by Daniel J. Goldstein, The Bay Citizen

PG&E and Southern California Edison, operators of California’s two nuclear power reactors, haven’t done a comprehensive risk assessment of their plants’ vulnerabilities to earthquakes for nearly two decades, according to a Government Accountability Office report released yesterday.

The report, which looked at more than 100 operating nuclear reactors in the U.S., also found that the two companies have never done an assessment using the most up-to-date technology to determine what might happen in case of a tsunami or hurricane.

The GAO said PG&E, operator of the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant on the Central Coast, hasn’t updated its seismic risk analysis for its plant since 1988. Moreover, the office found that PG&E has never comprehensively assessed the plant for its vulnerabilities to flooding, like the kind in Japan last year when a tsunami flooded the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant’s backup generators, creating a meltdown after workers were unable to cool the reactor.

Similarly, Southern California Edison, operator of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station in northern San Diego County, hasn’t done a comprehensive seismic analysis since 1995, the report said. The company also hasn’t performed a comprehensive flood risk assessment, the report said.

The GAO report criticized the Nuclear Regulatory Commission for not requiring more stringent risk assessments for nuclear plants, especially in the aftermath of last year’s magnitude-9.0 Fukushima quake. The report also noted that while both the Diablo Canyon and San Onofre plants can withstand a 7.0-plus-magnitude quake, an August 2011 5.8-magnitude earthquake in Virginia damaged a Dominion-operated plant after violent shaking exceeded industry standards.

The two California utilities aren’t alone, the GAO said. Most of the 25 utilities that operate the 65 U.S. nuclear plants haven’t used comprehensive risk analysis since getting their licenses to operate, in some cases as much as 40 years ago, the report said.

Since 1986, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has urged operators around the country to use what it calls probabilistic risk assessment, a technique using advanced computer modeling to test a specific design to all potential risk factors, sometimes examining what would happen if two or three hazards occured at the same time, a scenario encountered by the Fukushima plant, which suffered an earthquake and a crippling flood that breached its seawall. The commission hasn’t done an analysis to determine whether its method is superior to the current industry standard, deterministic risk analysis, which generally uses “over-engineering” and redundant systems to mitigate risk.

“Bottom line is, the probabilistic risk analysis is costly to implement but may save money in design and implementation by focusing efforts more efficiently on the most critical safety issues,” said Frank Rusco, author of the GAO’s report, wrote in an e-mail to California Watch.

The report also noted that many nuclear operators, including PG&E, are in the process of renewing their licenses for another 20 years, and the regulatory commission still hasn’t ruled whether comprehensive risk analysis should be part of the renewal application.

“There is simply no excuse for the NRC’s failure to require the most up-to-date methods to assess the threat posed by natural disasters, such as earthquakes, to our nuclear power plants,” said U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., who leads the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee and called for the report in February. “While the NRC has agreed to study the issue, action is needed now to ensure that standards are in place that best protect the health and safety of the American public.”

PG&E announced last year that it has asked the commission to delay its renewal of its operating license for Diablo Canyon until it conducts more seismic tests.

The report comes as the commission is already reeling from the resignation of Chairman Gregory Jaczko, who announced he was stepping down last week amid turmoil at the nuclear agency and poor relations with his own staff and Congress.

This story was produced by The Bay Citizen, a project of the Center for Investigative Reporting. Learn more at

PG&E Hasn’t Done Quake Assessment For Diablo Canyon Nuclear Plant Since 1988 30 May,2012Daniel J. Goldstein


Daniel J. Goldstein

Dan Goldstein has spent more than 10 years covering business and energy stories, from the Gulf Oil spill to the Enron meltdown to the California power crisis. His work has appeared in the Washington Post, the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, the Huffington Post, Bloomberg News, and EnergyNOW! the TV newsmagazine covering energy and the environment. He is a graduate of UC Berkeley and UC Santa Cruz and is a die-hard Oakland Raiders and A’s fan.

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