upper waypoint

Field Poll: Clinton Holds 30-Point Lead Over Trump in California

Save ArticleSave Article
Failed to save article

Please try again

Rubber masks in the likeness of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton at a factory in Saitama, Japan.  (Tomohiro Ohsumi/Getty Images)

A Field Poll released Thursday carries news that can shock hardly anyone familiar with blue, blue California: In the battle of presumptive major party nominees, Democrat Hillary Clinton, the feckless emailer, holds a huge edge among state voters over Republican Donald Trump, the bombastic bankrupt.

The poll of 956 likely voters surveyed between June 8 and July 2 shows Clinton leading Trump in California by 30 points, 58 percent to 28 percent.

In a two-person race, the former secretary of state leads the real estate mogul in every demographic, geographic and ideological group surveyed except two. Those two: Republicans, who support Trump by 72 percent to 16 percent; and conservatives, who prefer the Republican 60 percent to 26 percent.

A little historical perspective on the size of Clinton's California lead: At this point of the 2012 campaign, the Field Poll found President Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 18 points, 55-37 percent.

In 2008, with two non-incumbents going at it, then-Sen. Barack Obama led Republican nominee John McCain by 24 points, 54-30.

Sponsored

The California race looks slightly different if you add a third candidate to the mix: former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, who's running as a Libertarian.

Clinton's lead over Trump statewide shrinks to 50-26, with Johnson getting 10 percent of respondents' support.

The Field Poll's more interesting findings center on Democrats' view of whether Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders should continue his campaign until the party's convention later this month or get out of the race and throw his support to Clinton.

Overall, 53 percent of Democrats surveyed said they want Sanders to end his bid and support the presumptive nominee.

But there's a sharp split among age groups, with three out of five Democrats ages 18 to 39 saying they want to see Sanders take Berniemania to the convention floor.

That picture is flipped among older party members, with three out of five between 40 and 64 and two-thirds of those 65 and older saying they want the Vermonter to fall into line behind Clinton.

Nearly final vote totals -- California's 58 counties are required to submit their final results by Friday to the California Secretary of State's Office, which will then have a week to certify them -- show Clinton winning California with 53.1 percent of the vote to 46 percent for Sanders.

lower waypoint
next waypoint
Stunning Archival Photos of the 1906 Earthquake and FireWhy Nearly 50 California Hospitals Were Forced to End Maternity Ward ServicesSan Francisco Sues Oakland Over Plan to Change Airport NameCould Protesters Who Shut Down Golden Gate Bridge Be Charged With False Imprisonment?Democrats Again Vote Down California Ban on Unhoused EncampmentsFederal Bureau of Prisons Challenges Judge’s Order Delaying Inmate Transfers from FCI DublinFirst Trump Criminal Trial Underway in New YorkJail Deaths Prompt Calls To Separate Coroner And Sheriff's Departments In Riverside CountyDespite Progress, Black Californians Still Face Major Challenges In Closing Equality GapThe Beauty in Finding ‘Other People’s Words’ in Your Own