The Port of Los Angeles. There are lots of containers on that wharf, but there could be more. (Myrow/KQED)

California gained 39,200 payroll jobs in September and 25,700 in October. One might be inclined to see these data points as glimmers of hope.

But Senior Economist Jerry Nickelsburg, author of the California chapter of the latest quarterly forecast from UCLA’s Anderson School, urges us to measure our optimism.

Yes, said Nickelsburg: there are parts of California that are doing better than the US, particularly the South Bay, but our economic prospects remain tied to what happens nationally and internationally. And what’s happening in Europe is a drag everywhere.

Europe? Surely California looks West to Asia more than it looks East to Europe, I pointed out. Nickelsburg explained that, for starters, around 25% of US exports go to Europe. But also, Asian manufacturing powerhouses export to Europe.

“In fact, Europe is the largest trading partner of China, the largest export market for China – not the United States. There’s a sort of circuitous route through our Asian connection that makes Europe, and what happens in Europe, important for California’s economic growth.”

There’s even talk of China stepping in to help Europe, but for now, that’s all talk.

In the meantime, California staggers forward, hoping its large ethnic populations and their ties to home countries around the world ensure we’re at the forefront of a global upswing, when that finally happens.


Rachael Myrow

Rachael Myrow is KQED's South Bay arts reporter, covering arts and culture in San Mateo, Santa Clara and Santa Cruz Counties. She also guest hosts for  The California Report and Forum, files stories for NPR and hosts a podcast called Love in the Digital Age.

Her passion for public radio was born as an undergrad at the University of California at Berkeley, writing movie reviews for KALX-FM. After finishing one degree in English, she got another in journalism, landed a job at Marketplace in Los Angeles, and another at KPCC, before returning to the Bay Area to work at KQED.

She spent more than seven years hosting The California Report, and over the past 20 years has won a Peabody and three Edward R. Murrow Awards (one for covering the MTA Strike, her first assignment as a full-time reporter in 2000 as well as numerous other honors including from the Society of Professional Journalists, the Radio Television News Directors Association and the LA Press Club.
Follow @rachaelmyrow

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