain-the-upper-hand-in-recasting-of-california-house-districts","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California Democrats appear to have come away with the advantage in a recasting of the state’s congressional districts, with boundaries that could strengthen their hold on the delegation and play into the fight for U.S. House control next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the new maps left a string of competitive seats that make California something of an outlier in a nation of deeply divided politics: Even though it’s a Democratic stronghold, the new maps suggest Republicans might pull off surprises.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats are defending a fragile eight-seat House majority in a midterm election, when the party that controls the White House typically loses seats in Congress and President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have been shaky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Redistricting fights have been playing out across the country, as Democrats and Republicans look for an edge in future elections. The Justice Department recently sued Texas over its new redistricting maps, saying the plans discriminate against Latinos and other minority voters.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"'California’s redistricting committee has entirely lost track of the people who reside in the districts they have drawn.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Hallie Balch, a Republican National Committee spokeswoman","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California is losing one seat for the first time in its history because the population in other states is growing faster, Texas, Florida, Colorado and North Carolina are among the states gaining seats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An analysis by Sacramento research firm Redistricting Partners found that 44 of the new California House districts would have been carried by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom in his 2018 election, and 45 of the districts tilted to then-candidate Biden in the 2020 presidential race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s an encouraging sign for Democrats, who hope to gain ground in California in 2022 after surrendering four House seats to Republicans in 2020. Democrats hold 42 of the state’s 53-seat House delegation — the largest delegation by far in Congress.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The revised lines were endorsed Monday by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission, which was tasked with drawing new districts to account for shifts in population, a requirement that happens once a decade. Each district must represent 760,000 people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican National Committee spokeswoman Hallie Balch said the panel had created “cakewalk districts” for most Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California’s redistricting committee has entirely lost track of the people who reside in the districts they have drawn,” Balch said in a statement. “These lines are a disappointing end to a long-fought battle for representation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rep. Mike Garcia, a Republican who saw his district north of Los Angeles stripped of the Republican-rich community of Simi Valley, said, “The commission has shown they were not acting independently when they drew all the Democratic incumbents into safer seats while making five out of the 11 Republican districts more vulnerable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I know we will win in this new district regardless,” Garcia wrote on Twitter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First-term Democratic Rep. Sara Jacobs announced Tuesday that she will seek re-election in the new 51st District next year, while Rep. Darrell Issa, a Republican, said he’ll seek election in the new 48th District.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11899971,news_11898480,news_11898329","label":"Related Posts "},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The 51st District in San Diego County includes portions of both representatives’ current districts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The shuffling of the district borders already has resulted in changes in the delegation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Long-serving California Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard, the first Mexican-American woman elected to Congress, announced Monday she will not seek reelection in her Los Angeles-area district. The decision by the 80-year-old Democratic congresswoman came as her district was largely dismantled by the commission.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shifting district boundary lines appear to have played a role in other House departures. Among them: Republican Rep. Devin Nunes, who was one of former President Donald Trump’s most ardent loyalists in Congress, is leaving the House at the end of this year to join Trump’s fledgling media company, and Democratic Rep. Alan Lowenthal, who represents a district anchored in Long Beach, south of Los Angeles, announced he would retire at the end of his term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The ripple effects continue, and some candidates in key races could shift to nearby districts in search of a more favorable political climate. Republican U.S. Reps. Young Kim and Michelle Steel, who captured Democratic seats all or partly in Orange County in 2020, have yet to announce their plans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, the shifting lines had little effect on the state’s marquee names in the House. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s overwhelmingly Democratic district anchored in San Francisco remained overwhelmingly Democratic. House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy’s district, anchored in Bakersfield, became more solidly Republican in the new maps.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While most attention has focused on California’s loss of a congressional seat, analysts said the legislative maps drawn for 40 state senators and 80 state Assembly members mark big wins for Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The maps essentially lock in Democratic supermajorities for the next 10 years, said Rob Pyers, research director of the nonpartisan California Target Book, which closely tracks redistricting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republicans have been teetering on the brink of irrelevance in the heavily Democratic state for years, and Democrats control every statewide office and dominate the Legislature and congressional delegations. Republicans make up less than a quarter of registered voters, and have lost support in what used to be Republican-leaning suburbs, said Mitchell, of Redistricting Partners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new lines will have a “chilling effect” on Republican hopes of gaining ground in the Legislature, Mitchell said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new lines also recognize the state’s increasing diversity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mitchell said Latinos, the largest racial or ethnic group in California, now represent majorities in 16 House districts. Three districts group together areas with large Asian populations, and two do the same for communities with large numbers of Black residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The borders of Fresno area districts represented by Democratic Rep. Jim Costa and Republican Reps. David Valadao and Devin Nunes shifted significantly. Costa on Tuesday announced he would run in the new 21st District, anchored in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Associated Press Writer Don Thompson in Sacramento contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11900094/democrats-appear-to-gain-the-upper-hand-in-recasting-of-california-house-districts","authors":["byline_news_11900094"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_29954","news_176","news_30428","news_24474","news_282","news_386"],"featImg":"news_11900107","label":"news"},"news_11888513":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11888513","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11888513","score":null,"sort":[1631664230000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"heres-three-different-ways-the-recall-election-could-go","title":"Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go","publishDate":1631664230,"format":"standard","headTitle":"CALmatters | KQED News","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Don't have time to read the whole post? Jump to a specific recall election scenario:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#wins\">Newsom defeats the election by a lot.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#little\">Newsom survives — but by a small margin.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#loses\">Newsom is removed from office.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For nearly 25 years, Gov. Gavin Newsom rose through the ranks of California politics without ever losing an election, buoyed by connections to powerful San Francisco Democrats and a willingness to take risks — like sanctioning marriage equality — that put him at the vanguard of his party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The governor’s attention-grabbing style — implementing the nation’s first stay-at-home order in March 2020, then dining at an exclusive wine country restaurant as he told people to stay home to avoid a winter surge — rubbed enough Californians the wrong way that 1.7 million voters launched the second gubernatorial recall in state history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To fight back, the Democratic leader of one of the nation’s bluest states returned to what helped him succeed in the early days: connections to fellow Democrats and well-calculated policy risks — this time, to fight COVID-19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At a campaign rally in Long Beach on Monday night, President Joe Biden heaped praise on Newsom’s management of the pandemic. Newsom this summer made California the first state in the nation to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/2021/07/california-vaccine-requirements-workers/\">require vaccines for health care workers and state employees\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Gavin Newsom has had the courage to lead, to stand up for science,” Biden said. “He’s been one of the leading governors in the nation protecting people and vaccinating his state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Echoing Newsom’s campaign message framing the GOP-led recall as an act of “Trumpism,” Biden described the leading Republican candidate — talk radio host \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-larry-elder/\">Larry Elder\u003c/a> — as “the clone of Donald Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine him being governor of this state? You can’t let that happen,” said Biden, who beat Trump in California last year \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2020-general/sov/18-presidential.pdf\">by 30 points\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888533\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888533 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom, waving, smile as they stand stand before an American flag.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-800x534.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom wave to the crowd as they campaign to keep the governor in office at Long Beach City College on the eve of the last day of the special election to recall the governor on Sept. 13, 2021, in Long Beach. Forty-six candidates, mostly Republicans, ran to overthrow the governor in the recall election a year ahead of the regularly scheduled gubernatorial vote. \u003ccite>( David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hosting the president the day before the election is just one sign of how much the power of incumbency has boosted Newsom in this race. With no legal cap on his fundraising against the recall, Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-recall-money/\">raised five times as much as all his opponents combined\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom's team managed to haul $5.5 million from the Democratic Governors Association, $3 million from Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and more than $7.6 million from public employee unions. He ran ads featuring nationally known Democrats including former President Barack Obama and U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the governor used the trappings of his office in unusual, attention-grabbing ways. He blasted critics “promoting partisan political power grabs” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/03/newsom-pandemic-response-voters/\">during a State of the State speech\u003c/a> on the field of Dodger Stadium that served as an unofficial campaign kickoff. He \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-spending-spree-california-budget/\">used an enormous $76 billion state budget surplus\u003c/a> to address pandemic-induced hardships, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-retirees-stimulus-payments/\">sending $600 stimulus payments to most Californians\u003c/a> — checks that landed just before the election.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003cbr>\nIn the final days of the campaign, Newsom leaned into COVID even further, contrasting his vaccine and mask requirements with his GOP opponents who say they’ll repeal them — and hammering a message of fear. “What’s at stake in the Sept. 14 recall? It’s a matter of life and death,” \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/8DbZC0alxSE\">one Newsom ad says\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Rob Stutzman, Republican consultant\"]'One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to … probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide.'[/pullquote]Having persuaded prominent Democrats to stay out of the race to replace him, Newsom finished the campaign betting that the pandemic that fueled populist angst to take him down will also stimulate the support he needs to keep his job.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to, in the end, probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide,” said GOP consultant Rob Stutzman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Did Newsom’s strategy work? We’ll find out after polls close tonight at 8 p.m. It may take elections officials a few days to determine the results, depending on how close the race is. Here’s a look at the three possible scenarios:\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888552\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888552 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Gov. Newsom throws a few small lottery balls into the air in front of the Universal Studios globe statue.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1701\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-800x532.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1020x678.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-160x106.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1536x1021.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-2048x1361.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1920x1276.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom attends a press conference marking the official reopening of the state of California at Universal Studios Hollywood on June 15, 2021, in Universal City. At the press conference, Newsom also selected 10 state residents to receive $1.5 million each as part of the final cash prize drawing in the state’s Vax for the Win program. \u003ccite>(Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"wins\">\u003c/a>Newsom defeats the election by a lot\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s effort to win reelection in 2022 kicks off as soon as the recall votes are tallied. If the governor beats back the recall by a double-digit margin — \u003ca href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/?cid=rrpromo\">as recent polls indicate is likely\u003c/a> — he could claim an authority that could empower him in at least two ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, he could continue governing the final year of this term with the same priorities he’s had all along — for enacting progressive social policy and taking a relatively strict approach to managing the coronavirus pandemic. Second, he could coast toward the 2022 campaign without fear of a credible challenger from his own party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888162\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51414_005_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg\"]An overwhelming victory also could demonstrate to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/09/the-california-recall-could-be-a-road-map-for-democrats/620020/\">other Democrats on the ballot\u003c/a> next year that leaning into COVID vaccine mandates — and painting GOP resistance to them as a public health danger — is a successful strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a great thing when good public policy winds up with good politics,” said Ace Smith, Newsom’s longtime political strategist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stutzman agreed, saying that a big margin for Newsom would show that voters favor his strict approach on vaccines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“His team figured out that once a majority of voters were vaccinated, it becomes a popular idea to put forward policies that are in the best interest of those who are vaccinated,” said Stutzman, who worked on Arnold Schwarzenegger’s successful campaign in the 2003 recall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They figured it out before the White House did.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Biden \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/lifestyle-joe-biden-business-health-travel-a1670ffa08f1f2eab42c675d99f1d9ad\">required federal government employees to get vaccinated\u003c/a> days after Newsom’s first announcement. He then followed it up last week with a \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/09/us/politics/biden-vaccine-federal-workers.html\">broader mandate for employees at private companies\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if Newsom pulls through by a large margin, a show of strength now does not guarantee long-term political success. Any ambitions Newsom may have to run for president will be shaped by a lot more than defeating this recall, said Democratic strategist Paul Maslin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What he does on a host of issues that are very difficult over the next year — or the next five years if he has a second term — will be much more important to how he is judged,” Maslin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Paul Maslin, Democratic strategist\"]'If [Newsom] does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce [his] status … what it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.'[/pullquote]“Ultimately I don’t know that it will mean that much in the story of Gavin Newsom or California. It will be sort of a diversion that he had to respond to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maslin, who worked on campaigns against the 2003 recall of former Gov. Gray Davis and for the failed recall of Republican former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, pointed to the example of Walker, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/06/05/154384654/live-blog-wisconsin-decides-governors-fate-in-recall-vote\">beat back a recall in 2012\u003c/a>, won reelection in 2014 and was seen as a strong contender for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Walker's \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/09/21/442313437/reports-scott-walker-ending-presidential-campaign\">presidential campaign flopped\u003c/a>. And then in 2018, he ran for reelection as governor — and lost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Newsom was always going to be the huge favorite for reelection, and if he does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce that status,” Maslin said. “What it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888553\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888553 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg\" alt='Gov. Gavin Newsom stands at a podium with a stern look, a large lighted sign beyond him that says, \"Vote.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a campaign event with President Joe Biden at Long Beach City College in Long Beach on Sept. 13, 2021. “If [Newsom] limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"little\">\u003c/a>Newsom survives by a little\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Defeating the recall by a narrow margin — \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2018-general/sov/21-governor.pdf\">significantly less than his 24-percentage-point\u003c/a> win over Republican \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-john-cox/\">John Cox in 2018\u003c/a> — could weaken Newsom as he heads into reelection next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If he limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. “Another Democrat will think they could do better and they can take him on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888182\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/07/Capitol-1180x787-3-1020x680.jpeg\"]Republicans who backed the recall could claim a kind of victory from weakening the governor, even if they failed to throw him out of office. Some of them already are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s spent $80 million, he’s in the fight of his life, he’s called in the president and the vice president,” said Anne Dunsmore, a recall campaign manager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s taking it seriously and he’s using a lot of resources to combat us … We’ve already won. We’ve made our point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A narrow win would also likely trigger lawsuits over the validity of the election results. Conservative commentators have already begun saying, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-election-fraud-myths/\">with no evidence\u003c/a>, that voter fraud \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/12/us/politics/gop-voter-fraud-california-recall.html\">will be to blame if Newsom\u003c/a> remains in office. Former President Donald Trump \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/LATSeema/status/1437461490232037380?s=20\">issued a statement\u003c/a> Monday calling the recall “another giant Election Scam.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder has said he \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">plans to file lawsuits over election irregularities\u003c/a>. His website \u003ca href=\"https://stopcafraud.com/\">links to another site\u003c/a> that asks voters to sign a petition “demanding a special session of the California legislature to investigate and ameliorate the twisted results of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom called Elder’s stance “an extension of the Big Lie” that Trump stoked about his loss last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The election hasn’t even happened and now they’re all fanning election fraud,” Newsom said Friday. “I encourage voters to come out in overwhelming numbers … So we can put all this nonsense to rest.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888537\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888537 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg\" alt='Larry Elder stands near a podium sign that reads, \"Yes on Recall, The People v. Newsom.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1494\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-800x467.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1020x595.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-160x93.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1536x897.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-2048x1196.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1920x1121.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gubernatorial recall candidate Larry Elder looks on as he is introduced at an event in Monterey Park, California, on Sept. 13, 2021, the last day before the Sept. 14 recall election of California Gov. Gavin Newsom. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"loses\">\u003c/a>Newsom is removed from office\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>More recent polls have consistently indicated that it’s unlikely the recall will prevail. If voters do throw Newsom out of office, it will show\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/09/newsom-recall-poll-campaign/\"> how difficult it is for pollsters to predict an unusual election\u003c/a> such as a gubernatorial recall, where it can be hard to measure how many voters will turn out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, older and white voters are returning their ballots at a higher rate than other demographic groups, \u003ca href=\"https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-special-election-tracker/\">according to tabulations by Political Data Inc.\u003c/a> If the recall is successful, it may be because \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-young-voters/\">younger voters\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-latino-voters/\">Latino voters\u003c/a> — key blocs in the Democratic coalition — don’t cast ballots, or vote to recall Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11886134\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/08/GettyImages-2586310-1020x740.jpg\"]A successful recall would be a huge victory for the California GOP, which has been beleaguered and shrinking for many years. If Newsom is recalled, the new governor — most likely talk radio host Elder — would be sworn in by the end of October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though a Republican governor \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-republicans-govern/\">would face many hurdles enacting new laws\u003c/a> because of the huge majority Democrats have in the Legislature, he could have the chance to make a significant political appointment, should Democratic U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who is 88, become unable to finish her term. Elder has said he would appoint a Republican to her seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why Democrat Christine Pelosi said that if Newsom is recalled, California lawmakers should immediately call a special session and change the rules for how political vacancies are filled in the Senate and state constitutional offices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, there are few limits on whom the governor can appoint to those positions. Pelosi, the daughter of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and an officer with the California Democratic Party, said the rules could be changed to require replacement by someone from the same party as the outgoing official.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The Legislature can do that,” she said. “And in my view they should.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Every governor since 1960 has faced an attempted recall, but most efforts fell short of the signatures needed to qualify for the ballot. Would liberal activists try to recall a Republican winner of this recall?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s possible. But it seems unlikely, given the time involved in mounting a recall and the regularly scheduled gubernatorial election next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Timing wise, it doesn’t make sense,” Pelosi said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>And no matter what …\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Expect California lawmakers to begin working on possible changes to the recall process. Whether there will be bipartisan support for an overhaul is unclear. But Democratic leaders said they intend to start examining the recall rules later this year or early next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='recall-election']“We’ve heard that people want change, and we in the Legislature will take a look at that,” state Senate leader Toni Atkins told reporters on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon echoed her view, saying the recall system “was set up a century ago. The extent to which it’s still valid in its current form … merits discussion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surveys have shown that California voters \u003ca href=\"https://www.igs.berkeley.edu/research/berkeley-igs-poll\">support changing the recall rules\u003c/a>. Potential changes could include a runoff if no replacement candidate receives a majority of the vote, making it harder for recalls to qualify for the ballot and limiting recalls to situations where a public official has broken the law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such changes would require approval from voters. So any plan that lawmakers come up with would likely go on the ballot next year in the form of a statewide initiative.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s right: Voting in the recall election ends this Tuesday. But recall rules may be on the ballot next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>CalMatters reporter Mikhail Zinshteyn contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"With a few hours left in the California recall election, we look at three different possible scenarios for the outcome.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1631727609,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":56,"wordCount":2576},"headData":{"title":"Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go | KQED","description":"With a few hours left in the California recall election, we look at three different possible scenarios for the outcome.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11888513 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11888513","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2021/09/14/heres-three-different-ways-the-recall-election-could-go/","disqusTitle":"Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go","source":"CalMatters","sourceUrl":"https://calmatters.org/","nprByline":"\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/author/laurel-rosenhall/\">Laurel Rosenhall\u003c/a>","path":"/news/11888513/heres-three-different-ways-the-recall-election-could-go","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Don't have time to read the whole post? Jump to a specific recall election scenario:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#wins\">Newsom defeats the election by a lot.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#little\">Newsom survives — but by a small margin.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#loses\">Newsom is removed from office.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For nearly 25 years, Gov. Gavin Newsom rose through the ranks of California politics without ever losing an election, buoyed by connections to powerful San Francisco Democrats and a willingness to take risks — like sanctioning marriage equality — that put him at the vanguard of his party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The governor’s attention-grabbing style — implementing the nation’s first stay-at-home order in March 2020, then dining at an exclusive wine country restaurant as he told people to stay home to avoid a winter surge — rubbed enough Californians the wrong way that 1.7 million voters launched the second gubernatorial recall in state history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To fight back, the Democratic leader of one of the nation’s bluest states returned to what helped him succeed in the early days: connections to fellow Democrats and well-calculated policy risks — this time, to fight COVID-19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At a campaign rally in Long Beach on Monday night, President Joe Biden heaped praise on Newsom’s management of the pandemic. Newsom this summer made California the first state in the nation to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/2021/07/california-vaccine-requirements-workers/\">require vaccines for health care workers and state employees\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Gavin Newsom has had the courage to lead, to stand up for science,” Biden said. “He’s been one of the leading governors in the nation protecting people and vaccinating his state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Echoing Newsom’s campaign message framing the GOP-led recall as an act of “Trumpism,” Biden described the leading Republican candidate — talk radio host \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-larry-elder/\">Larry Elder\u003c/a> — as “the clone of Donald Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine him being governor of this state? You can’t let that happen,” said Biden, who beat Trump in California last year \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2020-general/sov/18-presidential.pdf\">by 30 points\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888533\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888533 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom, waving, smile as they stand stand before an American flag.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-800x534.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom wave to the crowd as they campaign to keep the governor in office at Long Beach City College on the eve of the last day of the special election to recall the governor on Sept. 13, 2021, in Long Beach. Forty-six candidates, mostly Republicans, ran to overthrow the governor in the recall election a year ahead of the regularly scheduled gubernatorial vote. \u003ccite>( David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hosting the president the day before the election is just one sign of how much the power of incumbency has boosted Newsom in this race. With no legal cap on his fundraising against the recall, Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-recall-money/\">raised five times as much as all his opponents combined\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom's team managed to haul $5.5 million from the Democratic Governors Association, $3 million from Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and more than $7.6 million from public employee unions. He ran ads featuring nationally known Democrats including former President Barack Obama and U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the governor used the trappings of his office in unusual, attention-grabbing ways. He blasted critics “promoting partisan political power grabs” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/03/newsom-pandemic-response-voters/\">during a State of the State speech\u003c/a> on the field of Dodger Stadium that served as an unofficial campaign kickoff. He \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-spending-spree-california-budget/\">used an enormous $76 billion state budget surplus\u003c/a> to address pandemic-induced hardships, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-retirees-stimulus-payments/\">sending $600 stimulus payments to most Californians\u003c/a> — checks that landed just before the election.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nIn the final days of the campaign, Newsom leaned into COVID even further, contrasting his vaccine and mask requirements with his GOP opponents who say they’ll repeal them — and hammering a message of fear. “What’s at stake in the Sept. 14 recall? It’s a matter of life and death,” \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/8DbZC0alxSE\">one Newsom ad says\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"'One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to … probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide.'","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Rob Stutzman, Republican consultant","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Having persuaded prominent Democrats to stay out of the race to replace him, Newsom finished the campaign betting that the pandemic that fueled populist angst to take him down will also stimulate the support he needs to keep his job.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to, in the end, probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide,” said GOP consultant Rob Stutzman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Did Newsom’s strategy work? We’ll find out after polls close tonight at 8 p.m. It may take elections officials a few days to determine the results, depending on how close the race is. Here’s a look at the three possible scenarios:\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888552\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888552 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Gov. Newsom throws a few small lottery balls into the air in front of the Universal Studios globe statue.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1701\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-800x532.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1020x678.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-160x106.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1536x1021.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-2048x1361.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1920x1276.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom attends a press conference marking the official reopening of the state of California at Universal Studios Hollywood on June 15, 2021, in Universal City. At the press conference, Newsom also selected 10 state residents to receive $1.5 million each as part of the final cash prize drawing in the state’s Vax for the Win program. \u003ccite>(Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"wins\">\u003c/a>Newsom defeats the election by a lot\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s effort to win reelection in 2022 kicks off as soon as the recall votes are tallied. If the governor beats back the recall by a double-digit margin — \u003ca href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/?cid=rrpromo\">as recent polls indicate is likely\u003c/a> — he could claim an authority that could empower him in at least two ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, he could continue governing the final year of this term with the same priorities he’s had all along — for enacting progressive social policy and taking a relatively strict approach to managing the coronavirus pandemic. Second, he could coast toward the 2022 campaign without fear of a credible challenger from his own party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11888162","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51414_005_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>An overwhelming victory also could demonstrate to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/09/the-california-recall-could-be-a-road-map-for-democrats/620020/\">other Democrats on the ballot\u003c/a> next year that leaning into COVID vaccine mandates — and painting GOP resistance to them as a public health danger — is a successful strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a great thing when good public policy winds up with good politics,” said Ace Smith, Newsom’s longtime political strategist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stutzman agreed, saying that a big margin for Newsom would show that voters favor his strict approach on vaccines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“His team figured out that once a majority of voters were vaccinated, it becomes a popular idea to put forward policies that are in the best interest of those who are vaccinated,” said Stutzman, who worked on Arnold Schwarzenegger’s successful campaign in the 2003 recall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They figured it out before the White House did.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Biden \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/lifestyle-joe-biden-business-health-travel-a1670ffa08f1f2eab42c675d99f1d9ad\">required federal government employees to get vaccinated\u003c/a> days after Newsom’s first announcement. He then followed it up last week with a \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/09/us/politics/biden-vaccine-federal-workers.html\">broader mandate for employees at private companies\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if Newsom pulls through by a large margin, a show of strength now does not guarantee long-term political success. Any ambitions Newsom may have to run for president will be shaped by a lot more than defeating this recall, said Democratic strategist Paul Maslin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What he does on a host of issues that are very difficult over the next year — or the next five years if he has a second term — will be much more important to how he is judged,” Maslin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"'If [Newsom] does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce [his] status … what it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.'","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Paul Maslin, Democratic strategist","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Ultimately I don’t know that it will mean that much in the story of Gavin Newsom or California. It will be sort of a diversion that he had to respond to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maslin, who worked on campaigns against the 2003 recall of former Gov. Gray Davis and for the failed recall of Republican former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, pointed to the example of Walker, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/06/05/154384654/live-blog-wisconsin-decides-governors-fate-in-recall-vote\">beat back a recall in 2012\u003c/a>, won reelection in 2014 and was seen as a strong contender for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Walker's \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/09/21/442313437/reports-scott-walker-ending-presidential-campaign\">presidential campaign flopped\u003c/a>. And then in 2018, he ran for reelection as governor — and lost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Newsom was always going to be the huge favorite for reelection, and if he does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce that status,” Maslin said. “What it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888553\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888553 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg\" alt='Gov. Gavin Newsom stands at a podium with a stern look, a large lighted sign beyond him that says, \"Vote.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-800x533.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-160x107.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a campaign event with President Joe Biden at Long Beach City College in Long Beach on Sept. 13, 2021. “If [Newsom] limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"little\">\u003c/a>Newsom survives by a little\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Defeating the recall by a narrow margin — \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2018-general/sov/21-governor.pdf\">significantly less than his 24-percentage-point\u003c/a> win over Republican \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-john-cox/\">John Cox in 2018\u003c/a> — could weaken Newsom as he heads into reelection next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If he limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. “Another Democrat will think they could do better and they can take him on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11888182","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/07/Capitol-1180x787-3-1020x680.jpeg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Republicans who backed the recall could claim a kind of victory from weakening the governor, even if they failed to throw him out of office. Some of them already are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s spent $80 million, he’s in the fight of his life, he’s called in the president and the vice president,” said Anne Dunsmore, a recall campaign manager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s taking it seriously and he’s using a lot of resources to combat us … We’ve already won. We’ve made our point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A narrow win would also likely trigger lawsuits over the validity of the election results. Conservative commentators have already begun saying, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-election-fraud-myths/\">with no evidence\u003c/a>, that voter fraud \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/12/us/politics/gop-voter-fraud-california-recall.html\">will be to blame if Newsom\u003c/a> remains in office. Former President Donald Trump \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/LATSeema/status/1437461490232037380?s=20\">issued a statement\u003c/a> Monday calling the recall “another giant Election Scam.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder has said he \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">plans to file lawsuits over election irregularities\u003c/a>. His website \u003ca href=\"https://stopcafraud.com/\">links to another site\u003c/a> that asks voters to sign a petition “demanding a special session of the California legislature to investigate and ameliorate the twisted results of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom called Elder’s stance “an extension of the Big Lie” that Trump stoked about his loss last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The election hasn’t even happened and now they’re all fanning election fraud,” Newsom said Friday. “I encourage voters to come out in overwhelming numbers … So we can put all this nonsense to rest.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888537\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11888537 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg\" alt='Larry Elder stands near a podium sign that reads, \"Yes on Recall, The People v. Newsom.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1494\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-800x467.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1020x595.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-160x93.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1536x897.jpg 1536w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-2048x1196.jpg 2048w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1920x1121.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gubernatorial recall candidate Larry Elder looks on as he is introduced at an event in Monterey Park, California, on Sept. 13, 2021, the last day before the Sept. 14 recall election of California Gov. Gavin Newsom. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"loses\">\u003c/a>Newsom is removed from office\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>More recent polls have consistently indicated that it’s unlikely the recall will prevail. If voters do throw Newsom out of office, it will show\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/09/newsom-recall-poll-campaign/\"> how difficult it is for pollsters to predict an unusual election\u003c/a> such as a gubernatorial recall, where it can be hard to measure how many voters will turn out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, older and white voters are returning their ballots at a higher rate than other demographic groups, \u003ca href=\"https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-special-election-tracker/\">according to tabulations by Political Data Inc.\u003c/a> If the recall is successful, it may be because \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-young-voters/\">younger voters\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-latino-voters/\">Latino voters\u003c/a> — key blocs in the Democratic coalition — don’t cast ballots, or vote to recall Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11886134","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/08/GettyImages-2586310-1020x740.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>A successful recall would be a huge victory for the California GOP, which has been beleaguered and shrinking for many years. If Newsom is recalled, the new governor — most likely talk radio host Elder — would be sworn in by the end of October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though a Republican governor \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-republicans-govern/\">would face many hurdles enacting new laws\u003c/a> because of the huge majority Democrats have in the Legislature, he could have the chance to make a significant political appointment, should Democratic U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who is 88, become unable to finish her term. Elder has said he would appoint a Republican to her seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why Democrat Christine Pelosi said that if Newsom is recalled, California lawmakers should immediately call a special session and change the rules for how political vacancies are filled in the Senate and state constitutional offices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, there are few limits on whom the governor can appoint to those positions. Pelosi, the daughter of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and an officer with the California Democratic Party, said the rules could be changed to require replacement by someone from the same party as the outgoing official.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The Legislature can do that,” she said. “And in my view they should.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Every governor since 1960 has faced an attempted recall, but most efforts fell short of the signatures needed to qualify for the ballot. Would liberal activists try to recall a Republican winner of this recall?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s possible. But it seems unlikely, given the time involved in mounting a recall and the regularly scheduled gubernatorial election next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Timing wise, it doesn’t make sense,” Pelosi said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>And no matter what …\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Expect California lawmakers to begin working on possible changes to the recall process. Whether there will be bipartisan support for an overhaul is unclear. But Democratic leaders said they intend to start examining the recall rules later this year or early next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Coverage ","tag":"recall-election"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“We’ve heard that people want change, and we in the Legislature will take a look at that,” state Senate leader Toni Atkins told reporters on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon echoed her view, saying the recall system “was set up a century ago. The extent to which it’s still valid in its current form … merits discussion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surveys have shown that California voters \u003ca href=\"https://www.igs.berkeley.edu/research/berkeley-igs-poll\">support changing the recall rules\u003c/a>. Potential changes could include a runoff if no replacement candidate receives a majority of the vote, making it harder for recalls to qualify for the ballot and limiting recalls to situations where a public official has broken the law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such changes would require approval from voters. So any plan that lawmakers come up with would likely go on the ballot next year in the form of a statewide initiative.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s right: Voting in the recall election ends this Tuesday. But recall rules may be on the ballot next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>CalMatters reporter Mikhail Zinshteyn contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11888513/heres-three-different-ways-the-recall-election-could-go","authors":["byline_news_11888513"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_29465","news_29905","news_176","news_16","news_29392","news_717","news_29678","news_21509","news_29647","news_386"],"affiliates":["news_18481"],"featImg":"news_11888528","label":"source_news_11888513"},"news_11732239":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11732239","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11732239","score":null,"sort":[1552513294000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"california-republicans-hoping-a-fresh-face-means-a-fresh-start","title":"California Republicans Hoping a Fresh Face Means a Fresh Start","publishDate":1552513294,"format":"audio","headTitle":"The California Report | KQED News","labelTerm":{"term":72,"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>The new chair of the California Republican Party doesn’t resemble any of the past party leaders. Jessica Patterson is a woman, a millennial and a Latina. And party leaders are hoping she’s the person who can bring it back from the brink of extinction.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson, 38, didn’t highlight the differences between her and past party chairs when she was campaigning for the job. But she admits she \u003cem>does\u003c/em> see her identity as a bonus as the California GOP begins the task of reaching out to a more diverse group of voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11731114\" label=\"3 Women Are Now the California GOP's Most Prominent Leaders]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are definitely communities that have felt neglected by our party over the years,\" she said. \"And so I think that it's incumbent on all Republicans to make sure that we are working to grow our party.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, in recent years, millennials, Latinos, Asians and other voters of color have abandoned the party in droves. \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/ror/ror-odd-year-2019/historical-reg-stats.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Republicans now rank third in registered voters\u003c/a> behind Democrats and those with no party preference. That trend has been happening for decades. But Patterson is convinced she can turn things around. She acknowledges it won't happen overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"I don't think that there's any silver bullet,\" she said. \"It's going to take a lot of engagement. The Democrats have beat us in a lot of ways over the last few years. One of the ways that they have particularly beat us was by showing up.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson, who lives in Simi Valley, has a long history with the party, which she began volunteering for in high school. She's currently the CEO of California Trailblazers, which recruits and trains Republican candidates for state legislative office. She worked on the campaign for Meg Whitman’s 2010 gubernatorial run and for Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s 2006 re-election, which was the last year a Republican won a statewide race — along with Steve Poizner, who was elected California insurance commissioner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s a serious player, very thoughtful person, great vision,\" Schwarzenegger said. \"So I have great hopes now that there will be some changes happening.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while Patterson has been embraced by party moderates,\u003ca href=\"https://www.facebook.com/notes/jessica-patterson-cagop-chairwoman/i-wanted-to-let-you-know-that-i-am-running-for-crp-chairman/1925802304206051/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> she calls herself a proud conservative\u003c/a> who is against abortion, pro-gun rights, pro-border security and strongly anti-tax. Those positions have won her the support of prominent state Republicans like U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and state Senate Republican Leader Shannon Grove, both of Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11728579\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-medium wp-image-11728579\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-800x600.jpg\" alt=\"Political consultant Jessica Patterson has been elected as the new chair of the California Republican Party.\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-800x600.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-160x120.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-1200x900.jpg 1200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Political consultant Jessica Patterson was elected in February 2019 as the new chair of the California Republican Party. \u003ccite>(Katie Orr/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I'm one of the most conservative legislators on the state Senate floor,\" Grove said, \"and I think Jessica's going to be the right person for the party.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to the Democratic Party, Patterson is blunt. During the Republican state convention in February, she called Democratic lawmakers the enemy. And she said she believes they’ll overplay their hand.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Whether it's taxing big gulps or plastic straws or reusable cup fees or gas, these are all taxes on the middle class and it's making it largely unaffordable for people all over California,\" she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of course that was gubernatorial candidate John Cox's message, too, and he lost to Gavin Newsom last year by nearly 3 million votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson said she’s already getting to work raising money and coordinating the party message. Her first big test will come in the 2020 primary, when Republicans could take the first step toward making up some much-needed ground.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Jessica Patterson takes over as party chair at a time when the state GOP needs to expand its reach. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1552600223,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":16,"wordCount":619},"headData":{"title":"California Republicans Hoping a Fresh Face Means a Fresh Start | KQED","description":"Jessica Patterson takes over as party chair at a time when the state GOP needs to expand its reach. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11732239 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11732239","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2019/03/13/california-republicans-hoping-a-fresh-face-means-a-fresh-start/","disqusTitle":"California Republicans Hoping a Fresh Face Means a Fresh Start","audioUrl":"https://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/tcr/2019/03/OrrPatterson.mp3","audioTrackLength":166,"path":"/news/11732239/california-republicans-hoping-a-fresh-face-means-a-fresh-start","audioDuration":166000,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The new chair of the California Republican Party doesn’t resemble any of the past party leaders. Jessica Patterson is a woman, a millennial and a Latina. And party leaders are hoping she’s the person who can bring it back from the brink of extinction.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson, 38, didn’t highlight the differences between her and past party chairs when she was campaigning for the job. But she admits she \u003cem>does\u003c/em> see her identity as a bonus as the California GOP begins the task of reaching out to a more diverse group of voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11731114","label":"label=\"3 Women Are Now the California GOP's Most Prominent Leaders"},"numeric":["label=\"3","Women","Are","Now","the","California","GOP's","Most","Prominent","Leaders"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are definitely communities that have felt neglected by our party over the years,\" she said. \"And so I think that it's incumbent on all Republicans to make sure that we are working to grow our party.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, in recent years, millennials, Latinos, Asians and other voters of color have abandoned the party in droves. \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/ror/ror-odd-year-2019/historical-reg-stats.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Republicans now rank third in registered voters\u003c/a> behind Democrats and those with no party preference. That trend has been happening for decades. But Patterson is convinced she can turn things around. She acknowledges it won't happen overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"I don't think that there's any silver bullet,\" she said. \"It's going to take a lot of engagement. The Democrats have beat us in a lot of ways over the last few years. One of the ways that they have particularly beat us was by showing up.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson, who lives in Simi Valley, has a long history with the party, which she began volunteering for in high school. She's currently the CEO of California Trailblazers, which recruits and trains Republican candidates for state legislative office. She worked on the campaign for Meg Whitman’s 2010 gubernatorial run and for Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s 2006 re-election, which was the last year a Republican won a statewide race — along with Steve Poizner, who was elected California insurance commissioner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She’s a serious player, very thoughtful person, great vision,\" Schwarzenegger said. \"So I have great hopes now that there will be some changes happening.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while Patterson has been embraced by party moderates,\u003ca href=\"https://www.facebook.com/notes/jessica-patterson-cagop-chairwoman/i-wanted-to-let-you-know-that-i-am-running-for-crp-chairman/1925802304206051/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> she calls herself a proud conservative\u003c/a> who is against abortion, pro-gun rights, pro-border security and strongly anti-tax. Those positions have won her the support of prominent state Republicans like U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and state Senate Republican Leader Shannon Grove, both of Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11728579\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-medium wp-image-11728579\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-800x600.jpg\" alt=\"Political consultant Jessica Patterson has been elected as the new chair of the California Republican Party.\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-800x600.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-160x120.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut-1200x900.jpg 1200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2019/02/RS35430_Patterson-pic-qut.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Political consultant Jessica Patterson was elected in February 2019 as the new chair of the California Republican Party. \u003ccite>(Katie Orr/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I'm one of the most conservative legislators on the state Senate floor,\" Grove said, \"and I think Jessica's going to be the right person for the party.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to the Democratic Party, Patterson is blunt. During the Republican state convention in February, she called Democratic lawmakers the enemy. And she said she believes they’ll overplay their hand.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Whether it's taxing big gulps or plastic straws or reusable cup fees or gas, these are all taxes on the middle class and it's making it largely unaffordable for people all over California,\" she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of course that was gubernatorial candidate John Cox's message, too, and he lost to Gavin Newsom last year by nearly 3 million votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Patterson said she’s already getting to work raising money and coordinating the party message. Her first big test will come in the 2020 primary, when Republicans could take the first step toward making up some much-needed ground.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11732239/california-republicans-hoping-a-fresh-face-means-a-fresh-start","authors":["11200"],"programs":["news_72"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_23177","news_176","news_3037","news_25068","news_386"],"featImg":"news_11732246","label":"news_72"},"news_11721092":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11721092","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11721092","score":null,"sort":[1548459047000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"san-diego-republican-assemblyman-switches-to-democratic-party","title":"San Diego Republican Assemblyman Switches to Democratic Party","publishDate":1548459047,"format":"audio","headTitle":"The California Report | KQED News","labelTerm":{"term":72,"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>San Diego Assemblyman Brian Maienschein has announced he has left the Republican Party and has registered as a Democrat. He made the announcement Thursday surrounded by the San Diego Assembly delegation, as well as other members of the Assembly Democratic Caucus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maienschein said the current state of the Republican Party was a factor in his decision.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Donald Trump has led our party to the extreme on issues that divide our country. But his leadership is not the only reason for my change in party affiliation,\" Maienschein said. \"I, too, have changed. As the Republican Party has drifted further right, I and my votes have shifted further to the left.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But there are also political factors at play.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maienschein wasn’t sure he was going to make it back to the Assembly when he faced re-election last November. The moderate Republican has authored bills expanding social services and promoting mental health. But the blue wave that rolled over much of California almost took him down with it. Maienschein beat his Democratic challenger by just about 600 votes. Still, he insists his narrow win did not convince him to switch parties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The political calculations are for others to make,\" he said. \"I’m proud of the votes that I’ve taken. I’ve crossed the aisle many times. And it will be nice to do that now and not hear criticism from my own caucus.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats welcome him with open arms. But Maienschein’s former caucus did not take the news well. Assembly Republican Party Leader Marie Waldron of Escondido issued a harsh statement upon hearing the news.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s unfortunate that Brian’s takeaway from his extremely close re-election was that his political future depended on becoming a turncoat,\" she said. \"Unfortunately, some people run for office simply because they want a job, regardless of political philosophy. It appears that Brian falls into this category.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The move means there are just 19 Republicans in the Assembly and 61 Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"California Democrats have picked up one more seat in the state Assembly without even holding an election.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1548463814,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":11,"wordCount":343},"headData":{"title":"San Diego Republican Assemblyman Switches to Democratic Party | KQED","description":"California Democrats have picked up one more seat in the state Assembly without even holding an election.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11721092 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11721092","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2019/01/25/san-diego-republican-assemblyman-switches-to-democratic-party/","disqusTitle":"San Diego Republican Assemblyman Switches to Democratic Party","audioUrl":"https://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/tcr/2019/01/OrrGOPSwitch.mp3","audioTrackLength":98,"path":"/news/11721092/san-diego-republican-assemblyman-switches-to-democratic-party","audioDuration":101000,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>San Diego Assemblyman Brian Maienschein has announced he has left the Republican Party and has registered as a Democrat. He made the announcement Thursday surrounded by the San Diego Assembly delegation, as well as other members of the Assembly Democratic Caucus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maienschein said the current state of the Republican Party was a factor in his decision.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Donald Trump has led our party to the extreme on issues that divide our country. But his leadership is not the only reason for my change in party affiliation,\" Maienschein said. \"I, too, have changed. As the Republican Party has drifted further right, I and my votes have shifted further to the left.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But there are also political factors at play.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maienschein wasn’t sure he was going to make it back to the Assembly when he faced re-election last November. The moderate Republican has authored bills expanding social services and promoting mental health. But the blue wave that rolled over much of California almost took him down with it. Maienschein beat his Democratic challenger by just about 600 votes. Still, he insists his narrow win did not convince him to switch parties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The political calculations are for others to make,\" he said. \"I’m proud of the votes that I’ve taken. I’ve crossed the aisle many times. And it will be nice to do that now and not hear criticism from my own caucus.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats welcome him with open arms. But Maienschein’s former caucus did not take the news well. Assembly Republican Party Leader Marie Waldron of Escondido issued a harsh statement upon hearing the news.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s unfortunate that Brian’s takeaway from his extremely close re-election was that his political future depended on becoming a turncoat,\" she said. \"Unfortunately, some people run for office simply because they want a job, regardless of political philosophy. It appears that Brian falls into this category.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The move means there are just 19 Republicans in the Assembly and 61 Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11721092/san-diego-republican-assemblyman-switches-to-democratic-party","authors":["11200"],"programs":["news_72"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_2704","news_176","news_1323","news_386"],"featImg":"news_11721170","label":"news_72"},"news_11704681":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11704681","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11704681","score":null,"sort":[1541628572000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"about-that-blue-wave","title":"About That Blue Wave . . .","publishDate":1541628572,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Mark Fiore: Drawn to the Bay | KQED News","labelTerm":{"term":18515,"site":"news"},"content":"\u003cp>Even though they \u003ca href=\"http://bit.ly/fiorewave\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">captured the U.S. House of Representatives\u003c/a>, the \"blue wave\" wasn't quite as big as some Democrats had hoped.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republicans expanded their majority in the Senate, and won a handful of key \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2018/11/06/664959903/ted-cruz-defeats-beto-orourke-in-texas-senate-race\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">high-profile races\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, likely to become the speaker of the House, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11704664/pelosi-democrats-have-a-responsibility-to-seek-common-ground\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">spoke of bipartisanship\u003c/a> and a desire to \"seek common ground where we can.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, a handful of races in the \"likely-to-flip\" category were still \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11704247/these-7-california-congressional-races-could-determine-which-party-controls-the-house\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">too close to call\u003c/a> on Wednesday afternoon, but could add to that \"blue wave.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Even though they captured the House, the 'blue wave' wasn't quite as big as some Democrats had hoped, as Republicans expanded their majority in the Senate.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1541628572,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":6,"wordCount":95},"headData":{"title":"About That Blue Wave . . . | KQED","description":"Even though they captured the House, the 'blue wave' wasn't quite as big as some Democrats had hoped, as Republicans expanded their majority in the Senate.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11704681 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11704681","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2018/11/07/about-that-blue-wave/","disqusTitle":"About That Blue Wave . . .","path":"/news/11704681/about-that-blue-wave","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Even though they \u003ca href=\"http://bit.ly/fiorewave\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">captured the U.S. House of Representatives\u003c/a>, the \"blue wave\" wasn't quite as big as some Democrats had hoped.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republicans expanded their majority in the Senate, and won a handful of key \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2018/11/06/664959903/ted-cruz-defeats-beto-orourke-in-texas-senate-race\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">high-profile races\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, likely to become the speaker of the House, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11704664/pelosi-democrats-have-a-responsibility-to-seek-common-ground\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">spoke of bipartisanship\u003c/a> and a desire to \"seek common ground where we can.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, a handful of races in the \"likely-to-flip\" category were still \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11704247/these-7-california-congressional-races-could-determine-which-party-controls-the-house\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">too close to call\u003c/a> on Wednesday afternoon, but could add to that \"blue wave.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11704681/about-that-blue-wave","authors":["3236"],"series":["news_18515"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_24479","news_20251","news_176","news_20191","news_24476","news_23228","news_182","news_20949","news_177","news_386","news_387"],"featImg":"news_11704699","label":"news_18515"},"news_11692541":{"type":"posts","id":"news_11692541","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"news","id":"11692541","score":null,"sort":[1536963457000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"surf-the-crest-or-batten-down-the-hatches-california-insiders-predict-dem-wave","title":"Surf the Crest or Batten Down the Hatches? California Insiders Predict Dem Wave","publishDate":1536963457,"format":"image","headTitle":"The California Report | KQED News","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>The biggest question hanging over the November election: Will Democrats be able to ride a blue wave of anti-Trump enthusiasm back into national political relevance?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We surveyed political insiders in California, and most of them are putting on life jackets. All 45 respondents in the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/blog/no-california-third-party-threat-insiders-say/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Insider Track Survey\u003c/a>—including campaign consultants, party players, lobbyists, and labor and business group reps who are California Target Book subscribers—predict that Democrats here will gain at least one congressional seat. More than a quarter of respondents say they’ll gain five seats or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692560\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"2848\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-160x207.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-800x1036.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1020x1320.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-927x1200.jpg 927w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1920x2486.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1180x1528.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-960x1243.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-240x311.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-375x485.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-520x673.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationwide, Democrats need to flip 23 seats to reclaim a majority in the House of Representatives. Some of the most \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/district-postings/us-house-of-representatives/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">competitive\u003c/a> seats are in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Republicans have been hoping that \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/california-ballot-measures/proposition-6-gas-tax-repeal/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Proposition 6\u003c/a>—a ballot measure to roll back a gas tax increase passed last year by the Democratic-controlled Legislature—would insulate them from an otherwise unfavorable election environment. But a majority of the survey respondents threw cold water on that idea, too, with 53 percent forecasting that the repeal attempt will fail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692564\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"3176\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-160x231.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-800x1155.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1020x1473.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-831x1200.jpg 831w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1920x2772.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1180x1703.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-960x1386.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-240x346.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-375x541.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-520x751.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That take runs counter to a \u003ca href=\"https://drive.google.com/file/d/1p1sIIQSUED6MwcGxVYcImDAsn7e-nY-E/view\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USC Dornsife poll\u003c/a> from last May, which found that 51 percent of registered voters favored repeal. Proposition 6 proponents face overwhelming financial opposition from the state’s business groups, labor unions and organizations representing city and county governments, who argue that the state’s roads will suffer without the extra funding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what is the single biggest issue that will determine the outcome of the November election in California? We asked the insiders, and the results weren’t even close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692567\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"3244\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-160x236.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-800x1180.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1020x1504.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-814x1200.jpg 814w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1920x2831.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1180x1740.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-960x1416.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-240x354.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-375x553.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-520x767.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead of the gas tax, the vast majority said that the election in California will boil down to the actions, impulses, tweets and public approval rating of one person over 2,000 miles away: President Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>CALmatters will be publishing survey results through the \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November election\u003c/a>. Stay tuned.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CALmatters.org\u003c/a> is a nonprofit, nonpartisan media venture explaining California policies and politics.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The Californians surveyed unanimously predicted Democrats in the state will gain at least one congressional seat — and more than a quarter say they’ll gain five or more.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1536967807,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":14,"wordCount":333},"headData":{"title":"Surf the Crest or Batten Down the Hatches? California Insiders Predict Dem Wave | KQED","description":"The Californians surveyed unanimously predicted Democrats in the state will gain at least one congressional seat — and more than a quarter say they’ll gain five or more.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"11692541 https://ww2.kqed.org/news/?p=11692541","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2018/09/14/surf-the-crest-or-batten-down-the-hatches-california-insiders-predict-dem-wave/","disqusTitle":"Surf the Crest or Batten Down the Hatches? California Insiders Predict Dem Wave","source":"CALmatters","sourceUrl":"https://calmatters.org","nprByline":"\u003cstrong>Ben Christopher\u003c/strong>\u003c/br>CALmatters","path":"/news/11692541/surf-the-crest-or-batten-down-the-hatches-california-insiders-predict-dem-wave","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The biggest question hanging over the November election: Will Democrats be able to ride a blue wave of anti-Trump enthusiasm back into national political relevance?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We surveyed political insiders in California, and most of them are putting on life jackets. All 45 respondents in the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/blog/no-california-third-party-threat-insiders-say/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Insider Track Survey\u003c/a>—including campaign consultants, party players, lobbyists, and labor and business group reps who are California Target Book subscribers—predict that Democrats here will gain at least one congressional seat. More than a quarter of respondents say they’ll gain five seats or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692560\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"2848\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-160x207.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-800x1036.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1020x1320.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-927x1200.jpg 927w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1920x2486.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-1180x1528.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-960x1243.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-240x311.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-375x485.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image1-520x673.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationwide, Democrats need to flip 23 seats to reclaim a majority in the House of Representatives. Some of the most \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/district-postings/us-house-of-representatives/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">competitive\u003c/a> seats are in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Republicans have been hoping that \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/california-ballot-measures/proposition-6-gas-tax-repeal/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Proposition 6\u003c/a>—a ballot measure to roll back a gas tax increase passed last year by the Democratic-controlled Legislature—would insulate them from an otherwise unfavorable election environment. But a majority of the survey respondents threw cold water on that idea, too, with 53 percent forecasting that the repeal attempt will fail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692564\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"3176\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-160x231.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-800x1155.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1020x1473.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-831x1200.jpg 831w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1920x2772.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-1180x1703.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-960x1386.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-240x346.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-375x541.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image2-520x751.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That take runs counter to a \u003ca href=\"https://drive.google.com/file/d/1p1sIIQSUED6MwcGxVYcImDAsn7e-nY-E/view\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USC Dornsife poll\u003c/a> from last May, which found that 51 percent of registered voters favored repeal. Proposition 6 proponents face overwhelming financial opposition from the state’s business groups, labor unions and organizations representing city and county governments, who argue that the state’s roads will suffer without the extra funding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what is the single biggest issue that will determine the outcome of the November election in California? We asked the insiders, and the results weren’t even close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11692567\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2200\" height=\"3244\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3.jpg 2200w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-160x236.jpg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-800x1180.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1020x1504.jpg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-814x1200.jpg 814w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1920x2831.jpg 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-1180x1740.jpg 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-960x1416.jpg 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-240x354.jpg 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-375x553.jpg 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2018/09/INSIDERS-PREDICT-image3-520x767.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead of the gas tax, the vast majority said that the election in California will boil down to the actions, impulses, tweets and public approval rating of one person over 2,000 miles away: President Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>CALmatters will be publishing survey results through the \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November election\u003c/a>. Stay tuned.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CALmatters.org\u003c/a> is a nonprofit, nonpartisan media venture explaining California policies and politics.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/news/11692541/surf-the-crest-or-batten-down-the-hatches-california-insiders-predict-dem-wave","authors":["byline_news_11692541"],"programs":["news_72"],"categories":["news_8","news_13"],"tags":["news_24007","news_176","news_20191"],"affiliates":["news_18481"],"featImg":"news_11692554","label":"source_news_11692541"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.","airtime":"SUN 2pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Possible-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.possible.fm/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"Possible"},"link":"/radio/program/possible","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/possible/id1677184070","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/730YpdUSNlMyPQwNnyjp4k"}},"1a":{"id":"1a","title":"1A","info":"1A is home to the national conversation. 1A brings on great guests and frames the best debate in ways that make you think, share and engage.","airtime":"MON-THU 11pm-12am","imageSrc":"https://ww2.kqed.org/radio/wp-content/uploads/sites/50/2018/04/1a.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://the1a.org/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/1a","subscribe":{"npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/RBrW","apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/WebObjects/MZStore.woa/wa/viewPodcast?s=143441&mt=2&id=1188724250&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/1A-p947376/","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510316/podcast.xml"}},"all-things-considered":{"id":"all-things-considered","title":"All Things Considered","info":"Every weekday, \u003cem>All Things Considered\u003c/em> hosts Robert Siegel, Audie Cornish, Ari Shapiro, and Kelly McEvers present the program's trademark mix of news, interviews, commentaries, reviews, and offbeat features. Michel Martin hosts on the weekends.","airtime":"MON-FRI 1pm-2pm, 4:30pm-6:30pm\u003cbr />SAT-SUN 5pm-6pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/All-Things-Considered-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.npr.org/programs/all-things-considered/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/all-things-considered"},"american-suburb-podcast":{"id":"american-suburb-podcast","title":"American Suburb: The Podcast","tagline":"The flip side of gentrification, told through one town","info":"Gentrification is changing cities across America, forcing people from neighborhoods they have long called home. Call them the displaced. Now those priced out of the Bay Area are looking for a better life in an unlikely place. American Suburb follows this migration to one California town along the Delta, 45 miles from San Francisco. But is this once sleepy suburb ready for them?","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/American-Suburb-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"/news/series/american-suburb-podcast","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"13"},"link":"/news/series/american-suburb-podcast/","subscribe":{"npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/RBrW","apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/WebObjects/MZStore.woa/wa/viewPodcast?mt=2&id=1287748328","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/American-Suburb-p1086805/","rss":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/series/american-suburb-podcast/feed/podcast","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vS1FJTkMzMDExODgxNjA5"}},"baycurious":{"id":"baycurious","title":"Bay Curious","tagline":"Exploring the Bay Area, one question at a time","info":"KQED’s new podcast, Bay Curious, gets to the bottom of the mysteries — both profound and peculiar — that give the Bay Area its unique identity. And we’ll do it with your help! You ask the questions. You decide what Bay Curious investigates. And you join us on the journey to find the answers.","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Bay-Curious-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"\"KQED Bay Curious","officialWebsiteLink":"/news/series/baycurious","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"4"},"link":"/podcasts/baycurious","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bay-curious/id1172473406","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/500557090/bay-curious","rss":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/category/bay-curious-podcast/feed/podcast","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93dzIua3FlZC5vcmcvbmV3cy9jYXRlZ29yeS9iYXktY3VyaW91cy1wb2RjYXN0L2ZlZWQvcG9kY2FzdA","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqed/bay-curious","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/6O76IdmhixfijmhTZLIJ8k"}},"bbc-world-service":{"id":"bbc-world-service","title":"BBC World Service","info":"The day's top stories from BBC News compiled twice daily in the week, once at weekends.","airtime":"MON-FRI 9pm-10pm, TUE-FRI 1am-2am","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/BBC-World-Service-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/live:bbc_world_service","meta":{"site":"news","source":"BBC World Service"},"link":"/radio/program/bbc-world-service","subscribe":{"apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/global-news-podcast/id135067274?mt=2","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/BBC-World-Service-p455581/","rss":"https://podcasts.files.bbci.co.uk/p02nq0gn.rss"}},"code-switch-life-kit":{"id":"code-switch-life-kit","title":"Code Switch / Life Kit","info":"\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em>, which listeners will hear in the first part of the hour, has fearless and much-needed conversations about race. Hosted by journalists of color, the show tackles the subject of race head-on, exploring how it impacts every part of society — from politics and pop culture to history, sports and more.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em>, which will be in the second part of the hour, guides you through spaces and feelings no one prepares you for — from finances to mental health, from workplace microaggressions to imposter syndrome, from relationships to parenting. The show features experts with real world experience and shares their knowledge. Because everyone needs a little help being human.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510312/codeswitch\">\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/lifekit\">\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />","airtime":"SUN 9pm-10pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Code-Switch-Life-Kit-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","meta":{"site":"radio","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/code-switch-life-kit","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/1112190608?mt=2&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnByLm9yZy9yc3MvcG9kY2FzdC5waHA_aWQ9NTEwMzEy","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/3bExJ9JQpkwNhoHvaIIuyV","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510312/podcast.xml"}},"commonwealth-club":{"id":"commonwealth-club","title":"Commonwealth Club of California Podcast","info":"The Commonwealth Club of California is the nation's oldest and largest public affairs forum. As a non-partisan forum, The Club brings to the public airwaves diverse viewpoints on important topics. The Club's weekly radio broadcast - the oldest in the U.S., dating back to 1924 - is carried across the nation on public radio stations and is now podcasting. Our website archive features audio of our recent programs, as well as selected speeches from our long and distinguished history. This podcast feed is usually updated twice a week and is always un-edited.","airtime":"THU 10pm, FRI 1am","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Commonwealth-Club-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.commonwealthclub.org/podcasts","meta":{"site":"news","source":"Commonwealth Club of California"},"link":"/radio/program/commonwealth-club","subscribe":{"apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/commonwealth-club-of-california-podcast/id976334034?mt=2","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cDovL3d3dy5jb21tb253ZWFsdGhjbHViLm9yZy9hdWRpby9wb2RjYXN0L3dlZWtseS54bWw","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/Commonwealth-Club-of-California-p1060/"}},"considerthis":{"id":"considerthis","title":"Consider This","tagline":"Make sense of the day","info":"Make sense of the day. Every weekday afternoon, Consider This helps you consider the major stories of the day in less than 15 minutes, featuring the reporting and storytelling resources of NPR. Plus, KQED’s Bianca Taylor brings you the local KQED news you need to know.","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Consider-This-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"Consider This from NPR and KQED","officialWebsiteLink":"/podcasts/considerthis","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"7"},"link":"/podcasts/considerthis","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1503226625?mt=2&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/coronavirusdaily","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5ucHIub3JnLzUxMDM1NS9wb2RjYXN0LnhtbA","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/3Z6JdCS2d0eFEpXHKI6WqH"}},"forum":{"id":"forum","title":"Forum","tagline":"The conversation starts here","info":"KQED’s live call-in program discussing local, state, national and international issues, as well as in-depth interviews.","airtime":"MON-FRI 9am-11am, 10pm-11pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Forum-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"KQED Forum with Mina Kim and Alexis Madrigal","officialWebsiteLink":"/forum","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"8"},"link":"/forum","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/kqeds-forum/id73329719","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vS1FJTkM5NTU3MzgxNjMz","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/432307980/forum","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqedfm-kqeds-forum-podcast","rss":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/KQINC9557381633"}},"freakonomics-radio":{"id":"freakonomics-radio","title":"Freakonomics Radio","info":"Freakonomics Radio is a one-hour award-winning podcast and public-radio project hosted by Stephen Dubner, with co-author Steve Levitt as a regular guest. 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One of public radio's most popular programs, Fresh Air features intimate conversations with today's biggest luminaries.","airtime":"MON-FRI 7pm-8pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Fresh-Air-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.npr.org/programs/fresh-air/","meta":{"site":"radio","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/fresh-air","subscribe":{"npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/4s8b","apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/WebObjects/MZStore.woa/wa/viewPodcast?s=143441&mt=2&id=214089682&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/Fresh-Air-p17/","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/381444908/podcast.xml"}},"here-and-now":{"id":"here-and-now","title":"Here & Now","info":"A live production of NPR and WBUR Boston, in collaboration with stations across the country, Here & Now reflects the fluid world of news as it's happening in the middle of the day, with timely, in-depth news, interviews and conversation. 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How I Built This weaves a narrative journey about innovators, entrepreneurs and idealists—and the movements they built.","imageSrc":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/05/howIBuiltThis.png","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510313/how-i-built-this","airtime":"SUN 7:30pm-8pm","meta":{"site":"news","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/how-i-built-this","subscribe":{"npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/3zxy","apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/how-i-built-this-with-guy-raz/id1150510297?mt=2","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/podcasts/Arts--Culture-Podcasts/How-I-Built-This-p910896/","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510313/podcast.xml"}},"inside-europe":{"id":"inside-europe","title":"Inside Europe","info":"Inside Europe, a one-hour weekly news magazine hosted by Helen Seeney and Keith Walker, explores the topical issues shaping the continent. 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